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California vs USC Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 83-77 (OT)
42-31 25-36 16-10
Position#283
Record9-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#249
Record9-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game73.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · California v USC
11 Nov 2026
CALI65
USC77
07 Feb 2024
CALI83
USC77
30 Nov 2022
CALI51
USC66
06 Jan 2022
CALI63
USC77
23 Jan 2021
CALI68
USC76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#267
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H01/01
NCAA
USC
#249
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A04/01
NCAA
UCLA
#219
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A07/01
NCAA
Colorado
#47
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H11/01
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A14/01
NCAA
Washington
#181
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H19/01
NCAA
Washington State
#45
W
81-75 OT
81
75
+6
H20/01
NCAA
Stanford
#259
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H27/01
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
65-91
65
91
-26
A02/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
W
81-66
81
66
+15
A03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-25
34-46
29-37
45-45
32-23
34-34
26-40
56-38
43-39
30-41
35-40
40-37
36-29
32-39
36-40
37-31
28-48
37-43
38-26
43-40
148.7Avg total
73.9Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.376.5151.8-1.241%
Season at home (13)76.274.7150.8+1.554%
Season away (9)74.079.1153.1-5.122%
Last 10 (10)73.974.8148.7-0.950%
Last 5 (5)75.076.0151.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)69.078.1147.1-9.123%
vs Similar ◀ (7)72.367.6139.9+4.757%
vs Weaker (1)79.087.0166.0-8.00%
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#284
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A31/12
NCAA
California
#283
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H04/01
NCAA
Stanford
#259
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H06/01
NCAA
Washington State
#45
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H11/01
NCAA
Colorado
#47
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A14/01
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A18/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A20/01
NCAA
UCLA
#219
L
50-65
50
65
-15
H28/01
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H02/02
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
W
82-54
82
54
+28
H04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-39
40-47
37-29
45-45
39-35
54-44
28-29
36-43
37-24
21-44
35-45
32-37
36-43
31-39
26-37
24-28
39-46
30-32
38-23
44-31
144.2Avg total
70.2Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.573.9148.5+0.641%
Season at home (12)76.870.5147.3+6.358%
Season away (10)71.878.0149.8-6.220%
Last 10 (10)70.274.0144.2-3.830%
Last 5 (5)67.072.2139.2-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.078.8151.8-5.811%
vs Similar ◀ (19)75.369.7145.0+5.563%
vs Weaker (2)82.071.0153.0+11.050%
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: -3.3-3.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: -3.3-3.3
CaliforniaUSC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#267
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H01/01
NCAA
USC
#249
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A04/01
NCAA
UCLA
#219
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A07/01
NCAA
Colorado
#47
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H11/01
NCAA
Oregon
#75
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A14/01
NCAA
Washington
#181
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H19/01
NCAA
Washington State
#45
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H20/01
NCAA
Stanford
#259
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H27/01
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A02/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A03/02
NCAA
68.5Avg total
33.8Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.535.968.3-3.438%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.234.368.5-0.144%-
Last 30 away (13)30.437.868.2-7.431%-
Last 10 (10)33.834.768.5-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)34.636.671.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)31.337.268.6-5.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.131.166.3+4.057%-
vs Weaker (1)38.040.078.0-2.00%-
This opponent (USC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#284
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A31/12
NCAA
California
#283
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H04/01
NCAA
Stanford
#259
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Washington State
#45
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H11/01
NCAA
Colorado
#47
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A14/01
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A18/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A20/01
NCAA
UCLA
#219
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H28/01
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H02/02
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H04/02
NCAA
69.5Avg total
34.5Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.132.869.0+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.530.867.2+5.765%-
Last 30 away (13)35.735.571.2+0.246%-
Last 10 (10)34.535.069.5-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.838.873.6-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.636.972.4-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)35.730.966.6+4.868%-
vs Weaker (2)43.033.076.0+10.050%-
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
California wins
7
USC wins
DateGameScore
04/01/24USC v California82-74
17/02/23USC v California97-60
01/12/22California v USC51-66
30/01/22USC v California79-72
07/01/22California v USC63-77
24/01/21California v USC68-76
17/01/20USC v California88-56
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24AArizona State81-66
02/02/24AArizona65-91
27/01/24HStanford73-71
20/01/24HWashington State81-75 OT
19/01/24HWashington75-77
14/01/24AOregon73-80
11/01/24HColorado82-78
07/01/24AUCLA66-57
04/01/24AUSC74-82
01/01/24HArizona State69-71
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24HOregon State82-54
02/02/24HOregon69-78
28/01/24HUCLA50-65
20/01/24AArizona State67-82
18/01/24AArizona67-82
14/01/24AColorado58-68
11/01/24HWashington State64-72
06/01/24HStanford93-79
04/01/24HCalifornia82-74
31/12/23AOregon State70-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW41%
HomeLWLWW54%
AwayLWLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %41%54%22%
Points / game75.376.274.0
Allowed / game76.574.779.1
Point differential-1.2+1.5-5.1
Avg total151.8150.8153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%15%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (8)0% (1)
Overtime %14%8%22%
USC
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW41%
HomeWLLLW58%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %41%58%20%
Points / game74.576.871.8
Allowed / game73.970.578.0
Point differential+0.6+6.3-6.2
Avg total148.5147.3149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%42%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina2318578%82.870.3+12.4
2 Virginia2318578%65.156.9+8.2
3 Duke2217577%80.767.7+13.0
4 SMU Mustangs2316770%76.464.4+12.0
5 Wake Forest2215768%80.770.0+10.7
6 Clemson2215768%79.072.4+6.6
7 Pittsburgh2315865%75.366.7+8.6
8 NC State2315865%75.270.0+5.2
9 Syracuse2315865%76.074.4+1.6
10 Miami (FL)2415962%78.371.7+6.6
11 Virginia Tech2213959%74.369.2+5.1
12 Boston College2213959%75.772.1+3.6
13 Florida State2213959%76.674.1+2.5
14 Stanford22111150%77.976.1+1.8
15 Georgia Tech23101343%72.076.2-4.2
16 California2291341%75.376.5-1.2
17 Notre Dame2371630%61.565.7-4.2
18 Louisville2371630%73.778.7-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2321291%85.370.0+15.3
2 Illinois2217577%82.569.6+12.9
3 Wisconsin2316770%75.168.0+7.1
4 Northwestern2316770%75.270.0+5.2
5 Minnesota2215768%75.767.6+8.0
6 Oregon2215768%77.572.6+4.9
7 Nebraska2416867%77.271.3+5.9
8 Michigan State2314961%74.565.0+9.5
9 Indiana2314961%73.674.2-0.7
10 Iowa2213959%84.277.3+6.9
11 Maryland23131057%68.863.0+5.8
12 Ohio State23131057%75.169.8+5.3
13 Washington22121055%81.477.3+4.1
14 Rutgers22121055%66.465.4+1.0
15 UCLA23121152%66.464.2+2.2
16 Penn State22111150%76.073.3+2.7
17 USC2291341%74.573.9+0.6
18 Michigan2381535%76.878.3-1.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
California42251683
USC31361077
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