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Utah Valley State vs Liberty Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 63-79
34-46 29-33
Position#207
Record6-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game67.3
vs
Liberty 🏆
USA
Position#158
Record9-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game59.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Valley State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah Valley StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
79-73 OT
79
73
+6
A10/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A16/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A19/11
NCAA
Cornell
#28
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H20/11
NCAA
Western Colorado
#539
W
87-52
87
52
+35
H25/11
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H30/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A03/12
NCAA
Weber State
#101
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H06/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A09/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#145
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-27
40-37
21-31
24-31
34-30
33-35
24-28
37-46
45-24
42-28
34-35
44-37
22-23
31-42
38-32
32-22
36-34
35-40
32-38
30-38
134.0Avg total
67.3Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)68.567.3135.8+1.355%
Season at home (5)75.465.0140.4+10.480%
Season away (6)62.869.2132.0-6.333%
Last 10 (10)67.366.7134.0+0.650%
Last 5 (5)66.868.2135.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)67.869.0136.8-1.250%
vs Similar (11)77.874.9152.7+2.955%
vs Weaker (13)72.665.8138.5+6.877%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#191
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H17/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H18/11
NCAA
Vermont
#16
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H19/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
99-62
99
62
+37
H25/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
58-83
58
83
-25
A30/11
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H01/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
74-39
74
39
+35
H06/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H09/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
74-52
74
52
+22
H14/12
NCAA
St. Andrews
#685
W
99-26
99
26
+73
H16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-33
50-41
39-36
44-30
35-33
36-28
50-23
49-39
27-44
31-39
33-37
34-39
29-18
45-21
32-32
32-37
34-35
40-17
52-14
47-12
138.5Avg total
77.7Scored
60.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.259.2138.4+20.175%
Season at home (11)81.257.0138.2+24.282%
Season away (1)58.083.0141.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)77.760.8138.5+16.970%
Last 5 (5)75.652.4128.0+23.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.075.0146.0-4.00%
vs Similar (4)65.072.2137.2-7.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)79.159.6138.7+19.588%
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +10.5+10.5
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +10.5+10.5
Utah Valley StateLiberty
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah Valley StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A10/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A16/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A19/11
NCAA
Cornell
#28
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H20/11
NCAA
Western Colorado
#539
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H25/11
NCAA
Seattle
#144
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H30/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
L
22-23
22
23
-1
A03/12
NCAA
Weber State
#101
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H06/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A09/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#145
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A16/12
NCAA
61.2Avg total
31.0Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.631.866.3+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.531.069.5+7.587%-
Last 30 away (15)30.632.563.1-1.927%-
Last 10 (10)31.030.261.2+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)32.432.464.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)32.033.265.2-1.225%-
vs Similar (11)36.933.570.4+3.564%-
vs Weaker (13)31.730.462.1+1.354%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#191
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H17/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H18/11
NCAA
Vermont
#16
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H19/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#325
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H25/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A30/11
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H01/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
29-18
29
18
+11
H06/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H09/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H14/12
NCAA
St. Andrews
#685
W
52-14
52
14
+38
H16/12
NCAA
67.4Avg total
36.9Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.328.965.3+7.470%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.727.665.3+10.180%-
Last 30 away (10)33.631.665.2+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)36.930.567.4+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)36.027.263.2+8.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.037.071.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (4)31.836.568.2-4.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)37.427.564.9+9.979%-
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Utah Valley State wins
0
Liberty wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AUtah Utes62-76
09/12/23AOregon State71-74
06/12/23HWeber State70-54
03/12/23AUtah Tech53-65
30/11/23HSeattle78-72
25/11/23HWestern Colorado87-52
20/11/23HCornell61-74
19/11/23ASouthern Miss67-65
16/11/23ACharlotte45-62
10/11/23ASam Houston St.79-73 OT
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HSt. Andrews99-26
14/12/23HTennessee State74-52
09/12/23HGrand Canyon64-69
06/12/23HMiss. Valley St.74-39
01/12/23HCharleston67-76
30/11/23AFlorida Atlantic58-83
25/11/23HMd.-East. Shore99-62
19/11/23HVermont71-61
18/11/23HWichita State83-66
17/11/23HFurman88-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Valley State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL55%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%80%33%
Points / game68.575.462.8
Allowed / game67.365.069.2
Point differential+1.3+10.4-6.3
Avg total135.8140.4132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Liberty
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW75%
HomeLWLWW82%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12111
Win %75%82%0%
Points / game79.281.258.0
Allowed / game59.257.083.0
Point differential+20.1+24.2-25.0
Avg total138.4138.2141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%82%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tarleton118373%72.562.8+9.6
2 California Baptist117464%70.465.8+4.5
3 UT Arlington106460%75.971.7+4.2
4 Utah Valley State116555%68.567.3+1.3
5 Abilene Christian115645%76.074.5+1.5
6 Utah Tech115645%69.273.0-3.8
7 Southern Utah113827%77.378.5-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Kentucky1310377%79.972.8+7.1
2 Liberty129375%79.259.2+20.1
3 Louisiana Tech129375%76.162.2+13.8
4 Kennesaw State129375%86.776.1+10.6
5 Delaware128467%76.870.3+6.5
6 Missouri State128467%74.067.6+6.4
7 UTEP116555%78.970.2+8.7
8 Sam Houston St.126650%71.771.5+0.2
9 Jacksonville State125742%66.662.7+3.9
10 Middle Tenn. St.125742%63.467.2-3.8
11 New Mexico State135838%72.274.3-2.2
12 Florida International134931%76.575.8+0.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah Valley State342963
Liberty463379
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