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UTRGV vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 58-69
28-28 30-41
Position#204
Record9-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game67.1
vs
Position#218
Record7-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game65.2
USANCAARound 10
Other2020-21
Meetings · UTRGV v Tarleton
20 Jan 2024
UTRG73
TARL77
25 Feb 2023
UTRG99
TARL95
29 Jan 2022
UTRG64
TARL79
06 Mar 2021
UTRG58
TARL69
05 Mar 2021
UTRG47
TARL65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTRGV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H22/12
NCAA
St. Mary's (TX)
#419
W
96-67
96
67
+29
H08/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#264
W
82-49
82
49
+33
H16/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#264
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Texas Southern
#85
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A07/02
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#483
W
116-51
116
51
+65
H22/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#203
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#203
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A28/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#132
L
51-69
51
69
-18
A02/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#218
L
47-65
47
65
-18
H06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
25-42
41-27
44-28
52-39
41-24
41-25
37-35
35-30
42-42
33-35
52-21
64-30
26-35
48-43
27-38
37-35
19-31
32-38
28-36
19-29
140.6Avg total
74.3Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.967.1141.1+6.853%
Season at home (10)80.260.8141.0+19.480%
Season away (7)65.076.1141.1-11.114%
Last 10 (10)74.366.3140.6+8.040%
Last 5 (5)70.467.2137.6+3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.272.5139.8-5.225%
vs Similar ◀ (13)69.872.8142.6-3.146%
vs Weaker (12)79.565.2144.8+14.275%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#152
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Weber State
#36
L
79-94
79
94
-15
A18/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#203
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A30/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#203
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A31/01
NCAA
McMurry
#442
W
112-54
112
54
+58
H10/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#264
W
77-59
77
59
+18
A20/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#264
L
48-64
48
64
-16
A21/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#132
L
51-78
51
78
-27
H27/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#132
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H28/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#204
W
65-47
65
47
+18
A06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-39
35-34
44-35
35-59
28-38
32-35
31-24
39-38
53-23
59-31
36-23
41-36
31-34
17-30
23-41
28-37
36-25
28-30
36-28
29-19
135.2Avg total
69.3Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)69.965.2135.1+4.641%
Season at home (7)76.358.9135.1+17.457%
Season away (10)65.469.7135.1-4.330%
Last 10 (10)69.365.9135.2+3.450%
Last 5 (5)61.060.6121.6+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.874.2136.0-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (5)64.267.2131.4-3.040%
vs Weaker (8)77.559.5137.0+18.062%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: -0.6-0.6
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +4.0+4.02nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: -0.6-0.6
UTRGVTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H22/12
NCAA
St. Mary's (TX)
#419
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H08/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#264
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H16/01
NCAA
Utah Tech
#264
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H17/01
NCAA
Texas Southern
#85
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A07/02
NCAA
Dallas Christian
#483
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H22/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#203
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A27/02
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#203
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A28/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#132
L
19-31
19
31
-12
A02/03
NCAA
Tarleton
#218
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H06/03
NCAA
67.3Avg total
34.1Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.333.166.4+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.930.666.5+5.465%-
Last 30 away (13)29.836.566.3-6.623%-
Last 10 (10)34.133.267.3+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)30.432.262.6-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)26.836.863.5-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.634.867.4-2.238%-
vs Weaker (12)35.330.665.9+4.867%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#152
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Weber State
#36
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A18/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#203
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A30/01
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#203
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A31/01
NCAA
McMurry
#442
W
53-23
53
23
+30
H10/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#264
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A20/02
NCAA
Utah Tech
#264
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A21/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#132
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H27/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#132
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H28/02
NCAA
UTRGV
#204
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A06/03
NCAA
66.0Avg total
35.0Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)35.130.065.1+5.153%-
Last 30 at home (7)39.027.666.6+11.457%-
Last 30 away (10)32.331.764.0+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)35.031.066.0+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)32.430.262.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.232.564.8-0.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)32.234.066.2-1.840%-
vs Weaker (8)38.226.264.5+12.075%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UTRGV wins
1
Tarleton wins
DateGameScore
06/03/21UTRGV v Tarleton47-65
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/21HTarleton47-65
02/03/21ANew Mexico State51-69
28/02/21AUtah Valley State64-73
27/02/21AUtah Valley State74-78
22/02/21HDallas Christian116-51
07/02/21ATexas Southern75-77
17/01/21HUtah Tech72-65
16/01/21HUtah Tech82-49
08/01/21HSt. Mary's (TX)96-67
22/12/20HSam Houston St.66-69
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/21AUTRGV65-47
28/02/21HNew Mexico State64-55
27/02/21HNew Mexico State51-78
21/02/21AUtah Tech48-64
20/02/21AUtah Tech77-59
10/02/21HMcMurry112-54
31/01/21AUtah Valley State70-62
30/01/21AUtah Valley State60-73
18/01/21AWeber State79-94
17/01/21ACalifornia Baptist67-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTRGV
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL53%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %53%80%14%
Points / game73.980.265.0
Allowed / game67.160.876.1
Point differential+6.8+19.4-11.1
Avg total141.1141.0141.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tarleton
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW41%
HomeLLWLW57%
AwayLWWLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %41%57%30%
Points / game69.976.365.4
Allowed / game65.258.969.7
Point differential+4.6+17.4-4.3
Avg total135.1135.1135.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stephen F. Austin2116576%80.370.7+9.6
2 Nicholls State2216673%79.173.0+6.1
3 UTRGV179853%73.967.1+6.8
4 McNeese State23101343%80.871.8+9.0
5 Northwestern St.25101540%72.078.5-6.6
6 Incarnate Word2181338%68.071.3-3.4
7 New Orleans2281436%75.476.8-1.4
8 Lamar2581732%65.672.5-6.9
9 SE Louisiana2371630%68.077.8-9.8
10 Houston Christian2351822%71.581.6-10.1
11 Texas A&M-CC2451921%64.871.5-6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Utah2219386%84.268.5+15.8
2 Abilene Christian2521484%77.060.7+16.2
3 California Baptist2011955%79.173.4+5.7
4 Utah Valley State1910953%74.074.1-0.1
5 UT Arlington25121348%72.270.8+1.4
6 Tarleton1771041%69.965.2+4.6
7 Utah Tech2081240%70.276.8-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTRGV283058
Tarleton284169
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