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Utah State vs Memphis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 99-75
48-34 51-41
Position#20
Record21-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game68.9
vs
Position#277
Record12-12
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game72.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Memphis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#101
W
93-68
93
68
+25
A11/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H15/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A17/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H21/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A24/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
94-62
94
62
+32
H29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H31/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
86-66
86
66
+20
A05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
46-23
47-45
29-23
42-39
36-42
38-42
38-38
38-48
25-35
40-26
50-28
44-34
34-34
37-32
36-33
50-33
39-35
46-48
47-35
44-43
152.2Avg total
80.6Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.168.9153.0+15.288%
Season at home (13)85.769.5155.2+16.292%
Season away (11)82.268.1150.3+14.182%
Last 10 (10)80.671.6152.2+9.080%
Last 5 (5)85.471.0156.4+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)68.178.1146.3-10.029%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.767.0151.7+17.791%
This opponent (Memphis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MemphisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A11/01
NCAA
Temple
#205
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H15/01
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
95-69
95
69
+26
H18/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A22/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A24/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H30/01
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H01/02
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A06/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
77-54
77
54
+23
H08/02
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-36
44-53
29-22
26-31
43-33
52-36
30-34
36-49
22-40
37-34
41-33
51-32
31-39
45-39
44-35
46-45
37-17
40-37
32-33
37-43
147.8Avg total
75.7Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.872.8147.5+2.050%
Season at home (14)76.467.2143.6+9.271%
Season away (10)72.580.5153.0-8.020%
Last 10 (10)75.772.1147.8+3.650%
Last 5 (5)80.870.6151.4+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)71.773.3145.0-1.646%
vs Similar (13)76.973.2150.1+3.854%
vs Weaker (4)84.271.8156.0+12.5100%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +1.5+1.5
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +1.5+1.5
Utah StateMemphis
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#101
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A11/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H15/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A17/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H31/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H11/02
NCAA
70.6Avg total
38.0Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.333.872.2+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.731.773.5+10.073%-
Last 30 away (15)34.935.970.9-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)38.032.670.6+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.233.074.2+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)30.140.470.6-10.329%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)40.831.872.7+9.070%-
This opponent (Memphis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MemphisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A11/01
NCAA
Temple
#205
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H15/01
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H18/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A22/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A24/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H30/01
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H01/02
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A06/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
37-17
37
17
+20
H08/02
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A13/02
NCAA
66.5Avg total
34.3Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.233.368.5+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.130.766.8+5.468%-
Last 30 away (11)33.537.771.3-4.218%-
Last 10 (10)34.332.266.5+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.031.468.4+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)33.333.566.8-0.246%-
vs Similar (13)35.732.468.1+3.354%-
vs Weaker (4)39.535.875.2+3.850%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Utah State wins
0
Memphis wins
No previous meetings.
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HFresno State91-78
08/02/26AWyoming85-83
05/02/26ANew Mexico86-66
31/01/26HSan Diego State71-66
29/01/26HWyoming94-62
24/01/26AColorado State65-61
21/01/26HUNLV76-86
17/01/26AGrand Canyon74-84
15/01/26HNevada71-62
11/01/26ABoise State93-68
Memphislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26ANorth Texas69-76
08/02/26HCharlotte77-54
06/02/26AUAB90-80
01/02/26HTulane76-78
30/01/26HFlorida Atlantic92-65
24/01/26AWichita State59-74
22/01/26ATulsa66-83
18/01/26HUTSA Roadrunners95-69
15/01/26HTemple55-53
11/01/26AFlorida Atlantic78-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWLWWW92%
AwayWLWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %88%92%82%
Points / game84.185.782.2
Allowed / game68.969.568.1
Point differential+15.2+16.2+14.1
Avg total153.0155.2150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%54%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Memphis
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %50%71%20%
Points / game74.876.472.5
Allowed / game72.867.280.5
Point differential+2.0+9.2-8.0
Avg total147.5143.6153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2421388%84.168.9+15.2
2 New Mexico2519676%80.869.5+11.3
3 San Diego State2317674%80.269.9+10.3
4 Nevada2417771%77.071.2+5.8
5 Grand Canyon2516964%75.368.8+6.5
6 Colorado State25151060%76.070.3+5.6
7 Boise State25151060%79.374.6+4.8
8 Wyoming25131252%77.473.2+4.2
9 UNLV25131252%79.278.8+0.4
10 Fresno State25121348%73.771.8+1.9
11 San Jose State2561924%70.277.4-7.2
12 Air Force2532212%61.479.0-17.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa2620677%85.673.0+12.6
2 South Florida2517868%89.078.4+10.6
3 UAB2516964%80.874.6+6.2
4 Temple2415962%75.270.7+4.5
5 Wichita State26161062%77.170.0+7.1
6 Tulane24141058%73.474.4-1.0
7 Florida Atlantic25141156%81.075.0+6.0
8 North Texas25141156%70.866.3+4.5
9 Charlotte24131154%73.373.5-0.2
10 Memphis24121250%74.872.8+2.0
11 Rice26111542%74.774.9-0.2
12 East Carolina2591636%70.376.4-6.1
13 UTSA Roadrunners2442017%68.880.7-11.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah State485199
Memphis344175
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