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Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 62-78
25-43 37-35
Position#182
Record14-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#283
Record10-16
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game75.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Western Kentucky v Sam Houston St.
09 Jan 2027
WEST v SAM
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
WEST102
SAM 91
20 Feb 2025
WEST62
SAM 78
01 Feb 2024
WEST77
SAM 79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sam Houston St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#92
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H10/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H11/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A19/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A25/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H31/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
101-69
101
69
+32
H01/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A07/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
83-85
83
85
-2
A08/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
77-87
77
87
-10
H16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-24
40-49
40-25
–
28-27
29-44
28-33
39-44
36-34
39-32
34-32
44-42
42-34
59-35
25-31
44-45
44-38
39-47
39-44
38-43
150.6Avg total
75.9Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.875.7153.4+2.156%
Season at home (14)83.873.1156.9+10.679%
Season away (11)70.178.9149.0-8.827%
Last 10 (10)75.974.7150.6+1.240%
Last 5 (5)81.678.2159.8+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.577.9148.5-7.427%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.075.9155.9+4.164%
vs Weaker (3)84.362.7147.0+21.7100%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#330
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H11/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
69-75 OT
69
75
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A18/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H24/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
61-66 OT
61
66
-5
A01/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H14/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-27
45-47
25-29
37-33
32-26
30-44
38-36
37-41
34-36
32-39
30-32
21-19
39-38
35-36
29-33
32-31
29-29
37-32
48-28
30-48
142.4Avg total
70.1Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.775.8151.5-0.238%
Season at home (11)81.771.4153.1+10.473%
Season away (15)71.279.1150.3-7.913%
Last 10 (10)70.172.3142.4-2.230%
Last 5 (5)69.670.4140.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)68.976.2145.1-7.421%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.677.3152.9-1.645%
vs Weaker (4)96.266.0162.2+30.2100%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: -3.4-3.4
Western KentuckySam Houston St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#92
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H11/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A19/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A25/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H31/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A07/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A08/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H16/02
NCAA
66.5Avg total
34.3Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.035.471.4+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.933.472.4+5.571%-
Last 30 away (13)32.238.070.2-5.838%-
Last 10 (10)34.332.266.5+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.872.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.836.569.4-3.745%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.135.671.7+0.657%-
vs Weaker (3)39.329.769.0+9.767%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#330
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H11/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A18/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A01/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A08/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H14/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H15/02
NCAA
65.4Avg total
34.0Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.734.069.7+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.931.470.2+7.571%-
Last 30 away (16)32.936.369.2-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)34.031.465.4+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.032.067.0+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.935.668.6-2.736%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.133.667.7+0.555%-
vs Weaker (4)48.232.580.8+15.8100%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Western Kentucky wins
2
Sam Houston St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25HMiddle Tenn. St.77-87
08/02/25AJacksonville State83-85
07/02/25AKennesaw State69-76
01/02/25HNew Mexico State101-69
31/01/25HUTEP78-74
25/01/25ASam Houston St.75-66
24/01/25ALouisiana Tech67-77
19/01/25AMiddle Tenn. St.57-71
11/01/25HKennesaw State85-69
10/01/25HJacksonville State67-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HKennesaw State78-76
14/02/25HJacksonville State66-61
08/02/25ALiberty61-64
07/02/25AFlorida International82-85 OT
01/02/25ALouisiana Tech61-66 OT
25/01/25HWestern Kentucky66-75
24/01/25HMiddle Tenn. St.75-77
18/01/25AJacksonville State62-70
17/01/25AKennesaw State69-75 OT
11/01/25HFlorida International81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Kentucky
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeLWWWL79%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %56%79%27%
Points / game77.883.870.1
Allowed / game75.773.178.9
Point differential+2.1+10.6-8.8
Avg total153.4156.9149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeWLLWW73%
AwayLLLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %38%73%13%
Points / game75.781.771.2
Allowed / game75.871.479.1
Point differential-0.2+10.4-7.9
Avg total151.5153.1150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)75% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %12%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2621581%76.561.7+14.8
2 Middle Tenn. St.2517868%76.271.0+5.3
3 Jacksonville State2718967%75.168.7+6.4
4 Louisiana Tech2617965%73.868.5+5.3
5 UTEP2617965%72.969.0+3.8
6 Kennesaw State27161159%77.773.1+4.6
7 Western Kentucky25141156%77.875.7+2.1
8 New Mexico State26141254%70.266.6+3.6
9 Delaware28121643%77.177.8-0.7
10 Sam Houston St.26101638%75.775.8-0.2
11 Missouri State2891932%68.970.9-2.1
12 Florida International2681831%70.873.0-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Kentucky253762
Sam Houston St.433578
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