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USA W vs Japan W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Jul 2021
Tip-off: 04:40
Final 86-69
28-30 21-10 16-13 21-16
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game65.2
USA W 🏆
vs
Japan W
Position#7
Record2-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game71.5
EuropeOlympic Games Women
Women2020
Meetings · USA W v Japan W
29 Jul 2024
USA 102
JAPA76
08 Aug 2021
USA 90
JAPA75
30 Jul 2021
USA 86
JAPA69
16 Aug 2016
USA 110
JAPA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

USA W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Japan W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

USA WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#8
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H06/02
Olympic Games Women
Mozambique W
#16
W
124-49
124
49
+75
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Dominican Republic W
#8
W
102-39
102
39
+63
H12/06
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
87-65
87
65
+22
A14/06
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#6
W
102-53
102
53
+49
H14/06
AmeriCup Women
United States Virgin Islands W
#7
W
97-46
97
46
+51
H17/06
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#3
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H18/06
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A20/06
AmeriCup Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A27/07
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
22-20
28-13
18-22
36-10
23-12
33-12
32-15
20-21
6-19
24-17
26-14
25-17
22-6
20-2
35-14
18-23
25-10
25-12
19-20
23-18
33-11
25-16
21-8
24-10
22-15
25-12
26-9
13-21
12-12
25-10
21-17
17-21
17-15
21-11
19-12
17-20
27-12
26-18
11-22
148.5Avg total
90.2Scored
58.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.265.2157.5+27.0100%
Season at home (1)88.069.0157.0+19.0100%
Season away (3)93.764.0157.7+29.7100%
Last 10 (10)90.258.3148.5+31.9100%
Last 5 (5)85.058.0143.0+27.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.081.0154.0-8.00%
vs Similar (1)73.079.0152.0-6.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)91.558.6150.1+32.9100%
This opponent (Japan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Japan WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei W
#4
W
76-63
76
63
+13
A01/09
Asian Games Women
India W
#8
W
103-27
103
27
+76
H24/09
Asia Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#7
W
78-49
78
49
+29
A25/09
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#4
W
102-61
102
61
+41
H26/09
Asia Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H28/09
Asia Cup Women
China W
#2
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H29/09
Asia Cup Women
Sweden W
#15
W
75-54
75
54
+21
H06/02
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#6
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#5
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
France W
#4
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H27/07
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
6-19
26-13
24-17
28-7
22-11
31-6
22-3
21-12
6-21
27-9
24-7
24-5
21-21
30-16
27-19
15-23
20-5
17-20
24-16
17-19
17-16
20-16
17-17
10-12
15-8
28-18
22-16
22-13
12-27
19-28
31-24
17-15
13-16
19-21
19-18
13-17
21-19
18-13
22-21
142.5Avg total
80.7Scored
61.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.271.5146.8+3.850%
Season at home (2)74.562.0136.5+12.5100%
Season away (2)76.081.0157.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)80.761.8142.5+18.980%
Last 5 (5)74.470.8145.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.182.5156.5-8.438%
vs Similar (1)82.066.0148.0+16.0100%
vs Weaker (16)87.752.4140.1+35.2100%
This opponent (USA W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +7.7+7.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +12.9+12.9Q3: +7.5+7.5Q4Q4: +7.5+7.5Q4: +7.4+7.4
-16-8+0+8+16Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +7.7+7.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +12.9+12.9Q3: +7.5+7.5Q4Q4: +7.5+7.5Q4: +7.4+7.4
USA WJapan W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
USA WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#8
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H06/02
Olympic Games Women
Mozambique W
#16
W
59-22
59
22
+37
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Dominican Republic W
#8
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H12/06
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A14/06
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#6
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H14/06
AmeriCup Women
United States Virgin Islands W
#7
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H17/06
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#3
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H18/06
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A20/06
AmeriCup Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A27/07
Olympic Games Women
72.9Avg total
42.2Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.029.974.9+15.280%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.330.475.7+14.981%-
Last 30 away (14)44.729.374.0+15.479%-
Last 10 (10)42.230.772.9+11.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.031.072.0+10.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.036.072.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (1)38.039.077.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)45.629.374.9+16.386%-
This opponent (Japan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Japan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei W
#4
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A01/09
Asian Games Women
India W
#8
W
50-18
50
18
+32
H24/09
Asia Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#7
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A25/09
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#4
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H26/09
Asia Cup Women
Australia W
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H28/09
Asia Cup Women
China W
#2
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H29/09
Asia Cup Women
Sweden W
#15
W
25-20
25
20
+5
H06/02
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#6
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#5
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
France W
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H27/07
Olympic Games Women
64.0Avg total
34.0Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.332.772.0+6.657%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.931.070.9+8.972%-
Last 30 away (12)38.335.373.7+3.033%-
Last 10 (10)34.030.064.0+4.040%-
Last 5 (5)31.432.463.8-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.740.175.8-4.423%-
vs Similar (1)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker (16)41.826.868.5+15.081%-
This opponent (USA W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
USA W wins
0
Japan W wins
DateGameScore
16/08/16USA W v Japan W110-64
USA Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/07/21ANigeria W81-72
20/06/21APuerto Rico W74-59
18/06/21HBrazil W71-60
17/06/21HUnited States Virgin Islands W97-46
14/06/21HVenezuela W102-53
14/06/21APuerto Rico W87-65
12/06/21HDominican Republic W102-39
09/02/20ANigeria W76-71
08/02/20AMozambique W124-49
06/02/20HSerbia W88-69
Japan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/07/21HFrance W74-70
09/02/20ACanada W68-70
08/02/20ABelgium W84-92
06/02/20HSweden W75-54
29/09/19HChina W71-68
28/09/19HAustralia W76-64
26/09/19HSouth Korea W102-61
25/09/19AChinese Taipei W78-49
24/09/19HIndia W103-27
01/09/18AChinese Taipei W76-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

USA W
Olympic Games Women 2020
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.288.093.7
Allowed / game65.269.064.0
Point differential+27.0+19.0+29.7
Avg total157.5157.0157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Japan W
Olympic Games Women 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game75.274.576.0
Allowed / game71.562.081.0
Point differential+3.8+12.5-5.0
Avg total146.8136.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 USA W440100%92.265.2+27.0
2 China W440100%86.863.2+23.5
3 Spain W54180%76.463.6+12.8
4 Belgium W54180%76.264.0+12.2
5 Canada W54180%70.659.8+10.8
6 France W43175%80.065.0+15.0
7 Serbia W53260%71.470.6+0.8
8 Australia W42250%79.875.8+4.0
9 Japan W42250%75.271.5+3.8
10 Nigeria W41325%73.069.5+3.5
11 South Korea W51420%62.081.8-19.8
12 Puerto Rico W51420%64.692.4-27.8
13 Great Britain W3030%74.782.3-7.7
14 Brazil W3030%77.788.7-11.0
15 Sweden W3030%52.372.0-19.7
16 Mozambique W3030%49.395.0-45.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
USA W2821162186
Japan W3010131669
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