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USC vs UTSA Roadrunners Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 97-70
40-31 57-39
Position#153
Record10-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game76.9
USC 🏆
USA
vs
Position#365
Record4-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game72.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

USC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTSA Roadrunners winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manhattan
#296
W
114-83
114
83
+31
H09/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H15/11
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
H21/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A24/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H25/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
88-75
88
75
+13
A26/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A03/12
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H06/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
94-81
94
81
+13
A10/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
55-37
59-46
40-26
47-41
29-29
39-39
34-32
36-35
38-42
45-39
43-43
45-32
39-39
43-38
48-30
28-54
38-38
56-43
33-26
35-35
165.1Avg total
86.9Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.576.9164.5+10.691%
Season at home (7)89.978.0167.9+11.986%
Season away (4)83.575.0158.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)86.978.2165.1+8.790%
Last 5 (5)81.675.6157.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.779.7156.4-3.050%
vs Similar (13)81.578.6160.1+2.854%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)100.075.0175.0+25.0100%
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
97-30
97
30
+67
H06/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
60-77
60
77
-17
H07/11
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A13/11
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A15/11
NCAA
Southwestern Christian
#547
W
103-70
103
70
+33
H18/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A25/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A26/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
58-82
58
82
-24
H30/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
55-97
55
97
-42
A07/12
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
64-88
64
88
-24
A13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
56-18
41-12
29-34
31-43
26-38
43-42
37-28
47-51
53-33
50-37
26-39
24-22
29-33
48-31
31-44
27-38
17-56
38-41
32-35
32-53
144.5Avg total
71.7Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)71.772.8144.5-1.140%
Season at home (4)79.564.8144.2+14.850%
Season away (6)66.578.2144.7-11.733%
Last 10 (10)71.772.8144.5-1.140%
Last 5 (5)60.878.4139.2-17.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)64.275.6139.9-11.421%
vs Similar (14)78.978.6157.6+0.336%
vs Weaker (2)100.050.0150.0+50.0100%
This opponent (USC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +1.1+1.1
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +1.1+1.1
USCUTSA Roadrunners
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manhattan
#296
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H09/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Troy
#84
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H21/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A24/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H25/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A26/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/12
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H06/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A10/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H15/12
NCAA
73.9Avg total
39.7Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.336.173.3+1.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.334.473.7+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)35.237.772.9-2.513%-
Last 10 (10)39.734.273.9+5.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.235.275.4+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.936.670.4-2.729%-
vs Similar (13)38.835.474.2+3.446%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)46.736.783.3+10.067%-
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
56-18
56
18
+38
H06/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H07/11
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A13/11
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A15/11
NCAA
Southwestern Christian
#547
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H18/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A25/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A26/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H30/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
17-56
17
56
-39
A07/12
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A13/12
NCAA
69.4Avg total
33.6Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.934.968.9-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.132.070.1+6.169%-
Last 30 away (17)30.837.267.9-6.429%-
Last 10 (10)33.635.869.4-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)27.041.468.4-14.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)28.336.564.8-8.221%-
vs Similar (14)36.634.771.4+1.964%-
vs Weaker (2)54.525.580.0+29.0100%-
This opponent (USC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
USC wins
0
UTSA Roadrunners wins
No previous meetings.
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/25HWashington State68-61
10/12/25ASan Diego Toreros94-81
06/12/25HWashington76-84
03/12/25AOregon82-77
26/11/25AArizona State88-75
25/11/25HSeton Hall83-81
24/11/25ABoise State70-67
21/11/25HTroy107-106 OT
15/11/25HIllinois State87-67
09/11/25HManhattan114-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25AColorado64-88
07/12/25AAlabama55-97
30/11/25HSouth Alabama58-82
26/11/25AGeorgia Southern77-64
25/11/25AAbilene Christian50-61
18/11/25HSouthwestern Christian103-70
15/11/25ADenver84-79
13/11/25ATexas State69-80
07/11/25HSiu Edwardsville60-77
06/11/25HCBS Ambassadors97-30

📊 11. Overall Statistics

USC
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW91%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %91%86%100%
Points / game87.589.983.5
Allowed / game76.978.075.0
Point differential+10.6+11.9+8.5
Avg total164.5167.9158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%43%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %9%14%0%
UTSA Roadrunners
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL40%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game71.779.566.5
Allowed / game72.864.878.2
Point differential-1.1+14.8-11.7
Avg total144.5144.2144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan10100100%94.767.7+27.0
2 Nebraska11110100%83.868.3+15.5
3 Purdue1110191%84.667.1+17.5
4 Michigan State1110191%77.962.7+15.2
5 USC1110191%87.576.9+10.6
6 Iowa119282%79.361.8+17.5
7 Ohio State108280%87.672.9+14.7
8 Indiana118373%85.667.4+18.3
9 Illinois118373%87.871.5+16.3
10 Penn State118373%81.174.5+6.6
11 Washington107370%84.773.4+11.3
12 UCLA107370%76.766.7+10.0
13 Wisconsin107370%85.175.4+9.7
14 Northwestern117464%82.671.0+11.6
15 Minnesota116555%73.468.1+5.3
16 Maryland116555%77.680.5-2.9
17 Oregon105550%76.074.1+1.9
18 Rutgers115645%68.973.1-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa1110191%90.069.7+20.3
2 Florida Atlantic118373%83.971.3+12.6
3 North Texas118373%69.164.4+4.7
4 UAB128467%84.272.3+11.8
5 Tulane128467%74.276.4-2.2
6 Wichita State127558%77.167.2+9.8
7 South Florida116555%89.081.8+7.2
8 Temple116555%79.873.1+6.7
9 Rice126650%77.371.2+6.1
10 East Carolina125742%68.474.3-5.9
11 UTSA Roadrunners104640%71.772.8-1.1
12 Memphis104640%75.176.9-1.8
13 Charlotte114736%69.871.9-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
USC405797
UTSA Roadrunners313970
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