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UTEP vs Western Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 73-80
23-40 50-40
Position#163
Record17-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game69.2
vs
Position#182
Record15-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game75.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UTEP v Western Kentucky
10 Jan 2026
UTEP56
WEST68
27 Feb 2025
UTEP73
WEST80
20 Jan 2024
UTEP93
WEST87
02 Mar 2023
UTEP68
WEST73
13 Feb 2020
UTEP62
WEST67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTEP winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTEPUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#330
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A18/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H24/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H26/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A31/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A01/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A09/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H14/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H16/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-36
37-37
31-30
35-43
37-41
36-30
32-34
42-44
33-36
35-35
28-24
38-39
37-37
40-26
35-32
34-44
33-47
40-36
29-39
36-34
143.6Avg total
71.2Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)72.669.2141.8+3.463%
Season at home (15)74.266.7140.9+7.580%
Season away (12)70.672.3142.9-1.842%
Last 10 (10)71.272.4143.6-1.240%
Last 5 (5)70.071.6141.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.671.6140.1-3.057%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.772.6143.3-1.947%
vs Weaker (6)73.560.5134.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A19/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A25/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H31/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
101-69
101
69
+32
H01/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A07/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
83-85
83
85
-2
A08/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
77-87
77
87
-10
H16/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
62-78
62
78
-16
H21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-27
29-44
28-33
39-44
36-34
39-32
34-32
44-42
42-34
59-35
25-31
44-45
44-38
39-47
39-44
38-43
25-43
37-35
24-19
40-44
147.9Avg total
73.3Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.775.3152.0+1.456%
Season at home (16)81.272.8154.0+8.475%
Season away (11)70.178.9149.0-8.827%
Last 10 (10)73.374.6147.9-1.340%
Last 5 (5)71.077.8148.8-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.076.7146.7-6.733%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.875.6154.4+3.164%
vs Weaker (2)82.059.5141.5+22.5100%
This opponent (UTEP) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -0.3-0.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -0.3-0.3
UTEPWestern Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTEPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#330
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A18/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H24/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H26/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A31/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A01/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A09/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H14/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H16/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A22/02
NCAA
69.5Avg total
33.9Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.331.466.8+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.128.566.5+9.680%-
Last 30 away (15)32.634.467.0-1.840%-
Last 10 (10)33.935.669.5-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)32.435.868.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.132.366.4+1.971%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.233.967.1-0.740%-
vs Weaker (6)38.027.265.2+10.883%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A19/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A25/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H31/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A07/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A08/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H16/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
24-19
24
19
+5
H23/02
NCAA
66.0Avg total
32.5Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.235.370.5-0.157%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.333.470.7+3.967%-
Last 30 away (12)32.238.270.3-6.042%-
Last 10 (10)32.533.566.0-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)31.435.066.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.135.167.2-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.636.171.7-0.457%-
vs Weaker (2)39.030.069.0+9.050%-
This opponent (UTEP) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UTEP wins
7
Western Kentucky wins
UTEPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25AJacksonville State65-73
21/02/25AKennesaw State73-83
16/02/25HLiberty69-76
14/02/25HFlorida International77-63
09/02/25ANew Mexico State66-63
01/02/25AMiddle Tenn. St.68-71
31/01/25AWestern Kentucky74-78
26/01/25HKennesaw State73-71
24/01/25HJacksonville State66-73
18/01/25AFlorida International81-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25HLouisiana Tech64-63
21/02/25HSam Houston St.62-78
16/02/25HMiddle Tenn. St.77-87
08/02/25AJacksonville State83-85
07/02/25AKennesaw State69-76
01/02/25HNew Mexico State101-69
31/01/25HUTEP78-74
25/01/25ASam Houston St.75-66
24/01/25ALouisiana Tech67-77
19/01/25AMiddle Tenn. St.57-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTEP
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL63%
HomeLLWWL80%
AwayLLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %63%80%42%
Points / game72.674.270.6
Allowed / game69.266.772.3
Point differential+3.4+7.5-1.8
Avg total141.8140.9142.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%40%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Kentucky
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW56%
HomeWWLLW75%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %56%75%27%
Points / game76.781.270.1
Allowed / game75.372.878.9
Point differential+1.4+8.4-8.8
Avg total152.0154.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%44%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2823582%75.260.9+14.3
2 Middle Tenn. St.2718967%76.171.4+4.6
3 Jacksonville State29191066%74.368.2+6.1
4 Louisiana Tech28181064%73.968.6+5.3
5 UTEP27171063%72.669.2+3.4
6 New Mexico State27151256%69.866.0+3.9
7 Western Kentucky27151256%76.775.3+1.4
8 Kennesaw State29161355%76.172.7+3.4
9 Delaware30121840%77.078.4-1.4
10 Sam Houston St.28111739%75.575.3+0.2
11 Florida International2891932%70.172.0-1.9
12 Missouri State3092130%68.771.0-2.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTEP235073
Western Kentucky404080
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