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New Mexico State vs California Baptist Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 61-70
20-27 41-43
Position#333
Record7-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Position#184
Record9-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game63.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · New Mexico State v California Baptist
30 Dec 2023
NEW 66
CALI61
07 Jan 2023
NEW 61
CALI70
03 Feb 2022
NEW 68
CALI57
06 Feb 2021
NEW 97
CALI70
05 Feb 2021
NEW 75
CALI85
05 Mar 2020
NEW 83
CALI50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
California Baptist winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Simon Fraser
#576
W
77-35
77
35
+42
H06/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#53
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A08/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A11/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A15/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#555
W
95-53
95
53
+42
H18/12
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H22/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#272
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A23/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H29/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
62-75
62
75
-13
H31/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-13
41-22
36-33
29-33
35-27
38-33
26-35
42-46
48-20
47-33
29-37
34-36
46-36
39-40
32-37
43-42
25-38
37-37
24-31
36-38
139.0Avg total
72.3Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.167.9143.9+8.247%
Season at home (9)80.766.6147.2+14.156%
Season away (6)69.269.8139.0-0.733%
Last 10 (10)72.366.7139.0+5.640%
Last 5 (5)69.074.4143.4-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)66.873.5140.2-6.812%
vs Similar (15)72.964.3137.3+8.673%
vs Weaker (5)74.860.8135.6+14.080%
This opponent (California Baptist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
California BaptistUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#324
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H27/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H01/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#355
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A04/12
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H08/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#298
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A11/12
NCAA
Sonoma State
#423
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H19/12
NCAA
Portland State
#283
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H23/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A30/12
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A31/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-31
44-30
24-34
41-26
32-32
21-32
31-15
33-37
34-36
42-37
40-32
48-35
32-32
40-42
27-31
32-42
33-37
32-34
26-29
46-29
134.4Avg total
69.1Scored
65.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)66.963.8130.7+3.256%
Season at home (10)68.461.3129.7+7.170%
Season away (6)64.567.8132.3-3.333%
Last 10 (10)69.165.3134.4+3.860%
Last 5 (5)71.268.6139.8+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)57.864.0121.8-6.20%
vs Similar (10)62.468.8131.2-6.420%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)71.262.3133.5+8.987%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +3.5+3.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +3.5+3.5
New Mexico StateCalifornia Baptist
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Simon Fraser
#576
W
36-13
36
13
+23
H06/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#53
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A08/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A11/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A15/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#555
W
48-20
48
20
+28
H18/12
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H22/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#272
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A23/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#93
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H29/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#20
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H31/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A05/01
NCAA
64.4Avg total
33.7Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.729.963.6+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.429.164.5+6.271%-
Last 30 away (13)31.530.862.4+0.754%-
Last 10 (10)33.730.764.4+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)31.235.867.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)29.635.865.4-6.125%-
vs Similar (15)34.428.663.0+5.880%-
vs Weaker (5)35.028.463.4+6.660%-
This opponent (California Baptist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
California BaptistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#324
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H27/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H01/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#355
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A04/12
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
31-15
31
15
+16
H08/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#298
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A11/12
NCAA
Sonoma State
#423
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Portland State
#283
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H23/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A30/12
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A31/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#259
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H06/01
NCAA
62.1Avg total
31.2Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.629.759.3-0.137%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.530.161.6+1.447%-
Last 30 away (13)27.229.256.3-2.023%-
Last 10 (10)31.230.962.1+0.330%-
Last 5 (5)31.632.263.8-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)26.527.253.8-0.825%-
vs Similar (10)26.932.959.8-6.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)32.128.260.3+3.960%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
New Mexico State wins
1
California Baptist wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/23AStephen F. Austin60-69
31/12/22HSam Houston St.62-75
29/12/22HSouthern Utah75-79
23/12/22AN. Carolina A&T85-76
22/12/22HKent State63-73
18/12/22HNorthern New Mexico95-53
15/12/22ASt. Marys (CA)68-81
11/12/22ADuquesne73-60
08/12/22ASanta Clara65-66
06/12/22HSimon Fraser77-35
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/23HUtah Tech72-58
31/12/22ASeattle65-71
30/12/22AGrand Canyon59-73
23/12/22HPortland State72-74
19/12/22HSonoma State88-67
11/12/22ASan Diego Toreros76-73
08/12/22HWeber State64-52
04/12/22ACal Poly53-64
01/12/22HUC Riverside65-60
27/11/22HCentral Michigan77-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL47%
HomeWWLLL56%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %47%56%33%
Points / game76.180.769.2
Allowed / game67.966.669.8
Point differential+8.2+14.1-0.7
Avg total143.9147.2139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%56%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
California Baptist
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW56%
HomeWWWLW70%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %56%70%33%
Points / game66.968.464.5
Allowed / game63.861.367.8
Point differential+3.2+7.1-3.3
Avg total130.7129.7132.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%10%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sam Houston St.1612475%78.057.1+20.9
2 Liberty1612475%76.158.6+17.6
3 Kennesaw State1711665%73.868.1+5.8
4 Louisiana Tech1610662%77.268.4+8.8
5 Western Kentucky159660%74.167.4+6.7
6 Middle Tenn. St.169756%69.965.7+4.2
7 Delaware169756%70.271.0-0.8
8 UTEP158753%69.566.7+2.7
9 Florida International158753%73.775.2-1.5
10 Missouri State168850%66.362.1+4.2
11 New Mexico State157847%76.167.9+8.2
12 Jacksonville State167944%69.971.2-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State1713476%76.866.7+10.1
2 Southern Utah1610662%85.175.1+10.1
3 Abilene Christian169756%76.765.4+11.2
4 Utah Tech169756%75.970.0+5.9
5 California Baptist169756%66.963.8+3.2
6 Tarleton168850%73.667.8+5.8
7 UT Arlington1751229%66.165.2+0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico State204161
California Baptist274370
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