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CSM Targu Mures vs Valcea Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 72-94
20-18 21-23 17-27 14-26
Position#11
Record2-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game79.7
CSM Targu Mures
Romania
vs
Valcea 🏆
Romania
Position#9
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game83.3
RomaniaDivizia ARound 5· Sala Sporturilor Târgu Mure
Other2023-24
Meetings · CSM Targu Mures v Valcea
23 Jan 2027
CSM v VALC
upcoming
02 Apr 2026
CSM 102
VALC84
15 Mar 2025
CSM 77
VALC99
21 Oct 2023
CSM 72
VALC94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSM Targu Mures winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valcea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSM Targu MuresRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMures
Date
Competition
CSM Focsani
#15
W
102-86
102
86
+16
no box
A19/04
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#6
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
A28/04
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#6
W
94-81
94
81
+13
no box
H02/05
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#16
W
104-58
104
58
+46
no box
H10/05
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#16
W
94-58
94
58
+36
no box
A14/05
Divizia A
CSM Focsani
#15
W
84-60
84
60
+24
87avg 79
A15/09
Romanian Cup
Municipal Galati
#9
W
82-80
82
80
+2
69avg 79
H17/09
Romanian Cup
CSM Constanta
#7
L
70-84
70
84
-14
63avg 79
A23/09
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#10
W
93-81
93
81
+12
90avg 79
H11/10
Divizia A
CSM Focsani
#16
W
85-74
85
74
+11
84avg 79
A14/10
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
26-21
31-26
15-20
17-28
22-13
20-15
26-21
22-26
25-21
27-17
20-17
27-11
22-12
26-21
29-14
22-11
29-20
21-12
22-15
23-11
24-21
15-12
22-16
19-28
17-20
25-20
21-12
20-21
19-23
16-18
15-22
18-11
20-17
25-21
30-32
21-21
20-16
23-23
21-14
163.2Avg total
89.3Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.779.7162.3+3.067%
Season at home (1)93.081.0174.0+12.0100%
Season away (2)77.579.0156.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)89.373.9163.2+15.490%
Last 5 (5)82.875.8158.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)81.788.0169.7-6.333%
vs Similar (8)82.282.5164.8-0.262%
vs Weaker (19)87.975.8163.8+12.174%
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValcea
Date
Competition
CSU Sibiu
#5
L
71-86
71
86
-15
39avg 50
H16/09
Romanian Cup
CSM Constanta
#10
L
53-93
53
93
-40
12avg 50
A17/09
Romanian Cup
CSU Sibiu
#15
L
78-91
78
91
-13
64avg 50
A25/09
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#6
L
73-87
73
87
-14
60avg 50
A11/10
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#7
W
81-72
81
72
+9
78avg 50
H14/10
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
11-27
27-16
11-18
13-19
20-21
10-23
10-30
21-22
24-23
17-21
16-25
16-16
17-23
16-17
24-31
18-22
24-12
20-23
19-15
157.0Avg total
71.2Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.383.3160.7-6.033%
Season at home (1)81.072.0153.0+9.0100%
Season away (2)75.589.0164.5-13.50%
Last 10 (5)71.285.8157.0-14.620%
Last 5 (5)71.285.8157.0-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.089.5151.5-27.50%
vs Similar (1)81.072.0153.0+9.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)75.589.0164.5-13.50%
This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -7.8-7.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -7.8-7.8
CSM Targu MuresValcea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSM Targu MuresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSM Focsani
#15
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A19/04
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A28/04
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H02/05
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#16
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H10/05
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#16
W
51-31
51
31
+20
A14/05
Divizia A
CSM Focsani
#15
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A15/09
Romanian Cup
Municipal Galati
#9
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H17/09
Romanian Cup
CSM Constanta
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A23/09
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#10
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H11/10
Divizia A
CSM Focsani
#16
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A14/10
Divizia A
81.4Avg total
44.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.739.282.8+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.637.082.6+8.680%-
Last 30 away (15)41.741.383.1+0.447%-
Last 10 (10)44.337.181.4+7.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.878.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)40.041.081.0-1.067%-
vs Similar (8)40.244.084.2-3.812%-
vs Weaker (19)45.736.882.5+8.884%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Sibiu
#5
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H16/09
Romanian Cup
CSM Constanta
#10
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A17/09
Romanian Cup
CSU Sibiu
#15
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A25/09
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A11/10
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H14/10
Divizia A
79.2Avg total
37.2Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)37.242.079.2-4.820%-
Last 30 at home (2)37.543.080.5-5.550%-
Last 30 away (3)37.041.378.3-4.30%-
Last 10 (5)37.242.079.2-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.079.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.046.079.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (1)42.034.076.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)39.042.081.0-3.00%-
This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSM Targu Murestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Targu Mures: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.223.4
55.5%
53.1%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.0
35.1%
34.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.010.8
72.0%
72.2%10.8
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.220.0
47.4%
53.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.66.4
34.4%
34.3%19.2
🏀 Free throws19.010.8
56.8%
72.2%10.8
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSM Targu Mures
WWLWWWWWWW
Valcea
WLLLL
#11
League position
#9
+8.8
Net rating
-19.7
109.3
Offensive rating
92.0
100.5
Defensive rating
111.7
54.5%
Effective FG%
48.7%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
20.3%
Turnover %
22.6%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.1%
3-point %
34.4%
66.2%
Assist %
42.4%
90%
Form (last 10/5)
20%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 92.0Defence100.5 · 111.7Shooting54.5% · 48.7%3-point %35.1% · 34.4%Ball care20.3% · 22.6%Off. rebounds34.9% · 27.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/5)90% · 20%
■ CSM Targu Mures   ■ Valcea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
CSM Targu Mures wins
0
Valcea wins
No previous meetings.
CSM Targu Mureslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23ACSM Focsani85-74
11/10/23HPetrolul Ploiesti93-81
23/09/23ACSM Constanta70-84
17/09/23HMunicipal Galati82-80
15/09/23ACSM Focsani84-60
14/05/23ACSM Targu Jiu94-58
10/05/23HCSM Targu Jiu104-58
02/05/23HPetrolul Ploiesti94-81
28/04/23APetrolul Ploiesti85-77
19/04/23ACSM Focsani102-86
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HCSM Constanta81-72
11/10/23AArges Pitesti73-87
25/09/23ACSU Sibiu78-91
17/09/23ACSM Constanta53-93
16/09/23HCSU Sibiu71-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSM Targu Mures
Divizia A 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game82.793.077.5
Allowed / game79.781.079.0
Point differential+3.0+12.0-1.5
Avg total162.3174.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valcea
Divizia A 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game77.381.075.5
Allowed / game83.372.089.0
Point differential-6.0+9.0-13.5
Avg total160.7153.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cluj-Napoca330100%85.366.0+19.3
2 CSU Sibiu330100%79.369.0+10.3
3 Dinamo Bucharest43175%78.570.0+8.5
4 Arges Pitesti43175%80.574.0+6.5
5 CSM Constanta43175%80.878.0+2.8
6 CSM Targu Jiu32167%80.376.7+3.7
7 CSM Targu Mures32167%82.779.7+3.0
8 CSM Oradea32167%72.774.0-1.3
9 Rapid Bucuresti32167%73.376.7-3.3
10 Voluntari42250%81.075.8+5.2
11 SCM Timisoara42250%78.577.0+1.5
12 Corona Brasov42250%78.879.0-0.2
13 Valcea31233%77.383.3-6.0
14 Petrolul Ploiesti41325%79.281.5-2.2
15 SCM Craiova2020%66.071.0-5.0
16 Municipal Galati3030%78.787.3-8.7
17 CSM Focsani4040%72.281.2-9.0
18 Laguna Bucuresti4040%57.280.5-23.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSM Targu Mures2021171472
Valcea1823272694
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