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USC vs Purdue Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 64-69
32-38 32-31
Position#153
Record14-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game76.2
USC
USA
vs
Purdue 🏆
USA
Position#31
Record16-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game68.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

USC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#293
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A03/12
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H06/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
94-81
94
81
+13
A10/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H15/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
97-70
97
70
+27
H18/12
NCAA
UC Santa Cruz
#566
W
102-63
102
63
+39
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
66-96
66
96
-30
A03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
51-80
51
80
-29
A06/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
70-69 OT
70
69
+1
A10/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-39
43-38
48-30
28-54
38-38
56-43
33-26
35-35
40-31
57-39
45-26
57-37
31-49
35-47
17-33
34-47
35-30
28-33
42-41
46-30
154.6Avg total
79.4Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.576.2160.7+8.482%
Season at home (10)91.675.0166.6+16.690%
Season away (7)74.477.9152.3-3.471%
Last 10 (10)79.475.2154.6+4.270%
Last 5 (5)75.475.8151.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.281.1155.2-6.946%
vs Similar (11)80.377.0157.3+3.355%
vs Weaker (6)97.871.5169.3+26.3100%
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
81-65
81
65
+16
A03/12
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
58-81
58
81
-23
H06/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
85-57
85
57
+28
H11/12
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H13/12
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
88-60
88
60
+28
H20/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
101-60
101
60
+41
H30/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
89-73
89
73
+16
A04/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H08/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-27
41-38
31-35
27-46
35-32
50-25
37-21
42-38
46-32
42-28
51-27
50-33
45-38
44-35
45-28
36-45
45-44
48-41
31-34
48-38
151.9Avg total
83.4Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.068.3154.3+17.794%
Season at home (14)86.167.4153.4+18.793%
Season away (3)85.772.7158.3+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.468.5151.9+14.990%
Last 5 (5)88.672.6161.2+16.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.267.0134.2+0.250%
vs Similar (10)79.677.1156.7+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.267.5153.7+18.794%
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +8.8+8.82nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +6.1+6.1
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +8.8+8.82nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +6.1+6.1
USCPurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#293
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/12
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H06/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A10/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H15/12
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H18/12
NCAA
UC Santa Cruz
#566
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
17-33
17
33
-16
A06/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A10/01
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H14/01
NCAA
71.1Avg total
36.8Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.135.672.6+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.333.273.5+7.180%-
Last 30 away (15)33.837.971.7-4.120%-
Last 10 (10)36.834.371.1+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)34.035.869.8-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.536.368.8-3.831%-
vs Similar (11)38.435.273.5+3.255%-
vs Weaker (6)44.534.779.2+9.883%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A03/12
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H06/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H11/12
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H13/12
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H20/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H30/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A04/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H08/01
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H10/01
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H14/01
NCAA
72.4Avg total
40.6Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.432.572.9+7.880%-
Last 30 at home (21)41.431.873.2+9.681%-
Last 30 away (9)38.034.272.2+3.878%-
Last 10 (10)40.631.872.4+8.880%-
Last 5 (5)43.434.277.6+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.227.862.0+6.575%-
vs Similar (10)39.535.975.4+3.670%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.431.674.1+10.888%-
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
USC wins
2
Purdue wins
DateGameScore
14/03/25Purdue v USC76-71
08/02/25Purdue v USC90-72
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HMaryland88-71
10/01/26AMinnesota70-69 OT
06/01/26AMichigan State51-80
03/01/26AMichigan66-96
21/12/25HUC Santa Cruz102-63
18/12/25HUTSA Roadrunners97-70
15/12/25HWashington State68-61
10/12/25ASan Diego Toreros94-81
06/12/25HWashington76-84
03/12/25AOregon82-77
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26HIowa79-72
10/01/26HPenn State93-85
08/01/26HWashington81-73
04/01/26AWisconsin89-73
30/12/25HKent State101-60
20/12/25HAuburn88-60
13/12/25HMarquette79-59
11/12/25HMinnesota85-57
06/12/25HIowa State58-81
03/12/25ARutgers81-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

USC
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW82%
HomeLWWWW90%
AwayWWLLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %82%90%71%
Points / game84.591.674.4
Allowed / game76.275.077.9
Point differential+8.4+16.6-3.4
Avg total160.7166.6152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%60%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %12%10%14%
Purdue
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17143
Win %94%93%100%
Points / game86.086.185.7
Allowed / game68.367.472.7
Point differential+17.7+18.7+13.0
Avg total154.3153.4158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%64%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nebraska18180100%81.465.3+16.1
2 Michigan1716194%93.168.8+24.2
3 Purdue1716194%86.068.3+17.7
4 Michigan State1715288%79.064.2+14.8
5 Illinois1815383%85.167.4+17.7
6 USC1714382%84.576.2+8.4
7 Iowa1813572%78.462.4+16.1
8 Wisconsin1813572%83.575.7+7.8
9 Ohio State1712571%83.372.1+11.2
10 Indiana1812667%81.669.1+12.6
11 UCLA1812667%78.269.5+8.7
12 Washington1710759%81.173.6+7.5
13 Minnesota1810856%72.867.3+5.4
14 Penn State179853%77.175.1+1.9
15 Rutgers189950%70.774.4-3.7
16 Northwestern1881044%77.371.9+5.4
17 Oregon1881044%75.274.6+0.6
18 Maryland1771041%73.278.1-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
USC323264
Purdue383169
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