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USC vs California Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 66-71
43-42 23-29
Position#215
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Position#268
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game77.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · USC v California
17 Nov 2024
USC66
CALI71
03 Jan 2024
USC82
CALI74
16 Feb 2023
USC97
CALI60
29 Jan 2022
USC79
CALI72
16 Jan 2020
USC88
CALI56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

USC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
California winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#219
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A25/02
NCAA
Washington State
#45
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A01/03
NCAA
Washington
#181
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A02/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H08/03
NCAA
Arizona
#31
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H10/03
NCAA
Washington
#181
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A13/03
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
49-70
49
70
-21
A14/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
77-51
77
51
+26
H05/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H08/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
98-95
98
95
+3
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
28-22
39-35
33-40
39-38
43-37
32-32
49-41
34-30
44-35
37-42
43-32
16-28
33-42
32-22
45-29
38-35
37-34
51-42
47-53
145.7Avg total
75.4Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.371.7155.0+11.7100%
Season at home (3)83.371.7155.0+11.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.470.3145.7+5.180%
Last 5 (5)75.871.8147.6+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.274.8148.0-1.533%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.275.8152.0+0.556%
vs Weaker (2)74.077.5151.5-3.550%
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#181
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A18/02
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H23/02
NCAA
Oregon
#75
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H25/02
NCAA
Colorado
#47
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A29/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#145
L
59-88
59
88
-29
A03/03
NCAA
Stanford
#259
L
58-80
58
80
-22
A08/03
NCAA
Stanford
#259
L
76-87 OT
76
87
-11
H14/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H05/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H08/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-38
40-42
34-43
47-30
30-34
39-30
31-45
47-43
32-42
27-46
32-41
26-39
45-34
24-35
46-28
40-45
39-35
52-38
31-49
38-36
154.0Avg total
74.9Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.077.0159.0+5.067%
Season at home (2)88.573.0161.5+15.5100%
Season away (1)69.085.0154.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)74.979.1154.0-4.250%
Last 5 (5)76.079.6155.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)75.081.7156.7-6.733%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.872.6147.4+2.258%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: -0.4-0.4
USCCalifornia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#219
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A25/02
NCAA
Washington State
#45
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A01/03
NCAA
Washington
#181
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A02/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H08/03
NCAA
Arizona
#31
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H10/03
NCAA
Washington
#181
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A13/03
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
16-28
16
28
-12
A14/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H05/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H08/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H14/11
NCAA
69.0Avg total
35.2Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.335.470.8-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.632.369.9+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)33.138.571.6-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)35.233.869.0+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)34.833.868.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.833.468.2+1.458%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)35.936.772.6-0.850%-
vs Weaker (2)34.037.571.5-3.50%-
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#181
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A18/02
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H23/02
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H25/02
NCAA
Colorado
#47
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A29/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#145
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A03/03
NCAA
Stanford
#259
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A08/03
NCAA
Stanford
#259
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H14/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H05/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H08/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A14/11
NCAA
75.1Avg total
36.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.836.771.5-1.945%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.134.770.8+1.456%-
Last 30 away (13)33.239.272.3-6.031%-
Last 10 (10)36.238.975.1-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.476.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)33.939.273.1-5.235%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.033.269.2+2.858%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
USC wins
1
California wins
DateGameScore
08/02/24California v USC83-77 OT
04/01/24USC v California82-74
17/02/23USC v California97-60
01/12/22California v USC51-66
30/01/22USC v California79-72
07/01/22California v USC63-77
24/01/21California v USC68-76
17/01/20USC v California88-56
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/24HUT Arlington98-95
08/11/24HIdaho State75-69
05/11/24HChattanooga Mocs77-51
14/03/24AArizona49-70
13/03/24AWashington80-74
10/03/24HArizona78-65
08/03/24HArizona State81-73
02/03/24AWashington82-75
01/03/24AWashington State72-75
25/02/24AUCLA62-56
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/24AVanderbilt69-85
08/11/24HCal Poly91-73
05/11/24HCSU Bakersfield86-73
14/03/24HStanford76-87 OT
08/03/24AStanford58-80
03/03/24AUtah Utes59-88
29/02/24AColorado78-88
25/02/24HOregon69-64
23/02/24HOregon State81-73
18/02/24AWashington82-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

USC
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.383.3-
Allowed / game71.771.7-
Point differential+11.7+11.7-
Avg total155.0155.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
California
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game82.088.569.0
Allowed / game77.073.085.0
Point differential+5.0+15.5-16.0
Avg total159.0161.5154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penn State440100%97.261.5+35.8
2 Illinois330100%89.359.7+29.7
3 Indiana330100%85.762.3+23.3
4 Wisconsin440100%88.568.0+20.5
5 Oregon440100%83.063.8+19.2
6 Rutgers330100%82.766.0+16.7
7 Iowa440100%87.571.0+16.5
8 Purdue440100%85.271.2+14.0
9 USC330100%83.371.7+11.7
10 UCLA43175%76.251.8+24.5
11 Maryland43175%80.858.0+22.8
12 Michigan State43175%83.066.5+16.5
13 Northwestern43175%76.562.2+14.2
14 Nebraska43175%77.565.5+12.0
15 Minnesota43175%64.557.8+6.8
16 Michigan32167%82.363.0+19.3
17 Ohio State32167%75.065.7+9.3
18 Washington21150%66.068.0-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (FL)330100%98.066.3+31.7
2 Pittsburgh440100%87.062.5+24.5
3 Stanford440100%83.561.0+22.5
4 Notre Dame330100%86.366.7+19.7
5 NC State330100%86.769.3+17.3
6 Virginia330100%65.753.7+12.0
7 Syracuse330100%88.083.0+5.0
8 Wake Forest54180%72.267.6+4.6
9 Duke43175%88.558.0+30.5
10 SMU Mustangs43175%87.271.0+16.2
11 Clemson43175%81.268.0+13.2
12 Florida State43175%73.266.5+6.8
13 Virginia Tech43175%74.568.0+6.5
14 North Carolina32167%95.374.3+21.0
15 California32167%82.077.0+5.0
16 Boston College32167%65.369.7-4.3
17 Louisville21150%74.061.0+13.0
18 Georgia Tech42250%82.076.5+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
USC432366
California422971
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