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Valcea vs CSM Targu Mures Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 73-85
26-31 14-18 13-22 20-14
Position#9
Record4-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game78.8
Valcea
Romania
vs
CSM Targu Mures 🏆
Romania
Position#11
Record7-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game78.6
RomaniaDivizia ARound 14· Traian Sports Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Valcea v CSM Targu Mures
17 Oct 2026
VALC83
CSM 91
13 Dec 2025
VALC105
CSM 110
11 Nov 2024
VALC99
CSM 92
23 Dec 2023
VALC73
CSM 85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valcea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSM Targu Mures winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValcea
Date
Competition
Arges Pitesti
#6
L
73-87
73
87
-14
60avg 60
A11/10
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#7
W
81-72
81
72
+9
78avg 60
H14/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#11
W
94-72
94
72
+22
91avg 60
A21/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#10
L
78-84
78
84
-6
69avg 60
H28/10
Divizia A
CSM Focsani
#16
L
71-74
71
74
-3
57avg 60
A06/11
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
74-90
74
90
-16
58avg 60
H18/11
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#15
W
80-69
80
69
+11
72avg 60
H26/11
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#4
L
77-78
77
78
-1
69avg 60
H30/11
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#6
W
73-69
73
69
+4
70avg 60
H09/12
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#7
L
58-81
58
81
-23
40avg 60
A16/12
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
17-23
16-17
24-31
18-22
24-12
20-23
19-15
18-20
23-21
27-17
26-14
14-22
22-19
19-17
23-26
18-17
19-15
11-17
23-25
9-23
17-28
26-23
22-16
21-21
32-17
9-16
18-15
22-22
15-19
20-15
20-22
20-16
13-21
18-18
22-14
17-19
12-25
21-13
8-24
153.5Avg total
75.9Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.178.8154.9-2.736%
Season at home (6)77.277.0154.2+0.250%
Season away (5)74.881.0155.8-6.220%
Last 10 (10)75.977.6153.5-1.740%
Last 5 (5)72.477.4149.8-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.089.7155.7-23.70%
vs Similar (4)73.578.8152.2-5.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)78.277.0155.2+1.250%
This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM Targu MuresRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMures
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#10
W
93-81
93
81
+12
90avg 76
H11/10
Divizia A
CSM Focsani
#16
W
85-74
85
74
+11
84avg 76
A14/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#9
L
72-94
72
94
-22
62avg 76
H21/10
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
75-96
75
96
-21
66avg 76
A28/10
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#15
W
80-66
80
66
+14
77avg 76
H04/11
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#4
W
70-69
70
69
+1
60avg 76
A10/11
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#6
L
81-85
81
85
-4
75avg 76
H17/11
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#7
W
80-73
80
73
+7
72avg 76
H24/11
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#10
W
97-85
97
85
+12
96avg 76
A07/12
Divizia A
CSM Focsani
#16
W
87-58
87
58
+29
88avg 76
H16/12
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-11
20-17
25-21
30-32
21-21
20-16
23-23
21-14
20-18
21-23
17-27
14-26
13-32
24-24
24-17
14-23
21-18
19-18
13-11
27-19
8-17
22-10
13-23
27-19
17-25
19-20
21-19
24-21
23-14
18-15
25-26
14-18
32-26
17-15
25-22
23-22
17-8
23-15
23-20
24-15
160.1Avg total
82.0Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.978.6159.5+2.364%
Season at home (6)82.276.2158.3+6.067%
Season away (5)79.481.6161.0-2.260%
Last 10 (10)82.078.1160.1+3.970%
Last 5 (5)83.074.0157.0+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.086.5166.5-6.550%
vs Similar (9)82.780.4163.1+2.267%
vs Weaker (15)90.172.4162.5+17.787%
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
ValceaCSM Targu Mures
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arges Pitesti
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A11/10
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H14/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A21/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H28/10
Divizia A
CSM Focsani
#16
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A06/11
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H18/11
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#15
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H26/11
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H30/11
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H09/12
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#7
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A16/12
Divizia A
76.5Avg total
36.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)36.841.277.9-4.423%-
Last 30 at home (7)37.142.079.1-4.929%-
Last 30 away (6)36.340.276.5-3.817%-
Last 10 (10)36.739.876.5-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.642.277.8-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.747.778.3-17.00%-
vs Similar (4)36.040.076.0-4.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.338.779.0+1.733%-
This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSM Targu MuresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#10
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H11/10
Divizia A
CSM Focsani
#16
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A14/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H21/10
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A28/10
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H04/11
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#4
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A10/11
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H17/11
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#7
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H24/11
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#10
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A07/12
Divizia A
CSM Focsani
#16
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H16/12
Divizia A
75.6Avg total
39.3Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.638.181.7+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.935.580.4+9.475%-
Last 30 away (14)42.141.183.3+1.057%-
Last 10 (10)39.336.375.6+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.233.072.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.341.279.5-2.850%-
vs Similar (9)40.742.783.3-2.033%-
vs Weaker (15)47.534.281.7+13.393%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.4
51.8%
53.1%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.8
30.8%
34.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.311.9
61.7%
72.2%11.9
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSM Targu Murestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Targu Mures: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.4
53.6%
53.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.110.2
40.6%
34.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.112.2
75.8%
72.2%12.2
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valcea
LWLWLLLWWL
CSM Targu Mures
WWWLWWLLWW
#9
League position
#11
-2.4
Net rating
+6.5
104.6
Offensive rating
113.2
107.0
Defensive rating
106.7
49.8%
Effective FG%
56.6%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.3%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.8%
3-point %
40.6%
51.1%
Assist %
62.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 113.2Defence107.0 · 106.7Shooting49.8% · 56.6%3-point %30.8% · 40.6%Ball care16.5% · 17.3%Off. rebounds30.3% · 27.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Valcea   ■ CSM Targu Mures
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valcea wins
0
CSM Targu Mures wins
DateGameScore
21/10/23CSM Targu Mures v Valcea72-94
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23ACSM Constanta58-81
09/12/23HArges Pitesti73-69
30/11/23HSCM Craiova77-78
26/11/23HCSU Sibiu80-69
18/11/23HCSM Oradea74-90
06/11/23ACSM Focsani71-74
28/10/23HPetrolul Ploiesti78-84
21/10/23ACSM Targu Mures94-72
14/10/23HCSM Constanta81-72
11/10/23AArges Pitesti73-87
CSM Targu Mureslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HCSM Focsani87-58
07/12/23APetrolul Ploiesti97-85
24/11/23HCSM Constanta80-73
17/11/23HArges Pitesti81-85
10/11/23ASCM Craiova70-69
04/11/23HCSU Sibiu80-66
28/10/23ACSM Oradea75-96
21/10/23HValcea72-94
14/10/23ACSM Focsani85-74
11/10/23HPetrolul Ploiesti93-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valcea
Divizia A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL36%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game76.177.274.8
Allowed / game78.877.081.0
Point differential-2.7+0.2-6.2
Avg total154.9154.2155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSM Targu Mures
Divizia A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game80.982.279.4
Allowed / game78.676.281.6
Point differential+2.3+6.0-2.2
Avg total159.5158.3161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cluj-Napoca11110100%93.874.0+19.8
2 CSM Oradea1110191%85.074.6+10.4
3 Voluntari129375%80.972.4+8.5
4 Arges Pitesti129375%80.177.1+3.0
5 Rapid Bucuresti117464%80.573.9+6.6
6 CSM Targu Mures117464%80.978.6+2.3
7 Corona Brasov138562%76.577.2-0.8
8 CSU Sibiu116555%75.576.5-0.9
9 Dinamo Bucharest126650%77.472.1+5.3
10 CSM Constanta126650%79.778.0+1.7
11 SCM Timisoara115645%81.580.8+0.6
12 SCM Craiova115645%76.376.2+0.1
13 CSM Targu Jiu115645%77.681.9-4.3
14 Valcea114736%76.178.8-2.7
15 Petrolul Ploiesti124833%78.282.6-4.3
16 Municipal Galati111109%79.292.5-13.4
17 CSM Focsani131128%71.579.5-8.0
18 Laguna Bucuresti120120%62.283.9-21.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valcea2614132073
CSM Targu Mures3118221485
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