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Urupan vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 65-121
25-27 10-36 14-29 16-29
Position#10
Record5-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#1
Record16-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game77.1
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Urupan
Other2024-25
Meetings · Urupan v Nacional
03 Feb 2025
URUP65
NACI121
01 Mar 2024
URUP89
NACI74
17 Jan 2023
URUP84
NACI74
11 Jan 2022
URUP104
NACI82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Urupan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UrupanUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrupan
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
L
74-76
74
76
-2
72avg 74
H10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
76avg 74
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
92-86
92
86
+6
91avg 74
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
83-105
83
105
-22
83avg 74
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
91-92
91
92
-1
83avg 74
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
78-91
78
91
-13
60avg 74
A17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
66-91
66
91
-25
55avg 74
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
90-61
90
61
+29
84avg 74
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
73-65
73
65
+8
74avg 74
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
89-93
89
93
-4
74avg 74
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
22-16
13-20
14-15
18-23
15-23
26-26
16-17
21-18
21-14
27-30
23-24
16-28
24-25
25-26
18-26
20-22
21-27
23-18
27-25
20-30
22-19
20-17
16-25
11-27
23-31
16-16
16-17
27-16
25-18
22-14
16-13
24-14
15-15
16-22
18-14
20-24
22-17
22-28
25-24
166.0Avg total
81.1Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.584.6165.1-4.229%
Season at home (8)85.293.4178.6-8.112%
Season away (9)76.276.9153.1-0.744%
Last 10 (10)81.184.9166.0-3.830%
Last 5 (5)79.280.2159.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.586.1164.5-7.615%
vs Similar (11)76.875.7152.5+1.145%
vs Weaker (6)75.862.5138.3+13.3100%
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Urupan
#10
W
89-75
89
75
+14
76avg 79
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
90-72
90
72
+18
83avg 79
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
97-82
97
82
+15
98avg 79
H03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
88-78
88
78
+10
76avg 79
A08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
101-88
101
88
+13
90avg 79
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
88-67
88
67
+21
78avg 79
A14/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 79
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
L
77-81
77
81
-4
69avg 79
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
96-81
96
81
+15
93avg 79
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
117-69
117
69
+48
128avg 79
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
23-15
26-26
17-16
30-18
21-18
22-23
17-13
27-18
25-20
22-13
23-31
21-18
20-20
26-20
21-20
21-30
25-22
32-17
23-19
20-12
26-19
27-16
15-20
24-23
26-17
22-25
17-20
16-13
22-20
21-13
18-35
23-17
16-19
26-26
31-19
28-21
29-23
30-13
30-12
171.0Avg total
93.2Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)92.877.1169.8+15.794%
Season at home (9)93.077.7170.7+15.389%
Season away (8)92.576.4168.9+16.1100%
Last 10 (10)93.277.8171.0+15.490%
Last 5 (5)93.476.6170.0+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)87.488.7176.1-1.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)88.373.7162.0+14.591%
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
UrupanNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UrupanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
34-58
34
58
-24
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
84.4Avg total
41.2Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)41.841.583.3+0.346%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.544.688.2-1.146%-
Last 30 away (15)40.338.879.1+1.547%-
Last 10 (10)41.243.284.4-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.284.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.243.783.9-3.538%-
vs Similar (10)43.142.485.5+0.740%-
vs Weaker (5)43.234.077.2+9.280%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urupan
#10
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A08/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A14/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
84.7Avg total
46.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.939.384.2+5.673%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.239.884.9+5.475%-
Last 30 away (14)44.538.883.3+5.771%-
Last 10 (10)46.638.184.7+8.590%-
Last 5 (5)46.036.882.8+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)44.344.688.9-0.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.037.782.7+7.378%-
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Urupantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urupan: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.222.7
52.5%
51.5%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.4
34.6%
33.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.212.7
66.1%
71.7%12.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.624.0
52.6%
51.5%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.2
35.5%
33.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.713.6
69.0%
71.7%13.6
They take 74.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Urupan
LWWLLLLWLL
Nacional
WWLWWWWWWW
#10
League position
#1
-4.5
Net rating
+18.9
100.7
Offensive rating
114.6
105.2
Defensive rating
95.7
52.3%
Effective FG%
52.9%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
19.0%
Turnover %
12.6%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.6%
3-point %
35.5%
65.1%
Assist %
69.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 114.6Defence105.2 · 95.7Shooting52.3% · 52.9%3-point %34.6% · 35.5%Ball care19.0% · 12.6%Off. rebounds22.7% · 29.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Urupan   ■ Nacional
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Urupan wins
4
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
16/12/24Nacional v Urupan89-75
02/03/24Urupan v Nacional89-74
24/11/23Nacional v Urupan91-78
17/01/23Urupan v Nacional84-74
03/11/22Nacional v Urupan77-63
29/03/22Nacional v Urupan86-73
12/01/22Urupan v Nacional104-82
Urupanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/25HBigua89-93
28/01/25AHebraica y Macabi73-65
24/01/25AUrunday90-61
20/01/25ADefensor66-91
17/01/25AAguada78-91
13/01/25HCordon91-92
10/01/25HPenarol83-105
20/12/24HWelcome92-86
16/12/24ANacional75-89
10/12/24HMalvin74-76
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/25AWelcome117-69
27/01/25HDefensor96-81
23/01/25HTrouville77-81
19/01/25APenarol89-85
14/01/25AMalvin88-67
10/01/25HHebraica y Macabi101-88
08/01/25ADefensor88-78
03/01/25HBigua97-82
19/12/24AUrunday90-72
16/12/24HUrupan89-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Urupan
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL29%
HomeLWLLL12%
AwayLLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %29%12%44%
Points / game80.585.276.2
Allowed / game84.693.476.9
Point differential-4.2-8.1-0.7
Avg total165.1178.6153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW94%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %94%89%100%
Points / game92.893.092.5
Allowed / game77.177.776.4
Point differential+15.7+15.3+16.1
Avg total169.8170.7168.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%78%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional1716194%92.877.1+15.7
2 Aguada1713476%90.380.1+10.2
3 Penarol1712571%84.874.1+10.6
4 Malvin1712571%80.376.5+3.8
5 Defensor178947%85.982.4+3.5
6 Bigua178947%84.685.5-0.9
7 Hebraica y Macabi178947%85.087.5-2.5
8 Cordon1771041%84.586.6-2.1
9 Urunday1761135%78.785.0-6.3
10 Urupan1751229%80.584.6-4.2
11 Trouville1741324%73.083.4-10.4
12 Welcome1731418%77.695.0-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Urupan2510141665
Nacional27362929121
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