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Utah State vs UNLV Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 76-86
38-38 38-48
Position#20
Record15-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game67.7
vs
UNLV 🏆
USA
Position#192
Record9-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game76.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Utah State v UNLV
12 Mar 2026
UTAH80
UNLV60
20 Jan 2026
UTAH76
UNLV86
13 Mar 2025
UTAH70
UNLV58
29 Jan 2025
UTAH76
UNLV71
17 Jan 2023
UTAH75
UNLV71
05 Feb 2022
UTAH90
UNLV75
11 Mar 2021
UTAH74
UNLV53
05 Feb 2020
UTAH69
UNLV54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UNLV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#40
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A05/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
79-53
79
53
+26
A07/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H13/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
100-58
100
58
+42
H20/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A31/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
96-78
96
78
+18
H03/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
99-62
99
62
+37
A07/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
93-68
93
68
+25
A11/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H15/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
20-41
41-33
44-30
35-23
40-33
43-45
45-24
55-34
35-26
37-37
48-51
48-27
45-31
54-31
46-23
47-45
29-23
42-39
36-42
38-42
150.8Avg total
82.8Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)85.367.7153.0+17.688%
Season at home (9)86.968.0154.9+18.9100%
Season away (8)83.567.4150.9+16.175%
Last 10 (10)82.868.0150.8+14.880%
Last 5 (5)86.670.8157.4+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)70.580.1150.6-9.630%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.565.5152.1+21.095%
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A27/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A07/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H14/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H21/12
NCAA
La Sierra
#545
W
89-47
89
47
+42
H30/12
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
67-39
67
39
+28
H03/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
66-98
66
98
-32
A07/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A10/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
H14/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-33
26-47
38-39
37-35
33-29
27-34
39-41
45-31
49-19
40-28
35-20
32-19
26-48
40-50
29-32
33-38
40-39
36-37
40-31
36-31
142.3Avg total
73.3Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.976.4155.4+2.553%
Season at home (9)84.872.0156.8+12.867%
Season away (8)72.481.4153.8-9.038%
Last 10 (10)73.369.0142.3+4.360%
Last 5 (5)72.070.8142.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)66.476.0142.4-9.610%
vs Similar (11)82.678.2160.8+4.573%
vs Weaker (9)69.957.9127.8+12.078%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +8.4+8.42nd half: +0.2+0.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +8.4+8.42nd half: +0.2+0.2
Utah StateUNLV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#40
L
20-41
20
41
-21
A05/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A07/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H13/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A31/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H03/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A07/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A11/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H15/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A17/01
NCAA
71.2Avg total
38.8Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.833.071.8+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.230.171.3+11.187%-
Last 30 away (15)36.435.972.3+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)38.832.471.2+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.834.074.8+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)33.137.270.3-4.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)41.630.972.5+10.875%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#267
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A27/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A07/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H14/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H21/12
NCAA
La Sierra
#545
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H30/12
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H03/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A07/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A17/01
NCAA
69.9Avg total
36.8Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.432.968.3+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.531.869.3+5.760%-
Last 30 away (15)33.334.167.3-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)36.833.169.9+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)34.034.068.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)31.935.467.3-3.520%-
vs Similar (11)38.937.876.7+1.155%-
vs Weaker (9)34.924.259.1+10.789%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Utah State wins
2
UNLV wins
DateGameScore
14/03/25Utah State v UNLV70-58
30/01/25Utah State v UNLV76-71
16/01/25UNLV v Utah State65-62
13/01/24UNLV v Utah State86-87
02/03/23UNLV v Utah State66-91
18/01/23Utah State v UNLV75-71
05/02/22Utah State v UNLV90-75
12/03/21Utah State v UNLV74-53
28/01/21UNLV v Utah State74-83
26/01/21UNLV v Utah State59-56
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AGrand Canyon74-84
15/01/26HNevada71-62
11/01/26ABoise State93-68
07/01/26AAir Force99-62
03/01/26HSan Jose State96-78
31/12/25AFresno State72-63
20/12/25HColorado State100-58
13/12/25HIllinois State83-78
07/12/25ACharlotte79-53
05/12/25ASouth Florida61-74
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26ASan Jose State76-62
14/01/26HBoise State89-85 OT
10/01/26AColorado State62-70
07/01/26AWyoming66-98
03/01/26HAir Force67-39
30/12/25HLa Sierra89-47
21/12/25HFresno State84-72
14/12/25HTennessee State60-63
07/12/25AStanford75-74
27/11/25ARutgers65-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game85.386.983.5
Allowed / game67.768.067.4
Point differential+17.6+18.9+16.1
Avg total153.0154.9150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%56%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %6%11%0%
UNLV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW53%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %53%67%38%
Points / game78.984.872.4
Allowed / game76.472.081.4
Point differential+2.5+12.8-9.0
Avg total155.4156.8153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%56%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1715288%85.367.7+17.6
2 New Mexico1814478%80.767.2+13.5
3 San Diego State1713476%82.072.2+9.8
4 Nevada1914574%77.070.6+6.4
5 Grand Canyon1711665%75.468.9+6.4
6 Colorado State1912763%78.771.2+7.5
7 Wyoming1911858%80.372.7+7.6
8 Boise State1911858%77.173.8+3.2
9 UNLV179853%78.976.4+2.5
10 Fresno State189950%72.570.2+2.3
11 San Jose State1961332%70.776.2-5.5
12 Air Force1931616%61.776.2-14.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah State383876
UNLV384886
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