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CSM Targu Mures vs Valcea Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-99
15-20 22-33 22-21 18-25
Position#9
Record11-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game87.6
CSM Targu Mures
Romania
vs
Valcea 🏆
Romania
Position#4
Record16-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game80.3
RomaniaDivizia ARound 23· Sala Sporturilor Târgu Mure
Other2024-25
Meetings · CSM Targu Mures v Valcea
23 Jan 2027
CSM v VALC
upcoming
02 Apr 2026
CSM 102
VALC84
15 Mar 2025
CSM 77
VALC99
21 Oct 2023
CSM 72
VALC94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSM Targu Mures winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valcea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSM Targu MuresRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMures
Date
Competition
Rapid Bucuresti
#8
L
74-81
74
81
-7
73avg 81
H04/01
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#11
W
81-75
81
75
+6
83avg 81
H11/01
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
88-73
88
73
+15
86avg 81
A17/01
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#3
L
96-106
96
106
-10
91avg 81
H27/01
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#15
W
92-76
92
76
+16
91avg 81
H01/02
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#12
L
71-80
71
80
-9
63avg 81
A08/02
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#16
W
94-80
94
80
+14
88avg 81
A12/02
Romanian Cup
Voluntari
#1
L
76-94
76
94
-18
71avg 81
A14/02
Romanian Cup
Municipal Galati
#14
W
109-87
109
87
+22
111avg 81
H02/03
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#7
L
83-92
83
92
-9
77avg 81
A08/03
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
25-23
20-13
11-25
23-20
19-17
15-16
24-22
22-15
22-24
25-19
19-15
20-30
24-28
26-30
26-18
19-24
22-20
26-15
25-17
21-15
18-15
19-29
13-21
22-27
18-22
26-16
28-15
15-20
18-23
20-24
23-27
22-20
25-18
29-27
33-22
20-20
13-28
27-20
23-24
170.8Avg total
86.4Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)87.487.6175.0-0.250%
Season at home (11)86.384.7171.0+1.564%
Season away (11)88.590.5179.1-2.036%
Last 10 (10)86.484.4170.8+2.050%
Last 5 (5)86.686.6173.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.696.4178.0-14.914%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.486.4168.8-4.023%
vs Weaker (8)98.284.8183.0+13.5100%
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValcea
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#15
W
86-77
86
77
+9
74avg 82
A14/12
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#13
W
104-89
104
89
+15
107avg 82
H21/12
Divizia A
Cluj-Napoca
#2
W
100-97
100
97
+3
94avg 82
A28/12
Divizia A
Voluntari
#5
W
92-85
92
85
+7
98avg 82
H11/01
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#6
L
70-75
70
75
-5
59avg 82
A18/01
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#16
W
101-70
101
70
+31
101avg 82
H26/01
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#8
W
122-114 OT
122
114
+8
99avg 82
A01/02
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#11
W
81-67
81
67
+14
85avg 82
H08/02
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
86avg 82
A01/03
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#3
W
74-68
74
68
+6
72avg 82
H09/03
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
17-20
17-14
28-20
23-18
21-23
32-27
28-21
28-24
21-22
17-26
34-25
32-19
19-21
18-17
23-28
16-15
18-24
17-17
19-19
24-14
26-21
22-22
29-13
22-13
20-17
9-21
20-20
23-17
21-17
16-16
21-17
28-27
27-13
20-27
14-20
22-19
15-16
16-15
21-18
174.8Avg total
91.9Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.280.3168.6+7.976%
Season at home (10)89.175.9165.0+13.290%
Season away (11)87.584.4171.8+3.164%
Last 10 (10)91.982.9174.8+9.090%
Last 5 (5)93.481.2174.6+12.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)100.097.0197.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.579.4159.9+1.158%
vs Weaker (16)88.481.1169.5+7.462%
This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.6+3.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.6+3.6
CSM Targu MuresValcea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSM Targu MuresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapid Bucuresti
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H04/01
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#11
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H11/01
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A17/01
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#3
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H27/01
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#15
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H01/02
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#12
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A08/02
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#16
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A12/02
Romanian Cup
Voluntari
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A14/02
Romanian Cup
Municipal Galati
#14
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H02/03
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#7
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A08/03
Divizia A
83.5Avg total
40.6Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.745.788.4-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.945.388.1-2.429%-
Last 30 away (16)42.646.088.6-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)40.642.983.5-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.680.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.649.990.4-9.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.145.286.3-4.215%-
vs Weaker (8)46.242.989.1+3.462%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#15
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A14/12
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#13
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H21/12
Divizia A
Cluj-Napoca
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A28/12
Divizia A
Voluntari
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H11/01
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#6
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A18/01
Divizia A
CSM Constanta
#16
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/01
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#8
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A01/02
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H08/02
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A01/03
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H09/03
Divizia A
83.0Avg total
44.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.683.9+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.842.186.9+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)41.739.280.9+2.547%-
Last 10 (10)44.738.383.0+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)45.634.880.4+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.046.095.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.839.481.2+2.358%-
vs Weaker (16)42.642.084.6+0.644%-
This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSM Targu Murestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Targu Mures: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.4
54.8%
54.8%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.8
37.5%
35.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.917.2
78.5%
73.0%17.2
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.923.8
55.5%
54.8%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.0
35.0%
35.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.017.1
77.7%
73.0%17.1
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSM Targu Mures
LWLWLWLWWL
Valcea
WWWWWLWWWW
#9
League position
#4
+2.4
Net rating
+12.0
112.5
Offensive rating
116.8
110.1
Defensive rating
104.8
55.3%
Effective FG%
54.4%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
19.6%
Turnover %
16.3%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.5%
3-point %
35.0%
66.6%
Assist %
59.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 116.8Defence110.1 · 104.8Shooting55.3% · 54.4%3-point %37.5% · 35.0%Ball care19.6% · 16.3%Off. rebounds31.2% · 33.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ CSM Targu Mures   ■ Valcea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
CSM Targu Mures wins
2
Valcea wins
DateGameScore
11/11/24Valcea v CSM Targu Mures99-92
23/12/23Valcea v CSM Targu Mures73-85
21/10/23CSM Targu Mures v Valcea72-94
CSM Targu Mureslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25ASCM Timisoara83-92
02/03/25HMunicipal Galati109-87
14/02/25AVoluntari76-94
12/02/25ACSM Constanta94-80
08/02/25ASCM Craiova71-80
01/02/25HPetrolul Ploiesti92-76
27/01/25HCorona Brasov96-106
17/01/25ACSU Sibiu88-73
11/01/25HDinamo Bucharest81-75
04/01/25HRapid Bucuresti74-81
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HCorona Brasov74-68
01/03/25ACSU Sibiu89-87
08/02/25HDinamo Bucharest81-67
01/02/25ARapid Bucuresti122-114 OT
26/01/25HCSM Constanta101-70
18/01/25AArges Pitesti70-75
11/01/25HVoluntari92-85
28/12/24ACluj-Napoca100-97
21/12/24HBC Steaua Bucuresti104-89
14/12/24APetrolul Ploiesti86-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSM Targu Mures
Divizia A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeLWLWW64%
AwayLWWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%64%36%
Points / game87.486.388.5
Allowed / game87.684.790.5
Point differential-0.2+1.5-2.0
Avg total175.0171.0179.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%36%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Valcea
Divizia A 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%90%64%
Points / game88.289.187.5
Allowed / game80.375.984.4
Point differential+7.9+13.2+3.1
Avg total168.6165.0171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSM Oradea2221195%85.169.4+15.7
2 Cluj-Napoca2117481%94.876.4+18.3
3 Valcea2116576%88.280.3+7.9
4 Voluntari2317674%91.381.4+9.9
5 Corona Brasov2316770%83.678.2+5.4
6 Arges Pitesti2315865%78.573.0+5.5
7 Rapid Bucuresti23131057%81.480.0+1.4
8 SCM Craiova22121055%78.576.0+2.5
9 CSM Targu Mures22111150%87.487.6-0.2
10 SCM Timisoara22101245%78.079.4-1.3
11 Dinamo Bucharest2381535%77.781.6-3.9
12 CSU Sibiu2271532%77.986.9-9.0
13 BC Steaua Bucuresti2371630%77.785.4-7.7
14 Municipal Galati2341917%85.497.1-11.7
15 CSM Constanta2332013%80.795.2-14.5
16 Petrolul Ploiesti222209%71.788.1-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSM Targu Mures1522221877
Valcea2033212599
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