PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

New Mexico vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 79-58
37-24 42-34
Position#39
Record21-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Position#304
Record11-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game72.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · New Mexico v Fresno State
21 Jan 2026
NEW 83
FRES74
20 Jan 2025
NEW 95
FRES67
06 Mar 2024
NEW 79
FRES58
28 Feb 2023
NEW 94
FRES80
25 Jan 2022
NEW 60
FRES65
07 Jan 2020
NEW 78
FRES64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#335
W
95-75
95
75
+20
A25/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
89-55
89
55
+34
H29/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H01/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
91-73
91
73
+18
A07/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H11/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A14/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A17/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H22/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H24/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
43-32
52-43
38-24
51-31
38-41
40-45
40-25
51-48
40-39
37-41
45-35
38-47
28-39
42-42
30-30
38-36
36-37
41-41
33-35
46-54
157.2Avg total
80.7Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.671.7154.3+10.972%
Season at home (16)84.168.4152.5+15.881%
Season away (13)80.875.8156.5+5.062%
Last 10 (10)80.776.5157.2+4.250%
Last 5 (5)75.479.2154.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.072.0130.0-14.00%
vs Similar (11)79.574.6154.1+4.864%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.170.8156.8+15.381%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#331
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
61-73
61
73
-12
H04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
69-57
69
57
+12
A07/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A10/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A18/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
41-73
41
73
-32
H25/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
H28/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
40-43
44-27
28-37
41-41
25-31
36-42
34-33
35-24
28-28
40-38
32-29
33-38
33-48
33-42
16-42
25-31
25-30
40-35
24-37
42-37
138.7Avg total
66.2Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)68.172.9141.0-4.838%
Season at home (16)70.571.2141.8-0.844%
Season away (13)65.274.9140.2-9.731%
Last 10 (10)66.272.5138.7-6.330%
Last 5 (5)62.276.2138.4-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)63.275.3138.6-12.010%
vs Similar (8)76.269.1145.4+7.188%
vs Weaker (2)83.061.0144.0+22.0100%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: -7.3-7.32nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +1.4+1.4
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: -7.3-7.32nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: +1.4+1.4
New MexicoFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#335
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A25/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H29/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H01/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A07/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H11/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A14/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A17/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H24/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A03/03
NCAA
70.8Avg total
37.1Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.732.472.1+7.370%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.132.273.3+8.876%-
Last 30 away (13)37.932.770.6+5.262%-
Last 10 (10)37.133.770.8+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.435.269.6-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.040.065.0-15.00%-
vs Similar (11)36.833.570.3+3.455%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.831.073.8+11.888%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#331
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A10/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A18/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
16-42
16
42
-26
H25/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H28/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A02/03
NCAA
64.3Avg total
28.5Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.134.264.3-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.733.765.4-2.044%-
Last 30 away (14)28.434.763.1-6.421%-
Last 10 (10)28.535.864.3-7.320%-
Last 5 (5)26.037.263.2-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)28.135.964.0-7.825%-
vs Similar (8)33.432.565.9+0.938%-
vs Weaker (2)37.523.561.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
New Mexico wins
7
Fresno State wins
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24ABoise State79-89
24/02/24HAir Force77-78
22/02/24HColorado State68-66
17/02/24ASan Diego State70-81
14/02/24ANevada83-82
11/02/24HUNLV77-80
07/02/24AWyoming91-73
01/02/24HBoise State78-86
29/01/24HNevada89-55
25/01/24ASan Jose State95-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24ANevada66-74
28/02/24HUtah State73-77 OT
25/02/24HSan Diego State41-73
18/02/24ABoise State66-90
15/02/24HUNLV65-67
10/02/24AAir Force68-66
07/02/24ASan Jose State69-57
04/02/24HColorado State61-73
31/01/24AUNLV69-78
28/01/24HAir Force84-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL72%
HomeWLLWL81%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %72%81%62%
Points / game82.684.180.8
Allowed / game71.768.475.8
Point differential+10.9+15.8+5.0
Avg total154.3152.5156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%62%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL38%
HomeWLLLL44%
AwayLWWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %38%44%31%
Points / game68.170.565.2
Allowed / game72.971.274.9
Point differential-4.8-0.8-9.7
Avg total141.0141.8140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)29% (7)75% (4)
Overtime %10%12%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon3026487%79.967.2+12.7
2 Utah State3025583%79.669.1+10.5
3 Nevada3125681%76.466.5+9.9
4 San Diego State3022873%74.665.8+8.8
5 New Mexico2921872%82.671.7+10.9
6 Boise State3021970%76.066.9+9.1
7 Colorado State3021970%76.567.9+8.6
8 UNLV29191066%73.667.4+6.2
9 Wyoming30141647%72.475.3-2.9
10 Fresno State29111838%68.172.9-4.8
11 Air Force2992031%66.371.7-5.4
12 San Jose State3192229%69.975.2-5.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico374279
Fresno State243458
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.