PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Welcome vs Urupan Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 99-88
21-21 20-32 26-18 32-17
Position#12
Record4-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game94.0
Welcome 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#10
Record6-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game87.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Gimnasio Óscar Magurno
Other2024-25
Meetings · Welcome v Urupan
15 Mar 2025
WELC85
URUP77
27 Feb 2025
WELC99
URUP88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Welcome winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urupan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
L
74-104
74
104
-30
60avg 65
H06/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
84-81
84
81
+3
74avg 65
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
97-86 OT
97
86
+11
86avg 65
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
82-87
82
87
-5
75avg 65
H21/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
88-83
88
83
+5
74avg 65
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
70-97
70
97
-27
60avg 65
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
69-117
69
117
-48
53avg 65
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
71-66
71
66
+5
63avg 65
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
77-112
77
112
-35
70avg 65
A08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
59-88
59
88
-29
49avg 65
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
22-17
22-29
7-32
19-23
20-12
21-21
24-25
8-26
23-23
26-19
24-13
17-22
26-26
19-19
20-20
16-25
19-26
28-17
25-15
13-31
22-23
22-24
13-19
21-28
23-29
13-30
12-30
19-15
20-19
11-15
21-17
17-29
23-23
22-30
15-30
9-22
13-23
13-21
24-22
169.2Avg total
77.1Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.394.0170.4-17.720%
Season at home (10)76.593.1169.6-16.620%
Season away (10)76.295.0171.2-18.820%
Last 10 (10)77.192.1169.2-15.040%
Last 5 (5)69.296.0165.2-26.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)77.193.5170.6-16.315%
vs Similar (2)74.074.5148.5-0.550%
vs Weaker (1)100.091.0191.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Urupan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrupanUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrupan
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
L
83-105
83
105
-22
83avg 74
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
91-92
91
92
-1
83avg 74
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
78-91
78
91
-13
60avg 74
A17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
66-91
66
91
-25
55avg 74
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
90-61
90
61
+29
84avg 74
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
73-65
73
65
+8
74avg 74
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
89-93
89
93
-4
74avg 74
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
65-121
65
121
-56
56avg 74
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
97-90
97
90
+7
89avg 74
H06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
72-91
72
91
-19
60avg 74
A13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
24-25
25-26
18-26
20-22
21-27
23-18
27-25
20-30
22-19
20-17
16-25
11-27
23-31
16-16
16-17
27-16
25-18
22-14
16-13
24-14
15-15
16-22
18-14
20-24
22-17
22-28
25-24
25-27
10-36
14-29
16-29
28-22
24-24
19-31
26-13
19-25
21-27
21-15
11-24
170.4Avg total
80.4Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.187.0167.1-7.030%
Season at home (10)84.495.8180.2-11.420%
Season away (10)75.878.3154.1-2.540%
Last 10 (10)80.490.0170.4-9.630%
Last 5 (5)79.292.0171.2-12.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)77.188.7165.9-11.613%
vs Similar (9)76.172.8148.9+3.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)78.065.5143.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.5-8.5Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -2.1-2.1
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.5-8.5Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -2.1-2.1
WelcomeUrupan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H06/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H21/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
84.1Avg total
37.3Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.246.682.8-10.420%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.244.181.3-6.831%-
Last 30 away (14)35.149.584.6-14.47%-
Last 10 (10)37.346.884.1-9.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.048.484.4-12.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)35.747.483.1-11.715%-
vs Similar (2)39.034.573.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker (1)44.049.093.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Urupan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrupanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#3
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
34-58
34
58
-24
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
35-63
35
63
-28
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A13/02
Liga Uruguaya
89.1Avg total
41.7Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)41.942.484.3-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.545.689.1-2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)40.439.279.6+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.747.489.1-5.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.646.287.8-4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.945.585.4-5.733%-
vs Similar (8)43.240.884.0+2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.035.681.6+10.4100%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.519.4
46.7%
51.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.3
31.4%
33.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.112.6
69.6%
71.7%12.6
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urupantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urupan: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.722.5
50.3%
51.5%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.7
30.0%
33.0%20.1
🏀 Free throws20.714.3
69.1%
71.7%14.3
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Welcome
LLWLLWLWWL
Urupan
LWLLWWLLLL
#12
League position
#10
-18.5
Net rating
-12.3
95.6
Offensive rating
99.5
114.1
Defensive rating
111.7
46.9%
Effective FG%
48.6%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
18.6%
Turnover %
16.7%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.4%
3-point %
30.0%
62.5%
Assist %
64.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 99.5Defence114.1 · 111.7Shooting46.9% · 48.6%3-point %31.4% · 30.0%Ball care18.6% · 16.7%Off. rebounds26.0% · 23.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Welcome   ■ Urupan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Welcome wins
1
Urupan wins
DateGameScore
20/12/24Urupan v Welcome92-86
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25APenarol59-88
08/02/25ADefensor77-112
04/02/25HTrouville71-66
30/01/25HNacional69-117
27/01/25AMalvin70-97
24/01/25AHebraica y Macabi88-83
21/01/25HBigua82-87
16/01/25AUrunday97-86 OT
10/01/25HCordon84-81
06/01/25HAguada74-104
Urupanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25AMalvin72-91
06/02/25HTrouville97-90
03/02/25HNacional65-121
31/01/25HBigua89-93
28/01/25AHebraica y Macabi73-65
24/01/25AUrunday90-61
20/01/25ADefensor66-91
17/01/25AAguada78-91
13/01/25HCordon91-92
10/01/25HPenarol83-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLWLLW20%
AwayWWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %20%20%20%
Points / game76.376.576.2
Allowed / game94.093.195.0
Point differential-17.7-16.6-18.8
Avg total170.4169.6171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %10%10%10%
Urupan
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL30%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game80.184.475.8
Allowed / game87.095.878.3
Point differential-7.0-11.4-2.5
Avg total167.2180.2154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional2119290%94.077.5+16.5
2 Aguada2016480%89.880.5+9.3
3 Penarol2015575%84.873.5+11.2
4 Malvin2013765%80.376.5+3.8
5 Defensor2011955%87.682.0+5.5
6 Cordon2091145%84.886.6-1.9
7 Hebraica y Macabi2091145%85.787.9-2.2
8 Bigua1981142%83.785.2-1.5
9 Urupan2061430%80.187.0-7.0
10 Urunday2061430%78.785.8-7.1
11 Trouville2041620%74.084.0-9.9
12 Welcome2041620%76.394.0-17.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Welcome2120263299
Urupan2132181788
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.