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Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 101-69
42-34 59-35
Position#182
Record13-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#175
Record12-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game66.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Western Kentucky v New Mexico State
07 Jan 2027
WEST v NEW
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
WEST93
NEW 70
01 Feb 2025
WEST101
NEW 69
14 Mar 2024
WEST89
NEW 69
17 Feb 2024
WEST72
NEW 58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky Wesleyan Panthers
#405
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
64-112
64
112
-48
A30/12
NCAA
Liberty
#19
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A03/01
NCAA
Florida International
#330
L
66-85
66
85
-19
A04/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H10/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H11/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A19/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A25/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-41
45-30
31-59
33-53
21-35
50-35
29-52
37-33
27-24
40-49
40-25
–
28-27
29-44
28-33
39-44
36-34
39-32
34-32
44-42
148.9Avg total
72.1Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.975.0151.9+1.962%
Season at home (12)82.972.3155.2+10.683%
Season away (9)68.878.6147.3-9.833%
Last 10 (10)72.176.8148.9-4.750%
Last 5 (5)72.471.4143.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.077.5147.5-7.530%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.276.5155.7+2.767%
vs Weaker (6)80.067.5147.5+12.567%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern New Mexico
#457
W
87-50
87
50
+37
H20/12
NCAA
Southwest Mustangs
#497
W
85-52
85
52
+33
H28/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
78-48
78
48
+30
H04/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
85-57
85
57
+28
A12/01
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A17/01
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A19/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H24/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H26/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-18
44-32
44-20
41-32
38-30
37-41
44-19
34-29
38-25
47-32
28-26
31-26
31-34
29-34
34-24
22-45
29-29
30-36
35-26
26-31
129.4Avg total
70.5Scored
58.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)71.566.7138.2+4.857%
Season at home (10)75.864.1139.9+11.770%
Season away (11)67.669.1136.7-1.545%
Last 10 (10)70.558.9129.4+11.670%
Last 5 (5)59.062.2121.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)64.876.1140.9-11.330%
vs Similar ◀ (11)67.368.8136.1-1.536%
vs Weaker (7)71.164.0135.1+7.171%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -4.2-4.21st half: +11.3+11.32nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +0.3+0.3
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: -4.2-4.21st half: +11.3+11.32nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +0.3+0.3
Western KentuckyNew Mexico State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky Wesleyan Panthers
#405
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H21/12
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
31-59
31
59
-28
A30/12
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A03/01
NCAA
Florida International
#330
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A04/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H11/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A19/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A25/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H31/01
NCAA
68.2Avg total
32.0Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.735.871.4-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.533.572.0+4.965%-
Last 30 away (13)32.038.770.7-6.738%-
Last 10 (10)32.036.268.2-4.260%-
Last 5 (5)33.230.263.4+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.836.768.5-4.940%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.636.172.7+0.558%-
vs Weaker (6)36.333.369.7+3.050%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern New Mexico
#457
W
43-18
43
18
+25
H20/12
NCAA
Southwest Mustangs
#497
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H28/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H03/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
44-19
44
19
+25
H04/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A12/01
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A17/01
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A19/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H24/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H26/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A31/01
NCAA
61.5Avg total
36.4Scored
25.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.130.164.2+4.153%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.727.063.7+9.769%-
Last 30 away (17)32.232.464.6-0.241%-
Last 10 (10)36.425.161.5+11.380%-
Last 5 (5)31.427.859.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.534.767.2-2.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.129.364.4+5.864%-
vs Weaker (7)33.128.361.4+4.957%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Western Kentucky wins
1
New Mexico State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/25HUTEP78-74
25/01/25ASam Houston St.75-66
24/01/25ALouisiana Tech67-77
19/01/25AMiddle Tenn. St.57-71
11/01/25HKennesaw State85-69
10/01/25HJacksonville State67-73
04/01/25AFlorida International66-85
03/01/25ALiberty71-70
30/12/24AMichigan64-112
21/12/24HKentucky Wesleyan Panthers91-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/25AMiddle Tenn. St.61-57
26/01/25HJacksonville State59-65
24/01/25HKennesaw State56-69
19/01/25ALiberty60-68
17/01/25AFlorida International59-52
12/01/25AUTEP85-57
04/01/25HLouisiana Tech78-48
03/01/25HSam Houston St.75-71
28/12/24HSouthwest Mustangs85-52
20/12/24HNorthern New Mexico87-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Kentucky
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %62%83%33%
Points / game76.982.968.8
Allowed / game75.072.378.6
Point differential+1.9+10.6-9.8
Avg total151.9155.2147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%8%0%
New Mexico State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW57%
HomeWWWLL70%
AwayLWWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%70%45%
Points / game71.575.867.6
Allowed / game66.764.169.1
Point differential+4.8+11.7-1.5
Avg total138.2139.9136.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2117481%78.461.7+16.7
2 Louisiana Tech2115671%76.468.3+8.1
3 UTEP2115671%73.468.5+4.9
4 Jacksonville State2114767%76.769.1+7.5
5 Middle Tenn. St.2114767%76.670.3+6.3
6 Western Kentucky2113862%76.975.0+1.9
7 New Mexico State2112957%71.566.7+4.8
8 Kennesaw State2112957%78.474.4+4.0
9 Delaware23111248%77.677.8-0.2
10 Sam Houston St.2181338%77.177.1-0.0
11 Florida International2171433%71.871.8+0.0
12 Missouri State2271532%69.572.5-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Kentucky4259101
New Mexico State343569
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