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Utsunomiya Brex vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 91-62
24-14 20-16 31-14 16-18
Position#1
Record46-12
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#20
Record19-39
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game80.4
JapanB League· Brex Arena Utsunomiya
Other2024-25
Meetings · Utsunomiya Brex v Koshigaya Alphas
04 May 2025
UTSU83
KOSH69
03 May 2025
UTSU91
KOSH62
09 Apr 2025
UTSU78
KOSH65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utsunomiya Brex winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utsunomiya BrexJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrex
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
79-61
79
61
+18
76avg 79
A06/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
78-65
78
65
+13
69avg 79
H09/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
99-87
99
87
+12
98avg 79
H12/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
89-69
89
69
+20
88avg 79
H13/04
B League
Chiba
#5
L
79-85
79
85
-6
72avg 79
A16/04
B League
Akita
#14
W
80-69
80
69
+11
75avg 79
A19/04
B League
Akita
#14
W
89-72
89
72
+17
90avg 79
A20/04
B League
Alvark
#4
W
61-55
61
55
+6
52avg 79
H23/04
B League
Gunma
#6
L
61-77
61
77
-16
51avg 79
H26/04
B League
Gunma
#6
L
81-84
81
84
-3
79avg 79
H27/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
15-14
17-20
25-11
21-12
17-18
24-17
16-18
32-26
27-14
25-31
15-16
27-16
26-17
20-18
16-18
19-21
21-10
19-28
20-26
21-23
19-14
21-15
19-17
23-19
21-20
22-14
23-19
7-15
11-11
29-15
14-14
10-21
21-12
13-30
17-14
9-21
19-20
29-25
24-18
152.0Avg total
79.6Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)84.575.4159.9+9.079%
Season at home (28)85.175.6160.7+9.682%
Season away (30)83.975.3159.2+8.577%
Last 10 (10)79.672.4152.0+7.270%
Last 5 (5)74.471.4145.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)84.682.9167.5+1.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.671.1155.7+13.589%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
73-55
73
55
+18
67avg 71
H06/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
65-78
65
78
-13
62avg 71
A09/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
74-87
74
87
-13
72avg 71
A12/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
64-90
64
90
-26
59avg 71
A13/04
B League
Gunma
#6
L
58-90
58
90
-32
59avg 71
A16/04
B League
Sendai
#23
W
88-81
88
81
+7
87avg 71
H19/04
B League
Sendai
#23
L
64-82
64
82
-18
63avg 71
H20/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
75-74
75
74
+1
71avg 71
H23/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
50-60
50
60
-10
50avg 71
H26/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
75-74 OT
75
74
+1
69avg 71
H27/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
15-14
20-7
19-23
12-21
18-17
17-24
18-16
23-17
18-26
22-27
11-17
20-29
17-20
18-18
9-23
8-22
22-22
14-28
14-18
24-19
24-9
19-26
21-27
19-26
15-20
16-20
14-16
13-11
18-17
25-23
19-23
4-30
12-18
14-4
20-8
21-14
8-9
20-19
16-23
145.7Avg total
68.6Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)75.180.4155.4-5.333%
Season at home (30)77.680.7158.3-3.140%
Season away (28)72.480.0152.4-7.625%
Last 10 (10)68.677.1145.7-8.540%
Last 5 (5)70.474.2144.6-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)70.879.5150.3-8.720%
vs Similar (13)75.578.2153.7-2.654%
vs Weaker (2)76.081.5157.5-5.550%
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -3.3-3.3
Utsunomiya BrexKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A06/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H09/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H12/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H13/04
B League
Chiba
#5
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A16/04
B League
Akita
#14
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A19/04
B League
Akita
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A20/04
B League
Alvark
#4
L
18-26
18
26
-8
H23/04
B League
Gunma
#6
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H26/04
B League
Gunma
#6
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H27/04
B League
72.8Avg total
38.8Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.637.480.0+5.173%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.938.081.9+5.971%-
Last 30 away (13)40.836.777.5+4.277%-
Last 10 (10)38.834.072.8+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)32.235.267.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)42.240.582.6+1.764%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.835.778.5+7.179%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H06/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A09/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A12/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A13/04
B League
Gunma
#6
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A16/04
B League
Sendai
#23
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H19/04
B League
Sendai
#23
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H20/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H23/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
16-48
16
48
-32
H26/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H27/04
B League
70.2Avg total
33.0Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.539.776.2-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.338.474.7-2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)36.740.977.7-4.227%-
Last 10 (10)33.037.270.2-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)31.634.666.2-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.739.274.9-3.533%-
vs Similar (13)36.840.677.5-3.838%-
vs Weaker (2)41.037.078.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.216.8
57.5%
51.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.111.4
33.4%
33.4%34.2
🏀 Free throws16.411.0
67.1%
72.7%11.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 67.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.5
52.9%
51.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.26.8
29.3%
33.4%20.4
🏀 Free throws14.210.4
73.2%
72.7%10.4
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utsunomiya Brex
LLWWWLWWWW
Koshigaya Alphas
WLWLWLLLLW
#1
League position
#20
+10.3
Net rating
-11.9
112.3
Offensive rating
97.3
102.0
Defensive rating
109.2
53.6%
Effective FG%
49.3%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
15.9%
Turnover %
22.2%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.4%
3-point %
29.3%
73.0%
Assist %
70.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 97.3Defence102.0 · 109.2Shooting53.6% · 49.3%3-point %33.4% · 29.3%Ball care15.9% · 22.2%Off. rebounds32.3% · 29.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Utsunomiya Brex   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Utsunomiya Brex wins
0
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25HGunma81-84
26/04/25HGunma61-77
23/04/25HAlvark61-55
20/04/25AAkita89-72
19/04/25AAkita80-69
16/04/25AChiba79-85
13/04/25HKyoto89-69
12/04/25HKyoto99-87
09/04/25HKoshigaya Alphas78-65
06/04/25ASeaHorses Mikawa79-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25HIbaraki Robots75-74 OT
26/04/25HIbaraki Robots50-60
23/04/25HHokkaido75-74
20/04/25HSendai64-82
19/04/25HSendai88-81
16/04/25AGunma58-90
13/04/25ADiamond Dolphins64-90
12/04/25ADiamond Dolphins74-87
09/04/25AUtsunomiya Brex65-78
06/04/25HAkita73-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utsunomiya Brex
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL79%
HomeWWWLL82%
AwayWWLWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582830
Win %79%82%77%
Points / game84.585.183.9
Allowed / game75.475.675.3
Point differential+9.0+9.6+8.5
Avg total159.9160.7159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%54%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)62% (8)75% (4)
Overtime %7%0%13%
Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW33%
HomeWLWLW40%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games583028
Win %33%40%25%
Points / game75.177.672.4
Allowed / game80.480.780.0
Point differential-5.3-3.1-7.6
Avg total155.4158.3152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%20%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won31% (13)43% (7)17% (6)
Overtime %7%10%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix57461181%90.879.7+11.1
2 Utsunomiya Brex58461279%84.575.4+9.0
3 Ryukyu59451476%85.576.4+9.1
4 Alvark58421672%76.370.6+5.7
5 Chiba59411869%82.276.5+5.7
6 Gunma59392066%77.871.7+6.0
7 SeaHorses Mikawa58382066%81.775.7+5.9
8 Shimane59372263%79.975.1+4.8
9 Diamond Dolphins58342459%82.179.3+2.8
10 Kyoto58312753%82.080.1+1.9
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya58302852%73.170.9+2.2
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles59293049%78.279.4-1.2
13 Osaka59293049%82.183.7-1.6
14 Akita59273246%73.174.8-1.6
15 Hiroshima D.59273246%80.183.3-3.2
16 Nagasaki59253442%75.678.3-2.7
17 Yokohama59243541%75.379.6-4.3
18 Saga59223737%76.579.0-2.5
19 Hokkaido58203834%75.480.1-4.7
20 Koshigaya Alphas58193933%75.180.4-5.3
21 Brave Thunders58174129%78.986.4-7.5
22 Ibaraki Robots58144424%72.479.6-7.2
23 Sendai59114819%72.882.9-10.1
24 Shiga5784914%77.189.5-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utsunomiya Brex2420311691
Koshigaya Alphas1416141862
← all games of the day
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