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UTRGV vs Stephen F. Austin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-85
38-38 40-47
Position#359
Record4-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#175
Record8-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game68.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UTRGV v Stephen F. Austin
19 Dec 2026
UTRG v STEP
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
UTRG57
STEP66
05 Dec 2024
UTRG68
STEP65
04 Jan 2024
UTRG78
STEP85
11 Feb 2023
UTRG72
STEP82
05 Mar 2022
UTRG63
STEP93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTRGV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stephen F. Austin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#104
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A18/11
NCAA
North American Stallions
#462
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H21/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#149
L
57-76
57
76
-19
H25/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H26/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H30/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A02/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A07/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H16/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A19/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-47
33-43
43-39
49-34
23-43
34-33
17-51
41-24
30-35
39-44
40-37
35-40
34-33
42-41
41-40
35-46
27-36
41-42
37-41
40-33
149.6Avg total
71.4Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.779.2152.8-5.531%
Season at home (7)77.074.6151.6+2.443%
Season away (6)69.884.5154.3-14.717%
Last 10 (10)71.478.2149.6-6.830%
Last 5 (5)74.477.8152.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)67.681.3148.9-13.77%
vs Similar (13)72.771.9144.6+0.862%
vs Weaker (3)105.065.7170.7+39.3100%
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stephen F. AustinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H19/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
92-68
92
68
+24
H20/11
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
49-79
49
79
-30
H22/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H30/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
79-74 OT
79
74
+5
A02/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H06/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A09/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H20/12
NCAA
Paul Quinn
#523
W
115-58
115
58
+57
H22/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
80-51
80
51
+29
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-39
53-37
38-32
54-36
26-32
23-47
34-34
32-34
27-32
39-34
21-29
28-27
40-36
30-42
34-22
41-50
64-24
51-34
28-22
52-29
144.1Avg total
76.1Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.168.1146.2+10.062%
Season at home (9)78.766.2144.9+12.467%
Season away (4)76.872.2149.0+4.550%
Last 10 (10)76.168.0144.1+8.160%
Last 5 (5)77.863.0140.8+14.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)64.068.6132.6-4.620%
vs Similar (9)74.676.1150.7-1.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)80.268.8149.1+11.469%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.7-7.71st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +3.3+3.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.7-7.71st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +3.3+3.3
UTRGVStephen F. Austin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#104
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A18/11
NCAA
North American Stallions
#462
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H21/11
NCAA
Hawaii
#149
L
23-43
23
43
-20
H25/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
17-51
17
51
-34
H26/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H30/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A02/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A07/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H16/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A19/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H31/12
NCAA
72.7Avg total
32.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.537.771.1-4.231%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.036.972.9-0.938%-
Last 30 away (13)30.438.669.0-8.223%-
Last 10 (10)32.540.272.7-7.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.473.2-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.139.468.4-10.321%-
vs Similar (12)34.237.872.0-3.525%-
vs Weaker (3)51.029.380.3+21.7100%-
This opponent (Stephen F. Austin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stephen F. AustinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Marymount
#293
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H19/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H20/11
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H22/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#42
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H30/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A02/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
21-29
21
29
-8
H06/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A09/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H20/12
NCAA
Paul Quinn
#523
W
64-24
64
24
+40
H22/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H30/12
NCAA
64.7Avg total
34.5Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.831.367.0+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.628.763.3+5.961%-
Last 30 away (12)37.535.272.7+2.358%-
Last 10 (10)34.530.264.7+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.426.664.0+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.431.260.6-1.840%-
vs Similar (9)34.835.770.4-0.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)38.328.867.1+9.581%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UTRGV wins
4
Stephen F. Austin wins
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/23HIncarnate Word77-74
19/12/23AChicago State68-78
16/12/23HTexas A&M-CC76-86
07/12/23ATexas A&M-CC76-74
02/12/23ATarleton75-77
30/11/23HGrand Canyon69-79
26/11/23HArkansas State58-75
25/11/23HHawaii57-76
21/11/23HNorth American Stallions92-73
18/11/23AOklahoma66-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HNew Orleans80-51
22/12/23HPaul Quinn115-58
20/12/23HNew Mexico State75-72
09/12/23AWyoming70-78
06/12/23HLouisiana Tech49-56
02/12/23AAbilene Christian79-74 OT
30/11/23HTarleton66-68
22/11/23HUtah State49-79
20/11/23HDrake92-68
19/11/23HLoyola Marymount86-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTRGV
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW31%
HomeLLLLW43%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%43%17%
Points / game73.777.069.8
Allowed / game79.274.684.5
Point differential-5.5+2.4-14.7
Avg total152.8151.6154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stephen F. Austin
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %62%67%50%
Points / game78.178.776.8
Allowed / game68.166.272.2
Point differential+10.0+12.4+4.5
Avg total146.2144.9149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%56%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %15%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State1311285%80.859.2+21.6
2 Stephen F. Austin138562%78.168.1+10.0
3 Texas A&M-CC137654%76.967.1+9.8
4 Lamar136746%82.578.0+4.5
5 TX A&M Commerce136746%74.273.8+0.5
6 Incarnate Word135838%75.577.6-2.2
7 New Orleans135838%74.476.6-2.2
8 Nicholls State135838%72.275.7-3.5
9 SE Louisiana135838%67.972.2-4.2
10 UTRGV134931%73.779.2-5.5
11 Houston Christian112918%69.683.2-13.5
12 Northwestern St.1321115%69.281.8-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTRGV384078
Stephen F. Austin384785
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