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New Mexico vs Utah State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 66-86
33-36 33-50
Position#50
Record18-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game68.0
vs
Position#20
Record18-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game67.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · New Mexico v Utah State
29 Nov 2026
NEW v UTAH
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
NEW 66
UTAH86
12 Jan 2026
NEW v UTAH
upcoming
16 Feb 2025
NEW 82
UTAH79
16 Jan 2024
NEW 99
UTAH86
08 Jan 2022
NEW 87
UTAH90
08 Jan 2021
NEW 46
UTAH82
06 Jan 2021
NEW 45
UTAH77
29 Feb 2020
NEW 66
UTAH64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#101
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A31/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A07/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
91-49
91
49
+42
A10/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H14/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A18/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H22/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H25/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
89-61
89
61
+28
A28/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
19-21
34-41
34-31
44-27
39-30
41-40
45-22
46-27
38-33
49-31
35-48
44-35
36-23
47-51
36-35
44-38
41-22
48-39
41-35
49-45
148.4Avg total
81.0Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.568.0149.6+13.582%
Season at home (14)83.167.0150.1+16.193%
Season away (8)78.969.9148.8+9.062%
Last 10 (10)81.067.4148.4+13.680%
Last 5 (5)84.274.2158.4+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.673.6150.1+3.044%
vs Weaker (21)80.265.4145.6+14.890%
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A31/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
96-78
96
78
+18
H03/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
99-62
99
62
+37
A07/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
93-68
93
68
+25
A11/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H15/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A17/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H21/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A24/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
94-62
94
62
+32
H29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-26
37-37
48-51
48-27
45-31
54-31
46-23
47-45
29-23
42-39
36-42
38-42
38-38
38-48
25-35
40-26
50-28
44-34
34-34
37-32
150.3Avg total
81.1Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.667.9151.5+15.786%
Season at home (12)85.268.8154.1+16.492%
Season away (9)81.466.7148.1+14.878%
Last 10 (10)81.169.2150.3+11.980%
Last 5 (5)76.071.8147.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)68.679.2147.9-10.625%
vs Weaker (22)85.365.3150.6+20.091%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: +6.4+6.4
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: +6.4+6.4
New MexicoUtah State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#101
L
19-21
19
21
-2
A31/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A07/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
45-22
45
22
+23
A10/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H14/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A18/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H22/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H25/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A28/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A01/02
NCAA
66.4Avg total
36.4Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.131.167.2+5.077%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.630.667.2+6.089%-
Last 30 away (12)35.331.967.2+3.458%-
Last 10 (10)36.430.066.4+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)37.832.670.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.836.471.2-1.756%-
vs Weaker (21)36.728.965.5+7.886%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A31/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H03/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A07/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A11/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H15/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A17/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H31/01
NCAA
71.7Avg total
38.6Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.333.371.6+5.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.230.771.9+10.575%-
Last 30 away (14)35.136.271.3-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)38.633.171.7+5.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.635.472.0+1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)31.239.070.2-7.838%-
vs Weaker (22)40.931.272.1+9.768%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
New Mexico wins
7
Utah State wins
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26ASan Jose State90-80
28/01/26AUNLV89-61
25/01/26HNevada80-73
22/01/26HFresno State83-74
18/01/26ASan Diego State79-83
14/01/26HGrand Canyon87-64
10/01/26AAir Force91-49
07/01/26AColorado State80-70
04/01/26HWyoming78-58
31/12/25ABoise State53-62
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HSan Diego State71-66
29/01/26HWyoming94-62
24/01/26AColorado State65-61
21/01/26HUNLV76-86
17/01/26AGrand Canyon74-84
15/01/26HNevada71-62
11/01/26ABoise State93-68
07/01/26AAir Force99-62
03/01/26HSan Jose State96-78
31/12/25AFresno State72-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %82%93%62%
Points / game81.583.178.9
Allowed / game68.067.069.9
Point differential+13.5+16.1+9.0
Avg total149.6150.1148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%64%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Utah State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW86%
HomeWWLWW92%
AwayWWWLW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %86%92%78%
Points / game83.685.281.4
Allowed / game67.968.866.7
Point differential+15.7+16.4+14.8
Avg total151.5154.1148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%50%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2118386%83.667.9+15.7
2 New Mexico2218482%81.568.0+13.5
3 San Diego State2216673%79.870.6+9.2
4 Nevada2316770%77.371.7+5.6
5 Grand Canyon2215768%74.867.7+7.1
6 Boise State2314961%78.773.4+5.3
7 Wyoming23131057%77.672.4+5.2
8 Colorado State22121055%75.670.9+4.8
9 Fresno State22111150%73.371.5+1.9
10 UNLV22101245%78.778.8-0.0
11 San Jose State2261627%70.177.0-6.8
12 Air Force2231914%61.177.4-16.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico333366
Utah State365086
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