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Utsunomiya Brex vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 May 2025
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 83-69
23-20 21-7 21-24 18-18
Position#1
Record47-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#20
Record19-40
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game80.5
JapanB League· Brex Arena Utsunomiya
Other2024-25
Meetings · Utsunomiya Brex v Koshigaya Alphas
04 May 2025
UTSU83
KOSH69
03 May 2025
UTSU91
KOSH62
09 Apr 2025
UTSU78
KOSH65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utsunomiya Brex winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utsunomiya BrexJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrex
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
78-65
78
65
+13
69avg 79
H09/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
99-87
99
87
+12
98avg 79
H12/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
89-69
89
69
+20
88avg 79
H13/04
B League
Chiba
#5
L
79-85
79
85
-6
72avg 79
A16/04
B League
Akita
#14
W
80-69
80
69
+11
75avg 79
A19/04
B League
Akita
#14
W
89-72
89
72
+17
90avg 79
A20/04
B League
Alvark
#4
W
61-55
61
55
+6
52avg 79
H23/04
B League
Gunma
#6
L
61-77
61
77
-16
51avg 79
H26/04
B League
Gunma
#6
L
81-84
81
84
-3
79avg 79
H27/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
91-62
91
62
+29
87avg 79
H03/05
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
17-18
24-17
16-18
32-26
27-14
25-31
15-16
27-16
26-17
20-18
16-18
19-21
21-10
19-28
20-26
21-23
19-14
21-15
19-17
23-19
21-20
22-14
23-19
7-15
11-11
29-15
14-14
10-21
21-12
13-30
17-14
9-21
19-20
29-25
24-18
24-14
20-16
31-14
16-18
153.3Avg total
80.8Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)84.675.2159.8+9.480%
Season at home (29)85.375.1160.4+10.283%
Season away (30)83.975.3159.2+8.577%
Last 10 (10)80.872.5153.3+8.370%
Last 5 (5)76.670.0146.6+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)84.682.9167.5+1.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.171.1155.2+13.089%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
65-78
65
78
-13
62avg 70
A09/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
74-87
74
87
-13
72avg 70
A12/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
64-90
64
90
-26
59avg 70
A13/04
B League
Gunma
#6
L
58-90
58
90
-32
59avg 70
A16/04
B League
Sendai
#23
W
88-81
88
81
+7
87avg 70
H19/04
B League
Sendai
#23
L
64-82
64
82
-18
63avg 70
H20/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
75-74
75
74
+1
71avg 70
H23/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
50-60
50
60
-10
50avg 70
H26/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
75-74 OT
75
74
+1
69avg 70
H27/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
62-91
62
91
-29
53avg 70
A03/05
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
18-17
17-24
18-16
23-17
18-26
22-27
11-17
20-29
17-20
18-18
9-23
8-22
22-22
14-28
14-18
24-19
24-9
19-26
21-27
19-26
15-20
16-20
14-16
13-11
18-17
25-23
19-23
4-30
12-18
14-4
20-8
21-14
8-9
20-19
16-23
14-24
16-20
14-31
18-16
148.2Avg total
67.5Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)74.880.5155.4-5.732%
Season at home (30)77.680.7158.3-3.140%
Season away (29)72.080.4152.4-8.424%
Last 10 (10)67.580.7148.2-13.230%
Last 5 (5)65.276.2141.4-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)70.380.8151.1-10.520%
vs Similar (13)75.578.2153.7-2.654%
vs Weaker (2)76.081.5157.5-5.550%
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -2.7-2.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -2.7-2.7
Utsunomiya BrexKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H09/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H12/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H13/04
B League
Chiba
#5
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A16/04
B League
Akita
#14
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A19/04
B League
Akita
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A20/04
B League
Alvark
#4
L
18-26
18
26
-8
H23/04
B League
Gunma
#6
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H26/04
B League
Gunma
#6
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H27/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H03/05
B League
73.5Avg total
39.5Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.337.379.6+5.073%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.437.781.1+5.771%-
Last 30 away (13)40.836.777.5+4.277%-
Last 10 (10)39.534.073.5+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.866.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)42.240.582.6+1.764%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.435.477.8+6.979%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A09/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A12/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A13/04
B League
Gunma
#6
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A16/04
B League
Sendai
#23
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H19/04
B League
Sendai
#23
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H20/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H23/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
16-48
16
48
-32
H26/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H27/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A03/05
B League
71.7Avg total
32.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.139.976.0-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.938.574.4-2.643%-
Last 30 away (16)36.341.177.4-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)32.639.171.7-6.530%-
Last 5 (5)28.037.865.8-9.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)34.839.774.5-4.927%-
vs Similar (13)36.840.677.5-3.838%-
vs Weaker (2)41.037.078.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.017.5
58.3%
51.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.411.8
34.3%
33.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws14.19.8
69.5%
72.7%9.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 66.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.2
51.0%
51.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.7
29.9%
33.4%20.1
🏀 Free throws13.810.0
72.5%
72.7%10.0
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utsunomiya Brex
WLLWWWLWWW
Koshigaya Alphas
LWLWLWLLLL
#1
League position
#20
+12.5
Net rating
-19.3
114.8
Offensive rating
95.6
102.3
Defensive rating
114.8
54.7%
Effective FG%
48.6%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
15.1%
Turnover %
22.8%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.3%
3-point %
29.9%
72.4%
Assist %
70.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 95.6Defence102.3 · 114.8Shooting54.7% · 48.6%3-point %34.3% · 29.9%Ball care15.1% · 22.8%Off. rebounds31.6% · 30.5%Free throws0.22 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Utsunomiya Brex   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Utsunomiya Brex wins
0
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HKoshigaya Alphas91-62
27/04/25HGunma81-84
26/04/25HGunma61-77
23/04/25HAlvark61-55
20/04/25AAkita89-72
19/04/25AAkita80-69
16/04/25AChiba79-85
13/04/25HKyoto89-69
12/04/25HKyoto99-87
09/04/25HKoshigaya Alphas78-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25AUtsunomiya Brex62-91
27/04/25HIbaraki Robots75-74 OT
26/04/25HIbaraki Robots50-60
23/04/25HHokkaido75-74
20/04/25HSendai64-82
19/04/25HSendai88-81
16/04/25AGunma58-90
13/04/25ADiamond Dolphins64-90
12/04/25ADiamond Dolphins74-87
09/04/25AUtsunomiya Brex65-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utsunomiya Brex
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW80%
HomeWWLLW83%
AwayWWLWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games592930
Win %80%83%77%
Points / game84.685.383.9
Allowed / game75.275.175.3
Point differential+9.4+10.2+8.5
Avg total159.8160.4159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+49%55%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)62% (8)75% (4)
Overtime %7%0%13%
Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL32%
HomeWLWLW40%
AwayLLLLL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593029
Win %32%40%24%
Points / game74.877.672.0
Allowed / game80.580.780.4
Point differential-5.7-3.1-8.4
Avg total155.4158.3152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won31% (13)43% (7)17% (6)
Overtime %7%10%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix59471280%90.879.5+11.3
2 Utsunomiya Brex59471280%84.675.2+9.4
3 Ryukyu60461477%85.576.3+9.1
4 Alvark60441673%76.170.2+5.9
5 Chiba60421870%81.976.1+5.8
6 SeaHorses Mikawa59392066%81.775.9+5.9
7 Gunma60392165%77.571.6+5.9
8 Shimane60372362%79.875.3+4.5
9 Diamond Dolphins59342558%82.179.4+2.7
10 Kyoto60332755%82.080.0+2.0
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya60303050%72.670.9+1.7
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles60303050%78.279.3-1.1
13 Osaka60293148%82.083.7-1.8
14 Akita60283247%73.074.5-1.6
15 Hiroshima D.60283247%80.283.0-2.8
16 Nagasaki60263443%75.878.3-2.5
17 Yokohama60243640%75.279.5-4.3
18 Saga60223837%76.579.1-2.6
19 Hokkaido60213935%75.579.9-4.4
20 Koshigaya Alphas59194032%74.880.5-5.7
21 Brave Thunders60184230%78.886.6-7.8
22 Ibaraki Robots60154525%72.679.6-7.0
23 Sendai60114918%72.582.6-10.1
24 Shiga5985114%77.189.2-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utsunomiya Brex2321211883
Koshigaya Alphas207241869
← all games of the day
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