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USC vs California Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 82-74
37-29 45-45
Position#249
Record6-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game74.8
USC 🏆
USA
vs
Position#283
Record4-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game77.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · USC v California
17 Nov 2024
USC66
CALI71
03 Jan 2024
USC82
CALI74
16 Feb 2023
USC97
CALI60
29 Jan 2022
USC79
CALI72
16 Jan 2020
USC88
CALI56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

USC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
California winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brown
#276
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H20/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A24/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
106-78
106
78
+28
H30/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#21
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A03/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
H10/12
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
75-91
75
91
-16
A17/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
W
79-59
79
59
+20
A20/12
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A29/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-32
46-38
32-22
39-41
39-36
31-36
52-33
54-45
37-44
39-45
45-30
29-44
35-49
40-42
39-18
40-41
25-42
49-40
30-39
40-47
155.5Avg total
78.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.574.8152.3+2.846%
Season at home (6)80.370.7151.0+9.767%
Season away (7)75.178.3153.4-3.129%
Last 10 (10)78.177.4155.5+0.740%
Last 5 (5)75.480.4155.8-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.479.0155.4-2.625%
vs Similar ◀ (19)74.268.9143.1+5.368%
vs Weaker (3)78.365.0143.3+13.367%
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#213
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H17/11
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A21/11
NCAA
Tulane
#251
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H23/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
67-76 OT
67
76
-9
A26/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#125
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H03/12
NCAA
Butler
#164
L
90-97 OT
90
97
-7
A09/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A17/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#79
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H20/12
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
81-100
81
100
-19
H30/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-33
33-30
35-40
37-35
35-29
46-55
34-39
29-24
45-31
39-38
–
–
35-46
43-42
44-27
27-40
26-54
55-46
35-25
34-46
154.3Avg total
75.3Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.877.4153.2-1.531%
Season at home (9)75.474.4149.9+1.044%
Season away (4)76.884.0160.8-7.20%
Last 10 (10)75.379.0154.3-3.720%
Last 5 (5)77.884.6162.4-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)64.275.7139.9-11.515%
vs Similar ◀ (3)70.765.7136.3+5.033%
vs Weaker (1)79.087.0166.0-8.00%
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -1.4-1.4
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -1.4-1.4
USCCalifornia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brown
#276
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A24/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H30/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#21
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A03/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H10/12
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A17/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#281
W
39-18
39
18
+21
A20/12
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A29/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A31/12
NCAA
71.4Avg total
36.9Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.232.868.0+2.559%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.330.366.6+6.173%-
Last 30 away (14)34.135.469.5-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)36.934.571.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)34.835.670.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.939.072.9-5.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)35.731.066.7+4.772%-
vs Weaker (3)36.326.763.0+9.767%-
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#213
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H17/11
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A21/11
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H23/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A26/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#125
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H03/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A17/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#79
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H20/12
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
26-54
26
54
-28
H30/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H01/01
NCAA
71.1Avg total
35.1Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)30.634.665.2-4.136%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.933.966.8-0.944%-
Last 30 away (12)27.435.763.1-8.225%-
Last 10 (9)35.136.071.1-0.944%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.673.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)29.534.964.4-5.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)37.030.767.7+6.367%-
vs Weaker (1)38.040.078.0-2.00%-
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
USC wins
0
California wins
DateGameScore
17/02/23USC v California97-60
01/12/22California v USC51-66
30/01/22USC v California79-72
07/01/22California v USC63-77
24/01/21California v USC68-76
17/01/20USC v California88-56
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/23AOregon State70-86
29/12/23AOregon74-82
20/12/23AAlabama State79-59
17/12/23AAuburn75-91
10/12/23HLong Beach State79-84 OT
03/12/23AGonzaga76-89
30/11/23HEast. Washington106-78
24/11/23AOklahoma70-72
23/11/23HSeton Hall71-63
20/11/23HBrown81-70
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/24HArizona State69-71
30/12/23HArizona81-100
20/12/23HUC San Diego71-67
17/12/23AOle Miss78-88
09/12/23AButler90-97 OT
03/12/23HSanta Clara84-69
26/11/23ASan Diego State67-76 OT
23/11/23HTulane81-84
21/11/23AUTEP72-75
17/11/23HMontana State60-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

USC
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL46%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%67%29%
Points / game77.580.375.1
Allowed / game74.870.778.3
Point differential+2.8+9.7-3.1
Avg total152.3151.0153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
California
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL31%
HomeLWWLL44%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %31%44%0%
Points / game75.875.476.8
Allowed / game77.474.484.0
Point differential-1.5+1.0-7.2
Avg total153.2149.9160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %15%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1413193%85.467.0+18.4
2 Ohio State1412286%79.165.4+13.6
3 Nebraska1412286%78.265.8+12.4
4 Illinois1311285%83.965.5+18.4
5 Minnesota1310377%80.566.3+14.2
6 Wisconsin1310377%74.865.5+9.4
7 Oregon1310377%78.170.2+7.8
8 Northwestern1310377%72.465.6+6.8
9 Indiana1410471%75.974.3+1.6
10 Maryland149564%71.763.6+8.1
11 Michigan State138562%77.264.5+12.7
12 Washington138562%82.575.9+6.5
13 Rutgers138562%67.862.5+5.3
14 Iowa148657%86.777.8+8.9
15 Penn State137654%77.570.3+7.2
16 Michigan136746%83.279.1+4.1
17 USC136746%77.574.8+2.8
18 UCLA146843%66.161.9+4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson1311285%82.271.2+11.1
2 Miami (FL)1411379%83.970.8+13.1
3 Virginia1411379%66.655.9+10.6
4 Duke1310377%83.566.6+16.9
5 North Carolina1310377%85.072.0+13.0
6 Wake Forest1310377%81.568.7+12.8
7 NC State1310377%77.868.8+9.1
8 SMU Mustangs1410471%75.661.6+14.0
9 Syracuse1410471%77.571.5+6.0
10 Boston College139469%79.371.8+7.5
11 Virginia Tech139469%73.466.1+7.3
12 Pittsburgh149564%78.865.1+13.6
13 Georgia Tech138562%71.671.9-0.3
14 Stanford137654%78.273.6+4.5
15 Florida State137654%76.673.5+3.1
16 Notre Dame146843%62.864.8-2.0
17 Louisville135838%72.975.5-2.6
18 California134931%75.877.4-1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
USC374582
California294574
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