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UTRGV vs Nicholls State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 69-71
39-35 30-36
Position#137
Record4-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#265
Record4-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game77.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UTRGV v Nicholls State
09 Mar 2026
UTRG86
NICH68
31 Dec 2025
UTRG69
NICH71
27 Jan 2025
UTRG75
NICH82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTRGV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nicholls State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#200
L
81-96
81
96
-15
A04/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A12/11
NCAA
Southwest Adventist
#641
W
110-53
110
53
+57
H18/11
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A25/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A04/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H07/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H12/12
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A17/12
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
109-51
109
51
+58
H20/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
69-85
69
85
-16
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-46
44-50
36-48
29-37
58-30
52-23
31-42
42-45
26-29
34-44
31-30
32-20
27-24
23-34
49-34
34-38
54-20
55-31
24-35
45-50
147.3Avg total
76.3Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.371.0147.3+5.340%
Season at home (5)80.259.4139.6+20.860%
Season away (5)72.482.6155.0-10.220%
Last 10 (10)76.371.0147.3+5.340%
Last 5 (5)74.863.2138.0+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.784.2153.8-14.517%
vs Similar (12)70.576.0146.5-5.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.863.4146.2+19.475%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#170
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A13/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
79-99
79
99
-20
A15/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A22/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A28/11
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
76-96
76
96
-20
A03/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H06/12
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
117-49
117
49
+68
H11/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H18/12
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
82-95
82
95
-13
A22/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
19-25
44-43
39-48
40-51
32-47
49-48
36-46
36-36
35-52
41-44
34-33
40-34
50-23
67-26
31-22
48-42
34-45
48-50
42-34
34-37
158.5Avg total
79.9Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.677.3152.9-1.833%
Season at home (3)90.060.0150.0+30.0100%
Season away (9)70.883.1153.9-12.311%
Last 10 (10)79.978.6158.5+1.340%
Last 5 (5)85.669.2154.8+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.780.8152.5-9.233%
vs Similar (17)72.474.3146.6-1.941%
vs Weaker (7)82.663.7146.3+18.986%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +3.6+3.6
UTRGVNicholls State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#200
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A04/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A12/11
NCAA
Southwest Adventist
#641
W
58-30
58
30
+28
H18/11
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A25/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A04/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H07/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H12/12
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A17/12
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
54-20
54
20
+34
H20/12
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H30/12
NCAA
71.1Avg total
37.3Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.433.168.5+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.729.166.9+8.680%-
Last 30 away (15)33.137.170.1-4.020%-
Last 10 (10)37.333.871.1+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.028.665.6+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.337.567.8-7.217%-
vs Similar (12)34.235.769.9-1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.128.367.4+10.867%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#170
L
19-25
19
25
-6
A13/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A15/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A22/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A28/11
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A03/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#287
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H06/12
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H11/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H18/12
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A22/12
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A30/12
NCAA
72.7Avg total
35.2Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.833.566.3-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.231.265.4+3.175%-
Last 30 away (18)31.935.066.9-3.139%-
Last 10 (10)35.237.572.7-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.231.469.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)33.037.070.0-4.033%-
vs Similar (17)30.733.263.9-2.553%-
vs Weaker (7)37.931.169.0+6.771%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UTRGV wins
2
Nicholls State wins
DateGameScore
22/02/25Nicholls State v UTRGV93-84
28/01/25UTRGV v Nicholls State75-82
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HNew Orleans69-85
20/12/25HCBS Ambassadors109-51
17/12/25ALamar83-72
12/12/25HUT Arlington50-58
07/12/25HAustin Peay63-50
04/12/25AStephen F. Austin60-73
25/11/25AIllinois73-87
18/11/25HSouthwest Adventist110-53
12/11/25ABoise State65-85
04/11/25ABaylor81-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25ATexas A&M-CC76-71
22/12/25APacific82-95
18/12/25HHouston Christian79-64
11/12/25HCBS Ambassadors117-49
06/12/25HIncarnate Word74-67
03/12/25ACreighton76-96
28/11/25ATulane72-82
22/11/25AOklahoma State81-95
15/11/25AMurray State79-99
13/11/25AValparaiso63-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTRGV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL40%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game76.380.272.4
Allowed / game71.059.482.6
Point differential+5.3+20.8-10.2
Avg total147.3139.6155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nicholls State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW33%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1239
Win %33%100%11%
Points / game75.690.070.8
Allowed / game77.360.083.1
Point differential-1.8+30.0-12.3
Avg total152.9150.0153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin1311285%80.265.0+15.2
2 McNeese State1310377%86.769.2+17.5
3 Incarnate Word137654%82.873.4+9.5
4 Lamar137654%72.867.8+5.1
5 Texas A&M-CC136746%76.568.4+8.1
6 UTRGV104640%76.371.0+5.3
7 Houston Christian135838%70.674.5-3.8
8 New Orleans145936%75.781.9-6.1
9 Nicholls State124833%75.677.3-1.8
10 SE Louisiana134931%65.970.2-4.3
11 Northwestern St.1331023%72.479.1-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTRGV393069
Nicholls State353671
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