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Utah State vs New Mexico Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 87-85
39-44 48-41
Position#17
Record25-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game69.1
vs
Position#39
Record22-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game71.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Utah State v New Mexico
07 Mar 2026
UTAH94
NEW 90
01 Feb 2025
UTAH63
NEW 82
09 Mar 2024
UTAH87
NEW 85
09 Mar 2023
UTAH91
NEW 76
01 Feb 2023
UTAH84
NEW 73
22 Feb 2022
UTAH81
NEW 56
05 Mar 2020
UTAH75
NEW 70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#335
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H31/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A03/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
63-77
63
77
-14
H07/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H11/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A15/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
55-75
55
75
-20
A17/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
77-73 OT
77
73
+4
A28/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H02/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-30
45-31
36-42
31-39
27-36
36-41
41-30
39-31
39-43
45-33
26-43
29-32
31-26
37-37
30-25
35-40
43-30
29-30
53-37
37-33
143.5Avg total
73.8Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.669.1148.7+10.583%
Season at home (16)80.664.2144.9+16.494%
Season away (14)78.574.6153.1+3.971%
Last 10 (10)73.869.7143.5+4.170%
Last 5 (5)72.468.2140.6+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)72.974.0146.9-1.164%
vs Weaker (15)85.665.6151.2+20.0100%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#25
W
89-55
89
55
+34
H29/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H01/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
91-73
91
73
+18
A07/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H11/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A14/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A17/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H22/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H24/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A03/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
79-58
79
58
+21
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-24
51-31
38-41
40-45
40-25
51-48
40-39
37-41
45-35
38-47
28-39
42-42
30-30
38-36
36-37
41-41
33-35
46-54
37-24
42-34
153.9Avg total
79.1Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)82.571.2153.7+11.373%
Season at home (17)83.867.8151.6+16.182%
Season away (13)80.875.8156.5+5.062%
Last 10 (10)79.174.8153.9+4.350%
Last 5 (5)74.674.4149.0+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.072.0130.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.574.6154.1+4.864%
vs Weaker (17)85.670.0155.6+15.682%
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +0.7+0.7
Utah StateNew Mexico
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#335
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H31/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A03/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H07/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H11/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A15/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A17/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A28/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H02/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A07/03
NCAA
70.5Avg total
36.3Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.034.172.1+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.531.469.9+7.181%-
Last 30 away (14)37.437.274.6+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)36.334.270.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.632.268.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.137.271.4-3.136%-
vs Weaker (15)41.031.672.6+9.493%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#25
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H29/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H01/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A07/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H11/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A14/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A17/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H24/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A03/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H07/03
NCAA
69.4Avg total
36.5Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.831.771.5+8.173%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.330.972.2+10.482%-
Last 30 away (13)37.932.770.6+5.262%-
Last 10 (10)36.532.969.4+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)32.833.065.8-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.040.065.0-15.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.833.570.3+3.455%-
vs Weaker (17)42.530.673.1+11.988%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Utah State wins
2
New Mexico wins
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24ASan Jose State90-70
02/03/24HAir Force72-60
28/02/24AFresno State77-73 OT
21/02/24HSan Diego State68-63
17/02/24AColorado State55-75
15/02/24AWyoming84-76
11/02/24HBoise State80-61
07/02/24HNevada63-77
03/02/24ASan Diego State67-81
31/01/24HSan Jose State82-61
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24HFresno State79-58
03/03/24ABoise State79-89
24/02/24HAir Force77-78
22/02/24HColorado State68-66
17/02/24ASan Diego State70-81
14/02/24ANevada83-82
11/02/24HUNLV77-80
07/02/24AWyoming91-73
01/02/24HBoise State78-86
29/01/24HNevada89-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWLWWW94%
AwayLWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %83%94%71%
Points / game79.680.678.5
Allowed / game69.164.274.6
Point differential+10.5+16.4+3.9
Avg total148.7144.9153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%69%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (8)100% (3)100% (5)
Overtime %10%0%21%
New Mexico
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW73%
HomeLLWLW82%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %73%82%62%
Points / game82.583.880.8
Allowed / game71.267.875.8
Point differential+11.3+16.1+5.0
Avg total153.7151.6156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%65%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon3127487%79.566.5+13.0
2 Utah State3025583%79.669.1+10.5
3 Nevada3125681%76.466.5+9.9
4 New Mexico3022873%82.571.2+11.3
5 Boise State3122971%76.167.3+8.9
6 Colorado State3122971%76.768.1+8.6
7 San Diego State3122971%74.766.3+8.4
8 UNLV29191066%73.667.4+6.2
9 Wyoming31151648%72.874.4-1.5
10 Fresno State31112035%67.173.5-6.4
11 Air Force3092130%66.572.0-5.5
12 San Jose State3192229%69.975.2-5.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah State394887
New Mexico444185
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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