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USA W vs Japan W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Aug 2021
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 90-75
23-14 27-25 25-17 15-19
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game65.8
USA W 🏆
vs
Japan W
Position#7
Record5-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game76.4
EuropeOlympic Games WomenOlympic Games Women - Final
Women2020
Meetings · USA W v Japan W
29 Jul 2024
USA 102
JAPA76
08 Aug 2021
USA 90
JAPA75
30 Jul 2021
USA 86
JAPA69
16 Aug 2016
USA 110
JAPA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

USA W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Japan W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

USA WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
87-65
87
65
+22
A14/06
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#6
W
102-53
102
53
+49
H14/06
AmeriCup Women
United States Virgin Islands W
#7
W
97-46
97
46
+51
H17/06
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#3
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H18/06
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A20/06
AmeriCup Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A27/07
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#7
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H30/07
Olympic Games Women
France W
#4
W
93-82
93
82
+11
A02/08
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#9
W
79-55
79
55
+24
A04/08
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#8
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H06/08
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
25-10
25-12
19-20
23-18
33-11
25-16
21-8
24-10
22-15
25-12
26-9
13-21
12-12
25-10
21-17
17-21
17-15
21-11
19-12
17-20
27-12
26-18
11-22
28-30
21-10
16-13
21-16
19-22
31-22
21-23
22-15
26-12
22-15
20-12
11-16
25-12
16-11
17-16
21-20
146.9Avg total
84.9Scored
62.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.265.8154.0+22.5100%
Season at home (3)84.365.7150.0+18.7100%
Season away (5)90.665.8156.4+24.8100%
Last 10 (10)84.962.0146.9+22.9100%
Last 5 (5)83.667.4151.0+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)73.079.0152.0-6.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)88.458.7147.1+29.7100%
This opponent (Japan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Japan WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Australia W
#3
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H28/09
Asia Cup Women
China W
#2
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H29/09
Asia Cup Women
Sweden W
#15
W
75-54
75
54
+21
H06/02
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#6
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#5
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
France W
#4
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H27/07
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A30/07
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
102-83
102
83
+19
A02/08
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#6
W
86-85
86
85
+1
H04/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#4
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H06/08
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
20-5
17-20
24-16
17-19
17-16
20-16
17-17
10-12
15-8
28-18
22-16
22-13
12-27
19-28
31-24
17-15
13-16
19-21
19-18
13-17
21-19
18-13
22-21
30-28
10-21
13-16
16-21
30-22
21-16
33-19
18-26
19-16
22-26
20-26
25-17
14-22
27-12
27-16
19-21
153.5Avg total
79.2Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.676.4157.0+4.262%
Season at home (4)80.570.0150.5+10.5100%
Season away (4)80.882.8163.5-2.025%
Last 10 (10)79.274.3153.5+4.970%
Last 5 (5)83.679.0162.6+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)75.282.7157.9-7.540%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (15)90.354.3144.6+36.1100%
This opponent (USA W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +9.3+9.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +7.8+7.8Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +9.3+9.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +7.8+7.8Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +1.6+1.6
USA WJapan W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
USA WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A14/06
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#6
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H14/06
AmeriCup Women
United States Virgin Islands W
#7
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H17/06
AmeriCup Women
Brazil W
#3
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H18/06
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A20/06
AmeriCup Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A27/07
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H30/07
Olympic Games Women
France W
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A02/08
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#9
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A04/08
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#8
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H06/08
Olympic Games Women
75.8Avg total
43.6Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.330.174.4+14.283%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.930.574.5+13.487%-
Last 30 away (15)44.729.674.3+15.180%-
Last 10 (10)43.632.275.8+11.480%-
Last 5 (5)46.433.279.6+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)38.039.077.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)44.529.874.3+14.886%-
This opponent (Japan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Japan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Australia W
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H28/09
Asia Cup Women
China W
#2
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H29/09
Asia Cup Women
Sweden W
#15
W
25-20
25
20
+5
H06/02
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#6
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#5
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
France W
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H27/07
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A30/07
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A02/08
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H04/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H06/08
Olympic Games Women
71.8Avg total
36.5Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.533.973.4+5.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.832.171.9+7.665%-
Last 30 away (13)39.236.275.5+3.031%-
Last 10 (10)36.535.371.8+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.439.881.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.340.476.7-4.120%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (15)42.727.470.1+15.380%-
This opponent (USA W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
USA W wins
0
Japan W wins
DateGameScore
30/07/21USA W v Japan W86-69
16/08/16USA W v Japan W110-64
USA Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/08/21HSerbia W79-59
04/08/21AAustralia W79-55
02/08/21AFrance W93-82
30/07/21HJapan W86-69
27/07/21ANigeria W81-72
20/06/21APuerto Rico W74-59
18/06/21HBrazil W71-60
17/06/21HUnited States Virgin Islands W97-46
14/06/21HVenezuela W102-53
14/06/21APuerto Rico W87-65
Japan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/08/21HFrance W87-71
04/08/21HBelgium W86-85
02/08/21ANigeria W102-83
30/07/21AUSA W69-86
27/07/21HFrance W74-70
09/02/20ACanada W68-70
08/02/20ABelgium W84-92
06/02/20HSweden W75-54
29/09/19HChina W71-68
28/09/19HAustralia W76-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

USA W
Olympic Games Women 2020
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.284.390.6
Allowed / game65.865.765.8
Point differential+22.5+18.7+24.8
Avg total154.0150.0156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Japan W
Olympic Games Women 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game80.680.580.8
Allowed / game76.470.082.8
Point differential+4.2+10.5-2.0
Avg total157.0150.5163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 USA W880100%88.265.8+22.5
2 China W76186%81.066.6+14.4
3 Spain W75271%74.664.4+10.1
4 France W96367%79.871.3+8.4
5 Canada W64267%69.862.5+7.3
6 Japan W85362%80.676.4+4.2
7 Belgium W74357%75.468.6+6.9
8 Serbia W95456%70.472.7-2.2
9 Australia W73443%77.775.3+2.4
10 Nigeria W61517%72.877.8-5.0
11 South Korea W61517%61.879.0-17.2
12 Puerto Rico W61517%65.393.0-27.7
13 Great Britain W3030%74.782.3-7.7
14 Brazil W3030%77.788.7-11.0
15 Sweden W3030%52.372.0-19.7
16 Mozambique W3030%49.395.0-45.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
USA W2327251590
Japan W1425171975
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