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Utah Valley State vs New Mexico State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 77-72
39-36 38-36
Position#35
Record16-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Position#333
Record7-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game71.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Utah Valley State v New Mexico State
28 Jan 2023
UTAH77
NEW 72
12 Feb 2022
UTAH72
NEW 68
12 Mar 2021
UTAH62
NEW 78
16 Jan 2020
UTAH56
NEW 70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Valley State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah Valley StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#140
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A21/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H30/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H31/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A06/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
75-61
75
61
+14
A08/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A12/01
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H15/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
84-54
84
54
+30
H19/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-24
36-48
38-25
42-39
44-33
27-27
33-28
39-36
36-31
39-30
31-33
40-34
44-42
36-43
36-22
48-32
32-36
44-38
39-34
28-45
143.3Avg total
75.3Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.567.9144.4+8.673%
Season at home (10)82.663.8146.4+18.890%
Season away (12)71.471.2142.7+0.258%
Last 10 (10)75.368.0143.3+7.380%
Last 5 (5)75.671.8147.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.064.0144.0+16.0100%
vs Similar (10)65.269.3134.5-4.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)77.365.7143.0+11.678%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#17
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H22/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#272
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A23/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H29/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
62-75
62
75
-13
H31/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A05/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H08/01
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A13/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
L
55-66
55
66
-11
H15/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
76-111
76
111
-35
A20/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-37
34-36
46-36
39-40
32-37
43-42
25-38
37-37
24-31
36-38
20-27
41-43
24-24
42-45
33-26
22-40
38-58
38-53
36-46
40-43
145.6Avg total
67.9Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.871.2144.9+2.635%
Season at home (11)76.566.8143.4+9.745%
Season away (9)70.376.4146.8-6.122%
Last 10 (10)67.977.7145.6-9.810%
Last 5 (5)66.881.0147.8-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)67.978.0145.9-10.19%
vs Similar (14)71.264.5135.7+6.764%
vs Weaker (3)76.359.3135.7+17.067%
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: -5.3-5.32nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: -4.5-4.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: -5.3-5.32nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: -4.5-4.5
Utah Valley StateNew Mexico State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah Valley StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#140
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A21/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H30/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H31/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A06/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#217
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A08/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A12/01
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H15/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H19/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A22/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A27/01
NCAA
68.2Avg total
37.4Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.331.466.7+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.728.467.1+10.392%-
Last 30 away (17)32.833.666.4-0.935%-
Last 10 (10)37.430.868.2+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)36.433.469.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.025.063.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar (10)31.133.064.1-1.940%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)37.431.468.9+6.067%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#17
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H22/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#272
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A23/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H29/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H31/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A05/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
L
20-27
20
27
-7
H08/01
NCAA
Seattle
#110
D
24-24
24
24
+0
A13/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H15/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A20/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A22/01
NCAA
66.7Avg total
30.7Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.530.864.3+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.928.863.6+6.169%-
Last 30 away (14)31.933.265.1-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)30.736.066.7-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)30.236.266.4-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)30.137.968.0-7.818%-
vs Similar (14)34.128.062.1+6.179%-
vs Weaker (3)37.725.763.3+12.067%-
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Utah Valley State wins
5
New Mexico State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/23ASouthern Utah67-79
22/01/23AGrand Canyon76-74
19/01/23HAbilene Christian84-54
15/01/23HSeattle80-85
12/01/23ACalifornia Baptist71-67
08/01/23AUTRGV75-61
06/01/23AUT Arlington72-64
31/12/22HUtah Tech71-60
30/12/22HSam Houston St.80-64
21/12/22AOregon77-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/23AUtah Tech76-89
20/01/23ASouthern Utah76-111
15/01/23HUT Arlington55-66
13/01/23ASeattle66-69
08/01/23HCalifornia Baptist61-70
05/01/23AStephen F. Austin60-69
31/12/22HSam Houston St.62-75
29/12/22HSouthern Utah75-79
23/12/22AN. Carolina A&T85-76
22/12/22HKent State63-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Valley State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL73%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayWWWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %73%90%58%
Points / game76.582.671.4
Allowed / game67.963.871.2
Point differential+8.6+18.8+0.2
Avg total144.4146.4142.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%80%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %14%0%25%
New Mexico State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeLLLLL45%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %35%45%22%
Points / game73.876.570.3
Allowed / game71.266.876.4
Point differential+2.6+9.7-6.1
Avg total144.9143.4146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%45%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State2216673%76.567.9+8.6
2 Southern Utah2114767%84.074.1+9.9
3 California Baptist2113862%68.563.8+4.7
4 Tarleton21111052%71.067.9+3.1
5 Abilene Christian21101148%75.669.0+6.6
6 Utah Tech21101148%75.572.5+3.0
7 UT Arlington2271532%66.267.0-0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2217577%74.757.9+16.8
2 Sam Houston St.2116576%76.958.5+18.4
3 Kennesaw State2216673%75.168.1+7.0
4 Middle Tenn. St.2113862%69.666.0+3.6
5 UTEP2011955%69.766.3+3.3
6 Louisiana Tech21111052%74.869.0+5.7
7 Western Kentucky21111052%73.269.6+3.6
8 Delaware23121152%70.370.2+0.1
9 Missouri State22111150%65.863.0+2.7
10 Florida International21101148%72.074.3-2.4
11 Jacksonville State2291341%69.070.7-1.7
12 New Mexico State2071335%73.871.2+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah Valley State393877
New Mexico State363672
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