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Utah State vs Air Force Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 87-47
50-23 37-24
Position#28
Record24-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#367
Record4-26
FormLWLLL
Points / game62.5
Allowed / game73.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Utah State v Air Force
08 Mar 2025
UTAH87
AIR 47
01 Mar 2024
UTAH72
AIR 60
14 Feb 2023
UTAH80
AIR 65
09 Mar 2022
UTAH83
AIR 56
01 Feb 2022
UTAH73
AIR 46
21 Jan 2020
UTAH72
AIR 47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#165
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H30/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
63-82
63
82
-19
H02/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A05/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A08/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H12/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A16/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
105-57
105
57
+48
H20/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H23/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A27/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
66-93
66
93
-27
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-24
43-47
36-30
27-52
30-35
41-32
50-31
39-50
45-30
48-55
42-36
37-46
47-24
58-33
33-26
46-45
31-37
34-45
22-48
44-45
155.7Avg total
78.6Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)81.370.7152.0+10.680%
Season at home (16)88.470.2158.7+18.288%
Season away (14)73.271.2144.4+2.071%
Last 10 (10)78.677.1155.7+1.560%
Last 5 (5)78.877.0155.8+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.075.0148.0-2.00%
vs Similar (10)72.976.5149.4-3.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.568.2152.7+16.394%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#49
L
58-79
58
79
-21
A29/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A01/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
60-74
60
74
-14
H05/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
53-88
53
88
-35
H08/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
52-77
52
77
-25
A12/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A19/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
72-69 OT
72
69
+3
H22/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
55-77
55
77
-22
H26/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A01/03
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
57-80
57
80
-23
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-38
21-41
29-37
35-38
28-30
32-44
24-34
29-54
22-44
30-33
38-28
24-41
31-32
30-29
26-28
29-49
32-47
39-45
21-38
36-42
138.4Avg total
60.4Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)62.573.4135.9-10.913%
Season at home (17)63.771.9135.6-8.224%
Season away (13)61.075.4136.4-14.40%
Last 10 (10)60.478.0138.4-17.610%
Last 5 (5)63.477.4140.8-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)62.173.5135.6-11.411%
vs Similar (2)68.571.5140.0-3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: -6.8-6.82nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: -11.1-11.1
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: -6.8-6.82nd half2nd half: -3.3-3.32nd half: -11.1-11.1
Utah StateAir Force
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#165
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H30/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A05/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A08/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H12/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A16/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H20/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H23/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A27/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
22-48
22
48
-26
A01/03
NCAA
69.0Avg total
36.9Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.532.370.7+6.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.630.372.9+12.388%-
Last 30 away (14)33.734.568.2-0.836%-
Last 10 (10)36.932.169.0+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)35.034.269.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.032.071.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (10)33.734.067.7-0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)39.631.771.3+7.967%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#49
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A29/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A01/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H05/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H08/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A12/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A19/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H26/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A01/03
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
21-38
21
38
-17
H05/03
NCAA
64.4Avg total
28.8Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.634.362.9-5.627%-
Last 30 at home (17)28.332.660.9-4.329%-
Last 30 away (13)29.136.565.5-7.423%-
Last 10 (10)28.835.664.4-6.810%-
Last 5 (5)29.634.664.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)28.734.162.8-5.429%-
vs Similar (2)27.536.564.0-9.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Utah State wins
1
Air Force wins
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AColorado State66-93
27/02/25ABoise State65-82
23/02/25HSan Diego State79-71
20/02/25HSan Jose State105-57
16/02/25ANew Mexico79-82
12/02/25HColorado State93-85
08/02/25AFresno State89-81
05/02/25AWyoming71-67
02/02/25HNew Mexico63-82
30/01/25HUNLV76-71
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HBoise State57-80
01/03/25ANew Mexico71-92
26/02/25HColorado State55-77
22/02/25HFresno State72-69 OT
19/02/25AWyoming62-69
12/02/25AUNLV52-77
08/02/25HNew Mexico53-88
05/02/25HNevada60-74
01/02/25ASan Jose State64-75
29/01/25AColorado State58-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL80%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayWWLLL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %80%88%71%
Points / game81.388.473.2
Allowed / game70.770.271.2
Point differential+10.6+18.2+2.0
Avg total152.0158.7144.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)75% (4)71% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Air Force
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL13%
HomeLLWLL24%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %13%24%0%
Points / game62.563.761.0
Allowed / game73.471.975.4
Point differential-10.9-8.2-14.4
Avg total135.9135.6136.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%6%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico3125681%82.271.3+10.9
2 Utah State3024680%81.370.7+10.6
3 Grand Canyon2923679%78.268.1+10.1
4 San Diego State2820871%71.263.8+7.4
5 Boise State3122971%76.066.3+9.7
6 Colorado State3122971%75.567.5+7.9
7 UNLV31171455%69.668.4+1.3
8 Nevada30161453%72.767.7+5.0
9 San Jose State31131842%72.474.3-1.9
10 Wyoming31121939%67.471.3-4.0
11 Fresno State3062420%70.880.1-9.3
12 Air Force3042613%62.573.4-10.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah State503787
Air Force232447
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