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UTEP vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 83-80 (OT)
37-44 36-29 10-7
Position#307
Record4-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game72.4
UTEP 🏆
USA
vs
Middle Tenn. St.
USA
Position#179
Record9-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game69.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UTEP v Middle Tenn. St.
08 Jan 2026
UTEP83
MIDD80
01 Mar 2025
UTEP75
MIDD76
18 Jan 2024
UTEP73
MIDD59
04 Mar 2023
UTEP77
MIDD65
30 Jan 2020
UTEP67
MIDD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTEP winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTEPUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Thomas (TX)
#374
W
84-83 OT
84
83
+1
H20/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H24/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
59-75
59
75
-16
A25/11
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A08/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A14/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H22/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H23/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A30/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
55-79
55
79
-24
A03/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-41
42-31
23-35
40-39
34-37
25-38
31-37
37-38
29-25
32-41
32-42
39-30
32-36
44-30
28-38
35-37
23-49
32-30
30-29
34-47
140.5Avg total
66.4Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)69.972.4142.2-2.529%
Season at home (7)79.670.3149.9+9.357%
Season away (7)60.174.4134.6-14.30%
Last 10 (10)66.474.1140.5-7.720%
Last 5 (5)65.873.6139.4-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)62.973.9136.8-11.08%
vs Similar (12)71.474.8146.2-3.425%
vs Weaker (2)79.068.0147.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#102
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
79-92
79
92
-13
H24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A25/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H02/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
62-83
62
83
-21
H07/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H18/12
NCAA
Cumberland University (TN)
#409
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
88-51
88
51
+37
H03/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-40
47-47
41-49
38-43
34-28
28-44
32-33
44-28
31-35
31-48
40-31
28-36
30-35
44-23
28-33
32-36
39-22
49-29
34-34
34-33
143.4Avg total
72.7Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.769.4146.1+7.364%
Season at home (10)81.467.3148.7+14.180%
Season away (4)65.074.8139.8-9.825%
Last 10 (10)72.770.7143.4+2.060%
Last 5 (5)71.662.4134.0+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.677.8145.4-10.125%
vs Similar (13)73.571.2144.8+2.362%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)86.065.3151.3+20.7100%
This opponent (UTEP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.7-7.71st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +0.8+0.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.7-7.71st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +0.8+0.8
UTEPMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTEPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Thomas (TX)
#374
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H20/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#100
L
23-35
23
35
-12
H24/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A25/11
NCAA
Seattle
#108
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A08/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A14/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H22/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H23/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A30/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A03/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A04/01
NCAA
66.1Avg total
29.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.335.567.8-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.534.969.4-0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)30.436.166.4-5.731%-
Last 10 (10)29.236.966.1-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)29.038.867.8-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)29.335.765.0-6.431%-
vs Similar (12)31.835.767.4-3.942%-
vs Weaker (2)40.536.577.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#102
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A25/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H02/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H07/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H18/12
NCAA
Cumberland University (TN)
#409
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H21/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H03/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H04/01
NCAA
69.2Avg total
35.2Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.933.670.5+3.250%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.433.471.9+5.056%-
Last 30 away (12)34.533.968.4+0.642%-
Last 10 (10)35.234.069.2+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.231.065.2+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.436.070.4-1.625%-
vs Similar (13)35.033.768.7+1.346%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.629.371.9+13.386%-
This opponent (UTEP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
UTEP wins
6
Middle Tenn. St. wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25UTEP v Middle Tenn. St.75-76 OT
01/02/25Middle Tenn. St. v UTEP71-68
17/02/24Middle Tenn. St. v UTEP96-90 OT
19/01/24UTEP v Middle Tenn. St.73-59
04/03/23UTEP v Middle Tenn. St.77-65
03/02/23Middle Tenn. St. v UTEP84-72
11/03/22Middle Tenn. St. v UTEP66-59 OT
22/02/22Middle Tenn. St. v UTEP77-59
05/03/20Middle Tenn. St. v UTEP56-60
31/01/20UTEP v Middle Tenn. St.67-66
UTEPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26AFlorida International64-76
03/01/26AMissouri State55-79
30/12/25ALouisiana Tech63-75
23/12/25HNorth Dakota St76-66
22/12/25HNorfolk State71-72
14/12/25AHawaii61-66
08/12/25ASeattle68-75
25/11/25AUAB59-75
24/11/25HWilliam & Mary63-74
20/11/25HSt. Thomas (TX)84-83 OT
Middle Tenn. St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HSam Houston St.68-67
03/01/26HLouisiana Tech88-51
30/12/25AHouston60-69
21/12/25HCumberland University (TN)74-58
18/12/25HKennesaw State68-67
07/12/25HBelmont62-83
02/12/25HUAB76-61
25/11/25AMcNeese State62-72
24/11/25HGeorge Washington79-92
24/11/25HMurray State90-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTEP
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLWLLW57%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%57%0%
Points / game69.979.660.1
Allowed / game72.470.374.4
Point differential-2.5+9.3-14.3
Avg total142.2149.9134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %64%80%25%
Points / game76.781.465.0
Allowed / game69.467.374.8
Point differential+7.3+14.1-9.8
Avg total146.1148.7139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1512380%80.767.3+13.3
2 New Mexico State139469%77.869.0+8.8
3 Middle Tenn. St.149564%76.769.4+7.3
4 Western Kentucky149564%83.176.8+6.4
5 Kennesaw State159660%89.076.1+12.9
6 Sam Houston St.159660%85.875.1+10.7
7 Florida International159660%85.777.7+8.1
8 Missouri State159660%75.270.9+4.3
9 Jacksonville State158753%73.764.6+9.1
10 Louisiana Tech158753%68.659.9+8.7
11 Delaware1551033%65.770.8-5.1
12 UTEP1441029%69.972.4-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
UTEP37361083
Middle Tenn. St.4429780
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