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Montana State vs Idaho Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 75-60
41-31 34-29
Position#238
Record13-17
FormWWLLW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#271
Record13-17
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game75.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Montana State v Idaho
16 Jan 2027
MONT v IDAH
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
MONT74
IDAH78
05 Feb 2026
MONT73
IDAH66
03 Mar 2025
MONT75
IDAH60
03 Feb 2024
MONT75
IDAH81
29 Dec 2022
MONT72
IDAH58
29 Jan 2022
MONT70
IDAH64
06 Feb 2020
MONT72
IDAH50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Idaho winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#53
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A26/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H31/01
NCAA
Portland State
#129
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H02/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A09/02
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H14/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H16/02
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H23/02
NCAA
Portland State
#129
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A28/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
87-60
87
60
+27
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-42
40-35
34-29
36-29
38-35
36-38
38-40
26-29
28-30
38-43
38-25
36-41
36-30
38-39
40-49
45-40
25-37
27-32
45-34
42-26
141.9Avg total
71.6Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)71.870.2142.0+1.643%
Season at home (13)76.264.8141.0+11.577%
Season away (17)68.474.4142.8-5.918%
Last 10 (10)71.670.3141.9+1.350%
Last 5 (5)74.470.6145.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.374.8143.2-6.517%
vs Similar ◀ (17)70.672.6143.2-2.041%
vs Weaker (7)77.760.4138.1+17.371%
This opponent (Idaho) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IdahoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#160
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H25/01
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A31/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A01/02
NCAA
Portland State
#129
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H07/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H08/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
74-92
74
92
-18
A23/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H28/02
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-37
31-43
36-31
46-43
29-39
42-48
19-39
50-37
39-47
39-29
41-36
32-39
45-27
38-51
47-48
27-44
32-36
33-33
29-27
43-45
153.4Avg total
74.8Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.575.7150.2-1.243%
Season at home (15)75.973.1148.9+2.853%
Season away (15)73.178.3151.4-5.133%
Last 10 (10)74.878.6153.4-3.840%
Last 5 (5)75.278.6153.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)70.279.1149.4-8.921%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.175.3150.4-0.258%
vs Weaker (4)87.864.5152.2+23.275%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: -3.1-3.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: -3.1-3.1
Montana StateIdaho
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#53
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Portland State
#129
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H02/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A09/02
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H14/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H16/02
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H23/02
NCAA
Portland State
#129
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A28/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A01/03
NCAA
70.3Avg total
35.2Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.634.068.6+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.629.867.4+7.877%-
Last 30 away (17)32.437.269.6-4.929%-
Last 10 (10)35.235.170.3+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.071.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.235.068.2-1.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)33.335.168.4-1.841%-
vs Weaker (7)39.130.469.6+8.771%-
This opponent (Idaho) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IdahoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#160
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H25/01
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A31/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A01/02
NCAA
Portland State
#129
L
19-39
19
39
-20
H07/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H08/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A16/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A21/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A23/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H28/02
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H01/03
NCAA
72.5Avg total
35.8Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.034.269.2+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.234.168.3+0.160%-
Last 30 away (15)35.934.370.1+1.640%-
Last 10 (10)35.836.772.5-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.834.873.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.736.470.1-2.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.632.867.4+1.867%-
vs Weaker (4)41.030.271.2+10.875%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Montana State wins
4
Idaho wins
DateGameScore
03/01/25Idaho v Montana State69-64
01/03/24Idaho v Montana State48-62
04/02/24Montana State v Idaho75-81
17/01/23Idaho v Montana State74-70
30/12/22Montana State v Idaho72-58
29/01/22Montana State v Idaho70-64
07/01/22Idaho v Montana State72-92
28/02/21Idaho v Montana State61-71
27/02/21Idaho v Montana State74-69
07/02/20Montana State v Idaho72-50
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ASacramento State87-60
28/02/25APortland State52-69
23/02/25HMontana85-89
16/02/25HIdaho State74-69
14/02/25HWeber State74-66
09/02/25ANorthern Colorado66-73
07/02/25ANorthern Arizona64-69
02/02/25HPortland State74-73
31/01/25HSacramento State70-58
26/01/25AMontana70-77
Idaholast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HWeber State81-79 OT
28/02/25HIdaho State65-69
23/02/25ANorthern Colorado74-92
21/02/25ANorthern Arizona83-78
16/02/25AEast. Washington73-75
08/02/25HSacramento State78-76
07/02/25HPortland State69-76
01/02/25AIdaho State71-87
31/01/25AWeber State82-74
25/01/25HNorthern Arizona72-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW43%
HomeWWWWL77%
AwayLLLLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301317
Win %43%77%18%
Points / game71.876.268.4
Allowed / game70.264.874.4
Point differential+1.6+11.5-5.9
Avg total142.0141.0142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%46%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won23% (13)50% (6)0% (7)
Overtime %3%8%0%
Idaho
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeLLWLW53%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %43%53%33%
Points / game74.575.973.1
Allowed / game75.773.178.3
Point differential-1.2+2.8-5.1
Avg total150.2148.9151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)57% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado3022873%81.773.7+8.0
2 Montana3021970%76.373.5+2.8
3 Portland State30181260%76.369.7+6.6
4 Idaho State28151354%74.769.2+5.5
5 Northern Arizona30161453%76.371.5+4.9
6 Montana State30131743%71.870.2+1.6
7 Idaho30131743%74.575.7-1.2
8 Weber State31112035%72.471.9+0.5
9 East. Washington30102033%71.975.5-3.6
10 Sacramento State3072323%66.470.5-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana State413475
Idaho312960
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