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Utsunomiya Brex vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 78-65
21-12 17-18 24-17 16-18
Position#1
Record40-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#20
Record16-33
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game80.5
JapanB League· Brex Arena Utsunomiya
Other2024-25
Meetings · Utsunomiya Brex v Koshigaya Alphas
04 May 2025
UTSU83
KOSH69
03 May 2025
UTSU91
KOSH62
09 Apr 2025
UTSU78
KOSH65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utsunomiya Brex winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utsunomiya BrexJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrex
Date
Competition
Alvark
#4
L
61-63
61
63
-2
52avg 79
A05/03
B League
Gunma
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
88avg 79
A12/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
76-60
76
60
+16
70avg 79
H19/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
88-86
88
86
+2
77avg 79
H22/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
89-105
89
105
-16
82avg 79
H23/03
B League
Sendai
#23
W
86-66
86
66
+20
89avg 79
H26/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
83-70
83
70
+13
80avg 79
A29/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
65-77
65
77
-12
54avg 79
A30/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
87-81
87
81
+6
85avg 79
A05/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
79-61
79
61
+18
76avg 79
A06/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
13-11
20-14
15-23
23-19
29-23
11-13
20-22
23-13
19-22
18-17
16-8
28-26
25-22
15-16
20-22
22-28
23-28
25-28
19-21
21-18
29-18
19-20
17-10
27-17
23-16
20-11
13-26
21-11
14-22
13-19
17-25
23-17
21-23
19-25
24-16
22-16
15-14
17-20
25-11
154.3Avg total
79.7Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)85.475.8161.1+9.682%
Season at home (22)87.076.3163.4+10.786%
Season away (27)84.075.3159.3+8.778%
Last 10 (10)79.774.6154.3+5.170%
Last 5 (5)80.071.0151.0+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)88.883.2172.0+5.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.574.3160.7+12.286%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#19
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 72
A05/03
B League
Akita
#14
W
93-80 OT
93
80
+13
91avg 72
H12/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
70-88
70
88
-18
65avg 72
A19/03
B League
Gunma
#6
L
67-92
67
92
-25
58avg 72
A22/03
B League
Gunma
#6
L
57-62
57
62
-5
50avg 72
A23/03
B League
Chiba
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
58avg 72
A26/03
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
82-75
82
75
+7
80avg 72
H29/03
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
73-97
73
97
-24
64avg 72
H30/03
B League
Akita
#14
L
68-80
68
80
-12
64avg 72
H05/04
B League
Akita
#14
W
73-55
73
55
+18
67avg 72
H06/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
29-23
14-20
18-23
22-26
21-20
15-10
20-22
17-22
25-31
10-22
18-13
13-27
22-20
14-22
18-23
14-18
19-8
14-22
10-14
14-12
13-23
20-14
21-25
23-24
22-25
23-12
14-14
18-23
14-22
21-29
20-23
15-23
11-22
25-16
17-19
19-11
15-14
20-7
19-23
151.7Avg total
73.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)76.380.5156.9-4.233%
Season at home (25)79.082.0161.0-3.036%
Season away (24)73.579.0152.5-5.429%
Last 10 (10)73.078.7151.7-5.730%
Last 5 (5)72.876.2149.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)73.880.8154.6-6.917%
vs Similar (10)78.280.8159.0-2.650%
vs Weaker (2)88.570.0158.5+18.5100%
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
Utsunomiya BrexKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#4
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A05/03
B League
Gunma
#6
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A12/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H19/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H22/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H23/03
B League
Sendai
#23
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H26/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A29/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A30/03
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A05/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A06/04
B League
81.3Avg total
43.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.639.083.6+5.673%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.040.387.3+6.773%-
Last 30 away (15)42.237.679.8+4.673%-
Last 10 (10)43.437.981.3+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)43.234.477.6+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)45.642.588.1+3.175%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.237.781.9+6.573%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#19
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A05/03
B League
Akita
#14
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H12/03
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A19/03
B League
Gunma
#6
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A22/03
B League
Gunma
#6
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A23/03
B League
Chiba
#5
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A26/03
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H29/03
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H30/03
B League
Akita
#14
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H05/04
B League
Akita
#14
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H06/04
B League
77.6Avg total
36.4Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.479.7-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.741.679.3-3.931%-
Last 30 away (17)38.741.380.0-2.635%-
Last 10 (10)36.441.277.6-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)32.839.872.6-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.940.576.4-4.633%-
vs Similar (10)40.342.983.2-2.630%-
vs Weaker (2)49.542.592.0+7.050%-
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.017.3
55.8%
51.2%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.911.0
32.4%
33.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws15.811.0
69.6%
72.7%11.0
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.615.6
45.1%
51.2%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.1
36.4%
33.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.313.5
73.8%
72.7%13.5
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utsunomiya Brex
WWLWWLWWWL
Koshigaya Alphas
WLLWLLLLWL
#1
League position
#20
+6.7
Net rating
-7.9
108.2
Offensive rating
100.0
101.5
Defensive rating
107.9
52.1%
Effective FG%
49.1%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
18.0%
Turnover %
20.9%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.4%
3-point %
36.4%
70.7%
Assist %
67.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 100.0Defence101.5 · 107.9Shooting52.1% · 49.1%3-point %32.4% · 36.4%Ball care18.0% · 20.9%Off. rebounds33.5% · 29.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Utsunomiya Brex   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Utsunomiya Brex wins
0
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateGameScore
18/12/24Koshigaya Alphas v Utsunomiya Brex69-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25ASeaHorses Mikawa79-61
05/04/25ASeaHorses Mikawa87-81
30/03/25ANagasaki65-77
29/03/25ANagasaki83-70
26/03/25HSendai86-66
23/03/25HNeoPhoenix89-105
22/03/25HNeoPhoenix88-86
19/03/25HIbaraki Robots76-60
12/03/25AGunma83-77
05/03/25AAlvark61-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HAkita73-55
05/04/25HAkita68-80
30/03/25HHokkaido73-97
29/03/25HHokkaido82-75
26/03/25AChiba68-74
23/03/25AGunma57-62
22/03/25AGunma67-92
19/03/25ANagasaki70-88
12/03/25HAkita93-80 OT
05/03/25AHokkaido79-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utsunomiya Brex
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW82%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWWLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492227
Win %82%86%78%
Points / game85.487.084.0
Allowed / game75.876.375.3
Point differential+9.6+10.7+8.7
Avg total161.1163.4159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%55%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)71% (7)75% (4)
Overtime %8%0%15%
Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeWWLLW36%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492524
Win %33%36%29%
Points / game76.379.073.5
Allowed / game80.582.079.0
Point differential-4.2-3.0-5.4
Avg total156.9161.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%24%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won18% (11)20% (5)17% (6)
Overtime %6%8%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4841785%92.779.7+13.0
2 Utsunomiya Brex4940982%85.475.8+9.6
3 Ryukyu49361373%84.476.8+7.7
4 Alvark49361373%76.871.3+5.5
5 Gunma49331667%77.972.2+5.7
6 SeaHorses Mikawa49321765%81.575.2+6.3
7 Chiba49321765%82.277.6+4.6
8 Shimane49311863%80.174.4+5.6
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya49272255%74.571.2+3.3
10 Diamond Dolphins49262353%81.781.3+0.5
11 Kyoto49252451%82.080.6+1.4
12 Osaka49252451%82.983.1-0.2
13 Akita49232647%73.774.7-1.0
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles49232647%78.079.8-1.8
15 Hiroshima D.49232647%79.682.7-3.0
16 Nagasaki49222745%76.078.0-2.0
17 Yokohama49222745%76.679.5-2.9
18 Hokkaido49183137%75.179.4-4.3
19 Saga49173235%75.578.8-3.3
20 Koshigaya Alphas49163333%76.380.5-4.2
21 Brave Thunders49143529%78.687.1-8.5
22 Ibaraki Robots4994018%72.580.8-8.3
23 Sendai4994018%72.783.4-10.7
24 Shiga4874115%77.190.1-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utsunomiya Brex2117241678
Koshigaya Alphas1218171865
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