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UTRGV vs Abilene Christian Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 79-87
31-37 48-50
Position#359
Record6-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#239
Record8-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game75.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UTRGV v Abilene Christian
15 Feb 2024
UTRG79
ABIL87
11 Jan 2023
UTRG103
ABIL86
26 Jan 2022
UTRG85
ABIL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTRGV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Abilene Christian winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H04/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
A06/01
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
81-80 OT
81
80
+1
H12/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H14/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A19/01
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H21/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H26/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A02/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A04/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-38
40-47
44-40
36-40
37-35
33-35
33-28
43-40
33-43
40-48
40-26
33-51
25-33
29-30
32-36
32-45
28-48
31-31
36-47
48-45
153.8Avg total
73.1Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)73.479.8153.3-6.426%
Season at home (12)75.174.6149.7+0.542%
Season away (11)71.685.5157.2-13.99%
Last 10 (10)73.180.7153.8-7.620%
Last 5 (5)66.878.4145.2-11.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)70.881.5152.4-10.716%
vs Similar (8)69.872.0141.8-2.250%
vs Weaker (3)105.065.7170.7+39.3100%
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abilene ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#359
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
H06/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A12/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A14/01
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A19/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H20/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H26/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
67-82
67
82
-15
H27/01
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
73-76 OT
73
76
-3
H02/02
NCAA
Seattle
#144
L
52-75
52
75
-23
A09/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
45-74
45
74
-29
A10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-44
40-36
32-33
32-41
24-32
29-36
30-40
41-39
41-33
37-34
39-32
43-28
33-33
34-49
23-31
44-36
30-41
22-34
22-30
23-44
142.0Avg total
67.6Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)72.675.3147.9-2.735%
Season at home (11)80.273.3153.5+6.955%
Season away (12)65.677.2142.8-11.617%
Last 10 (10)67.674.4142.0-6.830%
Last 5 (5)63.873.4137.2-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.677.2146.8-7.617%
vs Similar (10)66.575.2141.7-8.720%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)62.953.9116.7+9.071%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: -3.2-3.2
UTRGVAbilene Christian
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#175
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/01
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A06/01
NCAA
Seattle
#144
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H12/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H14/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A19/01
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H21/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H26/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A02/02
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A04/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A09/02
NCAA
72.0Avg total
34.6Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.839.173.9-4.334%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.936.673.5+0.347%-
Last 30 away (14)32.441.874.2-9.421%-
Last 10 (10)34.637.472.0-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)32.238.070.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)32.039.771.7-7.737%-
vs Similar (7)35.341.777.0-6.40%-
vs Weaker (3)51.029.380.3+21.7100%-
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abilene ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTRGV
#359
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H06/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A14/01
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A19/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H26/01
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H27/01
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H02/02
NCAA
Seattle
#144
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A09/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A10/02
NCAA
66.3Avg total
31.4Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)33.835.869.6-2.036%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.833.769.5+2.154%-
Last 30 away (15)32.137.769.8-5.520%-
Last 10 (10)31.434.966.3-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)29.433.462.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.336.568.8-4.233%-
vs Similar (10)32.233.565.7-1.330%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)37.238.475.6-1.240%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UTRGV wins
3
Abilene Christian wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Abilene Christian v UTRGV91-89 OT
12/01/23UTRGV v Abilene Christian103-86
05/02/22Abilene Christian v UTRGV83-66
27/01/22UTRGV v Abilene Christian85-87
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/24AStephen F. Austin84-92
04/02/24ASouthern Utah59-79
02/02/24AUtah Tech64-81
26/01/24HCalifornia Baptist54-63
21/01/24HTarleton73-77
19/01/24AUT Arlington73-91
14/01/24HUtah Valley State76-68
12/01/24HSeattle81-80 OT
06/01/24AAbilene Christian89-91 OT
04/01/24HStephen F. Austin78-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24AUtah Valley State45-74
09/02/24ASeattle52-75
02/02/24HTarleton73-76 OT
27/01/24HSouthern Utah67-82
26/01/24HUtah Tech82-60
20/01/24HUT Arlington78-67
19/01/24ATarleton71-79
14/01/24ACalifornia Baptist53-68
12/01/24AGrand Canyon64-74
06/01/24HUTRGV91-89 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTRGV
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeLWWLL42%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %26%42%9%
Points / game73.475.171.6
Allowed / game79.874.685.5
Point differential-6.4+0.5-13.9
Avg total153.3149.7157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %9%8%9%
Abilene Christian
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL35%
HomeWWWLL55%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %35%55%17%
Points / game72.680.265.6
Allowed / game75.373.377.2
Point differential-2.7+6.9-11.6
Avg total147.9153.5142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)20% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %13%27%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State2522388%80.661.4+19.2
2 Texas A&M-CC24141058%74.866.8+8.1
3 Stephen F. Austin24141058%77.571.4+6.2
4 Lamar24131154%80.174.9+5.2
5 Nicholls State24131154%73.374.8-1.5
6 SE Louisiana25121348%68.770.2-1.5
7 TX A&M Commerce2591636%71.973.9-2.0
8 Incarnate Word2481633%73.677.9-4.3
9 New Orleans2581732%74.979.6-4.8
10 Northwestern St.2571828%69.876.8-7.0
11 UTRGV2361726%73.479.8-6.4
12 Houston Christian2361726%70.582.6-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tarleton2417771%72.067.0+5.0
2 California Baptist2314961%69.065.2+3.8
3 UT Arlington24121250%73.672.7+1.0
4 Utah Valley State24101442%68.669.8-1.2
5 Utah Tech24101442%70.376.3-6.0
6 Southern Utah2491538%75.877.0-1.2
7 Abilene Christian2381535%72.675.3-2.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTRGV314879
Abilene Christian375087
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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