PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Fresno State vs Utah State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 73-77 (OT)
25-30 40-35 8-12
Position#304
Record11-16
FormWWLLL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#17
Record22-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game69.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fresno State v Utah State
30 Dec 2025
FRES63
UTAH72
07 Feb 2025
FRES81
UTAH89
27 Feb 2024
FRES73
UTAH77
28 Jan 2023
FRES53
UTAH70
18 Jan 2022
FRES61
UTAH54
06 Mar 2021
FRES51
UTAH57
06 Feb 2021
FRES v UTAH
upcoming
04 Feb 2021
FRES53
UTAH69
15 Feb 2020
FRES59
UTAH71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#17
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A20/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H24/01
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
61-73
61
73
-12
H04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
69-57
69
57
+12
A07/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A10/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A18/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
41-73
41
73
-32
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-40
35-43
32-42
36-30
40-43
44-27
28-37
41-41
25-31
36-42
34-33
35-24
28-28
40-38
32-29
33-38
33-48
33-42
16-42
25-31
138.2Avg total
65.3Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)68.072.7140.7-4.741%
Season at home (15)70.370.9141.2-0.547%
Season away (12)65.275.0140.2-9.833%
Last 10 (10)65.372.9138.2-7.630%
Last 5 (5)61.870.6132.4-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)63.576.3139.7-12.811%
vs Similar (9)79.869.1148.9+10.789%
vs Weaker (2)83.061.0144.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#39
L
86-99
86
99
-13
A17/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H20/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
A27/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H31/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A03/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
63-77
63
77
-14
H07/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H11/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A15/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
55-75
55
75
-20
A17/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-55
47-44
40-27
43-35
37-39
39-37
37-30
45-31
36-42
31-39
27-36
36-41
41-30
39-31
39-43
45-33
26-43
29-32
31-26
37-37
149.7Avg total
75.8Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.669.3148.9+10.481%
Season at home (15)81.264.5145.7+16.793%
Season away (12)77.775.2152.8+2.567%
Last 10 (10)75.873.9149.7+1.960%
Last 5 (5)70.070.4140.4-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)71.572.7144.2-1.259%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.165.1152.2+22.0100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.8-7.81st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +3.1+3.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.8-7.81st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: +3.1+3.1
Fresno StateUtah State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#17
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A20/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H24/01
NCAA
Air Force
#331
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Air Force
#331
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A10/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A18/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
16-42
16
42
-26
H25/02
NCAA
66.8Avg total
29.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.634.966.5-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.334.267.5-0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)29.635.665.3-6.021%-
Last 10 (10)29.537.366.8-7.820%-
Last 5 (5)28.636.064.6-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)29.236.966.1-7.726%-
vs Similar (9)35.333.168.4+2.244%-
vs Weaker (2)37.523.561.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#39
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A17/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H20/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A27/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H31/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A03/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H07/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H11/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A15/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A17/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H21/02
NCAA
72.4Avg total
35.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.734.471.1+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.231.569.7+6.780%-
Last 30 away (15)35.237.272.4-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)35.337.172.4-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)32.835.668.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)33.336.569.8-3.235%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.831.872.6+8.992%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fresno State wins
7
Utah State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24HSan Diego State41-73
18/02/24ABoise State66-90
15/02/24HUNLV65-67
10/02/24AAir Force68-66
07/02/24ASan Jose State69-57
04/02/24HColorado State61-73
31/01/24AUNLV69-78
28/01/24HAir Force84-70
24/01/24HBoise State68-72
20/01/24AUtah State62-83
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/24HSan Diego State68-63
17/02/24AColorado State55-75
15/02/24AWyoming84-76
11/02/24HBoise State80-61
07/02/24HNevada63-77
03/02/24ASan Diego State67-81
31/01/24HSan Jose State82-61
27/01/24ABoise State90-84 OT
20/01/24HFresno State83-62
17/01/24ANew Mexico86-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL41%
HomeLWLLL47%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %41%47%33%
Points / game68.070.365.2
Allowed / game72.770.975.0
Point differential-4.7-0.5-9.8
Avg total140.7141.2140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)33% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %7%7%8%
Utah State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW81%
HomeWWLWW93%
AwayLWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %81%93%67%
Points / game79.681.277.7
Allowed / game69.364.575.2
Point differential+10.4+16.7+2.5
Avg total148.9145.7152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %7%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon2824486%80.168.4+11.8
2 Utah State2722581%79.669.3+10.4
3 Nevada2822679%76.566.3+10.2
4 New Mexico2821775%82.871.1+11.7
5 San Diego State2821775%75.366.0+9.2
6 Boise State2820871%75.966.2+9.8
7 Colorado State2820871%76.967.8+9.1
8 UNLV27171063%74.268.4+5.9
9 Wyoming28131546%72.775.9-3.2
10 Fresno State27111641%68.072.7-4.7
11 Air Force2791833%66.671.6-5.0
12 San Jose State2891932%70.875.0-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Fresno State2540873
Utah State30351277
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.