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Tarleton vs Abilene Christian Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 79-71
40-30 39-41
Position#42
Record10-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game65.6
Tarleton 🏆
USA
vs
Abilene Christian
USA
Position#239
Record6-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game76.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tarleton v Abilene Christian
16 Feb 2026
TARL65
ABIL62
08 Jan 2026
TARL80
ABIL84
27 Feb 2025
TARL67
ABIL52
18 Jan 2024
TARL79
ABIL71
14 Jan 2023
TARL72
ABIL63
12 Feb 2022
TARL63
ABIL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Abilene Christian winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A30/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H02/12
NCAA
Hardin Simmons
#542
W
92-56
92
56
+36
H06/12
NCAA
Sterling College
#555
W
85-47
85
47
+38
H13/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H19/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
46-65
46
65
-19
A21/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A30/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H05/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A12/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
48-74
48
74
-26
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
34-32
37-40
40-35
48-33
44-23
45-26
40-21
40-31
22-34
25-39
21-26
34-31
45-35
42-37
36-39
34-35
29-42
29-36
19-38
136.5Avg total
69.8Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)69.465.6135.0+3.962%
Season at home (7)78.058.7136.7+19.386%
Season away (9)62.870.9133.7-8.144%
Last 10 (10)69.866.7136.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)62.871.6134.4-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)57.666.6124.2-9.020%
vs Similar (14)69.971.8141.6-1.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)71.652.2123.9+19.488%
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abilene ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#136
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A30/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
74-79 OT
74
79
-5
H02/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H07/12
NCAA
Howard Payne
#648
W
120-69
120
69
+51
H10/12
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H17/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A22/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A30/12
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
H06/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A12/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-41
37-45
32-27
34-39
37-38
39-40
51-38
69-31
38-41
50-41
35-28
38-55
47-44
37-42
40-44
40-36
32-33
32-41
24-32
29-36
158.8Avg total
79.4Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.176.2151.2-1.138%
Season at home (7)83.174.4157.6+8.757%
Season away (9)68.877.6146.3-8.822%
Last 10 (10)79.479.4158.8+0.030%
Last 5 (5)73.080.0153.0-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)67.779.0146.7-11.310%
vs Similar (12)73.173.8146.9-0.842%
vs Weaker (7)63.155.0118.1+8.171%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -0.1-0.1
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -0.1-0.1
TarletonAbilene Christian
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#175
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H02/12
NCAA
Hardin Simmons
#542
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H06/12
NCAA
Sterling College
#555
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H13/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H19/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A21/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A30/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H05/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A12/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A14/01
NCAA
71.0Avg total
36.8Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.332.567.8+2.859%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.229.667.9+8.679%-
Last 30 away (15)32.535.167.7-2.640%-
Last 10 (10)36.834.271.0+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)32.835.668.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)28.632.661.2-4.020%-
vs Similar (14)34.833.568.3+1.364%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)37.631.168.7+6.457%-
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abilene ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#136
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A30/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H02/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H07/12
NCAA
Howard Payne
#648
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H10/12
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H17/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A22/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A30/12
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H06/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/01
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A14/01
NCAA
73.6Avg total
37.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)34.936.771.6-1.836%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.434.570.9+1.854%-
Last 30 away (15)33.638.572.1-4.920%-
Last 10 (10)37.036.673.6+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.271.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)31.836.668.4-4.830%-
vs Similar (12)35.436.371.8-0.933%-
vs Weaker (5)36.637.474.0-0.840%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tarleton wins
4
Abilene Christian wins
DateGameScore
14/01/23Tarleton v Abilene Christian72-63
31/12/22Abilene Christian v Tarleton69-63
06/03/22Abilene Christian v Tarleton61-56
13/02/22Tarleton v Abilene Christian63-77
06/12/20Abilene Christian v Tarleton69-48
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24AGrand Canyon48-74
12/01/24ACalifornia Baptist63-77
05/01/24HUT Arlington78-76
30/12/23ALoyola Marymount79-66
21/12/23ATennessee46-65
19/12/23HJacksonville State62-65
13/12/23HSterling College85-47
06/12/23HHardin Simmons92-56
02/12/23HUTRGV77-75
30/11/23AStephen F. Austin68-66
Abilene Christianlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24ACalifornia Baptist53-68
12/01/24AGrand Canyon64-74
06/01/24HUTRGV91-89 OT
30/12/23AWestern Kentucky84-86
22/12/23AArkansas73-83
17/12/23HUTEP88-82
10/12/23HHoward Payne120-69
07/12/23HNorthern Arizona76-78
02/12/23HStephen F. Austin74-79 OT
30/11/23AUT Arlington71-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tarleton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL62%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %62%86%44%
Points / game69.478.062.8
Allowed / game65.658.770.9
Point differential+3.9+19.3-8.1
Avg total135.0136.7133.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Abilene Christian
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %38%57%22%
Points / game75.183.168.8
Allowed / game76.274.477.6
Point differential-1.1+8.7-8.8
Avg total151.2157.6146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %12%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tarleton1610662%69.465.6+3.9
2 California Baptist1710759%68.163.6+4.5
3 UT Arlington178947%73.674.4-0.8
4 Utah Valley State178947%68.469.6-1.2
5 Utah Tech167944%70.175.5-5.4
6 Abilene Christian1661038%75.176.2-1.1
7 Southern Utah1651131%77.179.1-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tarleton403979
Abilene Christian304171
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