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USA W vs Belgium W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 81-79
15-19 19-24 23-23 24-13
Position#1
Record-
FormLWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USA W 🏆
vs
Belgium W
Position#7
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeOlympic Games Women· Antwerps Sportpaleis
Women2024
Meetings · USA W v Belgium W
08 Feb 2024
USA 81
BELG79
22 Sep 2022
USA 87
BELG72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

USA W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belgium W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

USA WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#4
W
88-55
88
55
+33
no box
H29/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
W
83-43
83
43
+40
no box
A30/09
World Cup Women
China W
#2
W
83-61
83
61
+22
no box
A01/10
World Cup Women
Venezuela W
#8
W
80-54
80
54
+26
83avg 67
H01/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
65-56
65
56
+9
62avg 67
A02/07
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#1
L
54-67
54
67
-13
43avg 67
H04/07
AmeriCup Women
Cuba W
#6
W
106-44
106
44
+62
113avg 67
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
Colombia W
#5
W
68-49
68
49
+19
68avg 67
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
W
67-63
67
63
+4
55avg 67
A09/07
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#1
L
58-69
58
69
-11
45avg 67
A10/07
AmeriCup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
25-10
16-7
22-15
27-7
18-14
22-8
16-14
18-13
25-20
25-14
15-14
20-5
26-11
20-14
14-24
19-18
14-11
16-11
16-16
12-15
13-20
14-14
15-18
27-14
33-4
23-10
23-16
23-11
20-18
10-12
15-8
22-17
17-12
15-21
13-13
16-14
21-21
10-25
11-9
131.3Avg total
75.2Scored
56.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.256.1131.3+19.180%
Last 5 (5)70.658.4129.0+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.063.0130.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (2)56.068.0124.0-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)89.059.3148.3+29.7100%
This opponent (Belgium W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belgium WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Germany W
#13
W
69-44
69
44
+25
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
102-43
102
43
+59
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
108-59
108
59
+49
no box
H15/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
W
84-41
84
41
+43
no box
A16/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#8
W
72-64
72
64
+8
no box
H18/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
W
93-53
93
53
+40
no box
H22/06
European Championship Women
France W
#5
W
67-63
67
63
+4
no box
H24/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
W
64-58
64
58
+6
no box
A25/06
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
62-67
62
67
-5
54avg 99
H08/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
136-28
136
28
+108
145avg 99
A12/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-9
12-10
15-13
20-12
28-5
18-13
23-14
33-11
28-18
33-16
24-9
23-16
20-11
19-15
25-7
20-8
26-22
17-17
11-15
18-10
28-8
21-23
22-14
22-8
18-8
26-22
10-16
13-17
13-17
12-15
18-16
21-10
14-18
10-18
20-13
18-18
25-6
38-4
39-6
34-12
137.7Avg total
85.7Scored
52.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.752.0137.7+33.790%
Last 5 (5)84.453.8138.2+30.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.181.3151.4-11.114%
vs Similar (1)66.043.0109.0+23.0100%
vs Weaker (22)86.558.5145.0+28.086%
This opponent (USA W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q1: +10.0+10.0Q2Q2: +7.1+7.1Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +8.4+8.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +10.0+10.0
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q1: +10.0+10.0Q2Q2: +7.1+7.1Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +8.4+8.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +10.0+10.0
USA WBelgium W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
USA WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#4
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H29/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
W
45-21
45
21
+24
A30/09
World Cup Women
China W
#2
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A01/10
World Cup Women
Venezuela W
#8
W
46-16
46
16
+30
H01/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A02/07
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#1
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H04/07
AmeriCup Women
Cuba W
#6
W
60-18
60
18
+42
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
Colombia W
#5
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
Canada W
#2
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A09/07
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A10/07
AmeriCup Women
69.9Avg total
42.1Scored
27.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.830.475.2+14.487%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.529.875.3+15.787%-
Last 30 away (15)44.130.975.1+13.287%-
Last 10 (10)42.127.869.9+14.390%-
Last 5 (5)40.829.270.0+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.029.068.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (2)31.035.066.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)46.030.176.1+16.089%-
This opponent (Belgium W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belgium WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany W
#13
W
34-19
34
19
+15
A09/02
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
46-18
46
18
+28
A12/02
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H15/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#12
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A16/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H18/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H22/06
European Championship Women
France W
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H24/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A25/06
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H08/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
63-10
63
10
+53
A12/11
European Championship Women
70.3Avg total
42.8Scored
27.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.032.173.1+8.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.831.974.7+10.971%-
Last 30 away (16)39.532.271.8+7.256%-
Last 10 (10)42.827.570.3+15.380%-
Last 5 (5)41.027.868.8+13.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.140.075.1-4.929%-
vs Similar (1)41.027.068.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker (22)42.929.872.7+13.173%-
This opponent (USA W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
USA Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

USA W: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.620.3
40.9%
45.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.64.3
25.9%
30.1%12.9
🏀 Free throws24.616.6
67.4%
74.5%16.6
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Belgium Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium W: 98.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀71%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers70.0 pts a game · 71% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 7% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.535.0
63.1%
45.1%70.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.0
26.9%
30.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws11.57.0
60.9%
74.5%7.0
They take 81.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/2 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
USA W
LWWWLWWWWW
Belgium W
WLWWWWWWWW
#1
League position
#7
+17.4
Net rating
+63.3
92.5
Offensive rating
122.8
75.1
Defensive rating
59.5
40.4%
Effective FG%
55.8%
35.4%
Opp. effective FG%
38.3%
24.0%
Turnover %
12.4%
44.4%
Off. rebound %
38.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.14
25.9%
3-point %
26.9%
59.3%
Assist %
75.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence92.5 · 122.8Defence75.1 · 59.5Shooting40.4% · 55.8%3-point %25.9% · 26.9%Ball care24.0% · 12.4%Off. rebounds44.4% · 38.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.14Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ USA W   ■ Belgium W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
USA W wins
0
Belgium W wins
DateGameScore
22/09/22USA W v Belgium W87-72
11/02/22Belgium W v USA W75-84
USA Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/07/23ABrazil W58-69
09/07/23ACanada W67-63
07/07/23HColombia W68-49
05/07/23ACuba W106-44
04/07/23HBrazil W54-67
02/07/23AArgentina W65-56
01/07/23HVenezuela W80-54
01/10/22AChina W83-61
30/09/22ACanada W83-43
29/09/22HSerbia W88-55
Belgium Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23AAzerbaijan W136-28
08/11/23HPoland W62-67
25/06/23ASpain W64-58
24/06/23HFrance W67-63
22/06/23HSerbia W93-53
18/06/23HItaly W72-64
16/06/23ACzech Republic W84-41
15/06/23HIsrael W108-59
12/02/23ANorth Macedonia W102-43
09/02/23AGermany W69-44

📊 11. Overall Statistics

USA W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Belgium W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W110100%88.040.0+48.0
2 China W110100%94.047.0+47.0
3 Canada W440100%73.853.8+20.0
4 Japan W110100%86.075.0+11.0
5 Nigeria W110100%72.065.0+7.0
6 Puerto Rico W42250%63.275.2-12.0
7 Colombia W31233%69.774.0-4.3
8 Senegal W1010%65.072.0-7.0
9 Spain W1010%75.086.0-11.0
10 Hungary W1010%55.067.0-12.0
11 Venezuela W3030%56.074.3-18.3
12 New Zealand W1010%47.094.0-47.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
USA W1519232481
Belgium W1924231379
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