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Utah Valley State vs Samford Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 89-45
42-14 47-31
Position#33
Record4-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Position#149
Record4-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game78.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Valley State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah Valley StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#350
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H13/03
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H15/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
82-89
82
89
-7
H16/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#15
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A20/03
NIT
West Coast Baptist
#713
W
116-35
116
35
+81
H05/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
77-101
77
101
-24
A08/11
NCAA
Westminster UT
#579
W
91-60
91
60
+31
H13/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A16/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H20/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
75-52
75
52
+23
A25/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-22
0-0
43-35
0-0
34-24
0-0
34-31
0-0
33-40
0-0
49-49
0-0
32-37
0-0
38-42
0-0
64-16
0-0
52-19
0-0
35-46
0-0
42-55
0-0
43-29
0-0
48-31
0-0
40-33
0-0
34-42
0-0
31-27
0-0
48-45
0-0
29-24
0-0
46-28
148.1Avg total
80.6Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.365.8151.2+19.567%
Season at home (3)95.355.7151.0+39.7100%
Season away (3)75.376.0151.3-0.733%
Last 10 (10)80.667.5148.1+13.160%
Last 5 (5)79.272.0151.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)71.071.0142.0+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)80.564.8145.3+15.791%
This opponent (Samford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#40
L
78-95
78
95
-17
H09/03
NCAA
George Mason
#13
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A19/03
NIT
Tulane
#173
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A04/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H08/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
A13/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A15/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
84-77 OT
84
77
+7
A16/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H20/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A22/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
78-63
78
63
+15
A25/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
36-38
0-0
42-57
0-0
24-45
0-0
45-41
0-0
33-43
0-0
39-42
0-0
37-39
0-0
45-33
0-0
44-39
0-0
38-43
0-0
35-45
0-0
40-34
0-0
30-41
0-0
38-27
0-0
33-41
0-0
29-36
0-0
32-40
0-0
40-41
0-0
37-32
0-0
41-31
157.0Avg total
76.5Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.278.0155.2-0.850%
Season at home (2)72.074.5146.5-2.550%
Season away (6)79.079.2158.2-0.250%
Last 10 (10)76.580.5157.0-4.040%
Last 5 (5)74.275.4149.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)75.079.0154.0-4.00%
vs Similar (15)72.777.7150.5-5.033%
vs Weaker (13)86.473.8160.2+12.692%
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: +1.2+1.2
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: -6.2-6.22nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: +1.2+1.2
Utah Valley StateSamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah Valley StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Tech
#350
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H13/03
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H15/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H16/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#15
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A20/03
NIT
West Coast Baptist
#713
W
64-16
64
16
+48
H05/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A08/11
NCAA
Westminster UT
#579
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H13/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A16/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H20/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A25/11
NCAA
67.0Avg total
37.2Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.930.666.5+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.928.167.0+10.980%-
Last 30 away (15)32.933.266.1-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)37.229.867.0+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)35.631.867.4+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)31.532.063.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)37.230.067.2+7.270%-
This opponent (Samford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#40
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H09/03
NCAA
George Mason
#13
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A19/03
NIT
Tulane
#173
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A04/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H08/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A15/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A16/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H20/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A22/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A25/11
NCAA
74.4Avg total
34.1Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.838.174.9-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.835.473.2+2.350%-
Last 30 away (18)36.239.876.1-3.644%-
Last 10 (10)34.140.374.4-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)33.439.873.2-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)35.045.080.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (15)31.937.969.9-6.020%-
vs Weaker (13)43.637.280.8+6.585%-
This opponent (Utah Valley State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Utah Valley State wins
1
Samford wins
DateGameScore
28/11/24Samford v Utah Valley State84-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/25ASouth Dakota St.75-52
20/11/25HUC Irvine79-72
16/11/25AFresno State74-75
13/11/25HWestminster UT91-60
08/11/25ABoise State77-101
05/11/25HWest Coast Baptist116-35
20/03/25ASan Francisco70-79
16/03/25HGrand Canyon82-89
15/03/25HSeattle68-55
13/03/25HUtah Tech74-57
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/25AGeorgia State78-63
22/11/25ANew Mexico State72-81
20/11/25HFlorida Gulf Coast62-77
16/11/25ACentral Arkansas84-77 OT
15/11/25AArkansas75-79
13/11/25ATexas Southern93-90 OT
08/11/25HSouth Carolina St82-72
04/11/25ATulane72-85
19/03/25AGeorge Mason69-86
09/03/25HFurman78-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Valley State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game85.395.375.3
Allowed / game65.855.776.0
Point differential+19.5+39.7-0.7
Avg total151.2151.0151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game77.272.079.0
Allowed / game78.074.579.2
Point differential-0.8-2.5-0.2
Avg total155.2146.5158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %25%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 California Baptist660100%75.562.0+13.5
2 UT Arlington75271%79.463.4+16.0
3 Utah Valley State64267%85.365.8+19.5
4 Abilene Christian74357%71.967.1+4.7
5 Tarleton74357%77.979.0-1.1
6 Utah Tech94544%77.972.9+5.0
7 Southern Utah72529%80.987.7-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St65183%82.262.0+20.2
2 Mercer64267%82.278.3+3.8
3 Wofford74357%76.979.0-2.1
4 Furman63350%74.068.8+5.2
5 Chattanooga Mocs63350%74.873.5+1.3
6 Samford84450%77.278.0-0.8
7 Western Carolina63350%71.775.7-4.0
8 Citadel62433%76.376.7-0.3
9 VMI93633%77.078.4-1.4
10 NC Greensboro81712%71.885.2-13.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah Valley State424789
Samford143145
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