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Utah State vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 71-62
29-23 42-39
Position#20
Record14-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game67.0
Utah State 🏆
USA
vs
Nevada
USA
Position#86
Record12-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game71.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Utah State v Nevada
13 Mar 2026
UTAH79
NEVA66
14 Jan 2026
UTAH71
NEVA62
22 Jan 2025
UTAH90
NEVA69
06 Feb 2024
UTAH63
NEVA77
18 Feb 2023
UTAH75
NEVA66
11 Feb 2022
UTAH72
NEVA85
28 Feb 2021
UTAH87
NEVA66
26 Feb 2021
UTAH75
NEVA72
02 Feb 2021
UTAH v NEVA
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
UTAH80
NEVA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davidson
#109
W
94-60
94
60
+34
A24/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
H29/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A05/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
79-53
79
53
+26
A07/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H13/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
100-58
100
58
+42
H20/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A31/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
96-78
96
78
+18
H03/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
99-62
99
62
+37
A07/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
93-68
93
68
+25
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
48-30
46-30
36-34
33-35
20-41
41-33
44-30
35-23
40-33
43-45
45-24
55-34
35-26
37-37
48-51
48-27
45-31
54-31
46-23
47-45
153.6Avg total
86.1Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)87.067.0154.0+20.093%
Season at home (8)88.968.8157.6+20.1100%
Season away (7)84.965.0149.9+19.986%
Last 10 (10)86.167.5153.6+18.690%
Last 5 (5)92.065.8157.8+26.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)70.580.1150.6-9.630%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.564.7152.1+22.8100%
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#218
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H27/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H28/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H03/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A07/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H14/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H21/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A31/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A04/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-34
38-49
38-37
43-28
35-27
41-43
31-32
47-32
42-35
36-40
36-26
45-40
37-36
38-26
21-26
45-39
36-34
32-39
38-39
54-44
146.7Avg total
76.1Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.171.9149.0+5.175%
Season at home (12)77.671.8149.4+5.875%
Season away (4)75.572.2147.8+3.275%
Last 10 (10)76.170.6146.7+5.580%
Last 5 (5)76.469.8146.2+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)68.876.2145.0-7.50%
vs Similar (19)72.371.2143.4+1.158%
vs Weaker (7)79.364.0143.3+15.3100%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +8.4+8.41st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +9.9+9.92nd half: +3.9+3.9
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +8.4+8.41st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +9.9+9.92nd half: +3.9+3.9
Utah StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Davidson
#109
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A24/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H29/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
20-41
20
41
-21
A05/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A07/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H13/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A31/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H03/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A07/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A11/01
NCAA
73.0Avg total
40.7Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.132.771.8+6.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.530.171.6+11.387%-
Last 30 away (15)36.835.372.1+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)40.732.373.0+8.480%-
Last 5 (5)43.831.074.8+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)33.137.270.3-4.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.130.472.6+11.780%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#218
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H27/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H28/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H03/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A07/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A31/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
21-26
21
26
-5
A04/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H11/01
NCAA
66.8Avg total
34.2Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.932.465.3+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.432.167.4+3.358%-
Last 30 away (11)28.533.161.6-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)34.232.666.8+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)33.632.265.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)32.037.869.8-5.80%-
vs Similar (19)32.932.565.5+0.453%-
vs Weaker (7)33.129.162.3+4.057%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Utah State wins
3
Nevada wins
DateGameScore
23/01/25Utah State v Nevada90-69
01/01/25Nevada v Utah State64-69
07/02/24Utah State v Nevada63-77
19/02/23Utah State v Nevada75-66
14/01/23Nevada v Utah State85-70
12/02/22Utah State v Nevada72-85
30/01/22Nevada v Utah State49-78
01/03/21Utah State v Nevada87-66
27/02/21Utah State v Nevada75-72
12/01/20Utah State v Nevada80-70
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26ABoise State93-68
07/01/26AAir Force99-62
03/01/26HSan Jose State96-78
31/12/25AFresno State72-63
20/12/25HColorado State100-58
13/12/25HIllinois State83-78
07/12/25ACharlotte79-53
05/12/25ASouth Florida61-74
29/11/25HMontana State84-81 OT
24/11/25ADavidson94-60
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HWyoming92-83
07/01/26HSan Diego State68-73
04/01/26AFresno State66-65
31/12/25AColorado State75-62
21/12/25HBoise State81-66
14/12/25HDuquesne78-75
07/12/25AWashington State78-64
03/12/25HUC San Diego76-70
28/11/25HSan Francisco81-65
27/11/25HWashington66-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game87.088.984.9
Allowed / game67.068.865.0
Point differential+20.0+20.1+19.9
Avg total154.0157.6149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%62%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %7%12%0%
Nevada
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16124
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game77.177.675.5
Allowed / game71.971.872.2
Point differential+5.1+5.8+3.2
Avg total149.0149.4147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %6%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1514193%87.067.0+20.0
2 New Mexico1714382%80.866.2+14.5
3 San Diego State1612475%81.971.8+10.1
4 Nevada1612475%77.171.9+5.1
5 Wyoming1711665%82.472.8+9.6
6 Colorado State1711665%78.971.9+7.1
7 Grand Canyon1610662%74.868.6+6.2
8 Boise State179853%76.774.4+2.3
9 UNLV168850%79.177.3+1.8
10 Fresno State178947%73.170.8+2.3
11 San Jose State1761135%72.275.6-3.4
12 Air Force1731418%62.075.6-13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah State294271
Nevada233962
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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