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Valdivia vs Espanol de Talca Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 82-66
20-12 26-25 16-15 20-14
Position#11
Record5-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#12
Record3-26
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game85.5
ChileLNB· Coliseo Municipal de Valdivia
Other2024-25
Meetings · Valdivia v Espanol de Talca
10 Apr 2025
VALD82
ESPA66
23 Mar 2024
VALD98
ESPA65
29 Apr 2023
VALD82
ESPA59
16 Jan 2022
VALD90
ESPA65
15 Dec 2018
VALD87
ESPA84
16 Dec 2017
VALD97
ESPA85
15 Dec 2016
VALD94
ESPA95
03 Oct 2015
VALD78
ESPA73
07 Dec 2014
VALD78
ESPA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valdivia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Espanol de Talca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValdiviaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValdivia
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
63-70
63
70
-7
52avg 66
H15/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#5
W
94-88
94
88
+6
87avg 66
H16/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#1
W
88-79
88
79
+9
83avg 66
H21/03
LNB
Ancud
#6
L
70-87
70
87
-17
57avg 66
A23/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
66-94
66
94
-28
54avg 66
H26/03
LNB
Las Animas
#8
L
61-74
61
74
-13
50avg 66
A28/03
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
L
65-82
65
82
-17
52avg 66
H30/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
L
84-95
84
95
-11
72avg 66
A03/04
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
L
42-85
42
85
-43
27avg 66
A05/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
L
75-101
75
101
-26
68avg 66
A07/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-14
12-29
12-16
11-11
18-22
26-19
20-25
30-22
32-17
12-26
27-13
17-23
9-20
25-24
15-26
21-17
15-26
17-16
16-30
18-22
16-22
19-25
19-12
7-15
24-22
11-17
13-14
17-29
24-24
23-28
17-21
20-22
14-32
13-16
3-17
12-20
20-30
17-30
17-19
21-22
156.3Avg total
70.8Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)70.480.9151.3-10.517%
Season at home (13)71.274.8146.0-3.738%
Season away (16)69.885.9155.7-16.10%
Last 10 (10)70.885.5156.3-14.720%
Last 5 (5)65.487.4152.8-22.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)70.083.1153.1-13.113%
vs Similar (6)70.771.5142.2-0.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)84.095.0179.0-11.00%
This opponent (Espanol de Talca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Espanol de TalcaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTalca
Date
Competition
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
65-104
65
104
-39
52avg 60
H15/03
LNB
Las Animas
#8
L
78-84
78
84
-6
70avg 60
H16/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
W
83-78
83
78
+5
73avg 60
H20/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#5
L
72-99
72
99
-27
55avg 60
A22/03
LNB
Catolica
#10
L
58-69
58
69
-11
48avg 60
H27/03
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
62-92
62
92
-30
61avg 60
A29/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
L
87-103
87
103
-16
79avg 60
H30/03
LNB
Valdivia
#11
W
95-84
95
84
+11
96avg 60
H03/04
LNB
Ancud
#6
L
64-99
64
99
-35
47avg 60
H05/04
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
64avg 60
H07/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
19-27
15-29
17-21
31-19
13-20
17-24
17-21
27-23
11-23
25-17
20-15
17-31
23-26
10-22
22-20
8-22
16-19
22-19
12-9
27-24
15-23
6-24
14-21
17-35
26-21
16-32
28-15
24-24
28-23
21-17
22-20
15-22
17-27
22-20
10-30
17-30
21-16
20-16
14-15
162.5Avg total
73.6Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)68.185.5153.6-17.410%
Season at home (16)69.884.1153.9-14.219%
Season away (13)66.087.2153.2-21.20%
Last 10 (10)73.688.9162.5-15.320%
Last 5 (5)76.091.0167.0-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)68.685.1153.7-16.613%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valdivia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
ValdiviaEspanol de Talca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValdiviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H15/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H16/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H21/03
LNB
Ancud
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A23/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H26/03
LNB
Las Animas
#8
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A28/03
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H30/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A03/04
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A05/04
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
L
37-60
37
60
-23
A07/04
LNB
83.4Avg total
37.5Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.741.176.8-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.136.270.3-2.246%-
Last 30 away (17)37.044.881.8-7.818%-
Last 10 (10)37.545.983.4-8.420%-
Last 5 (5)36.249.285.4-13.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)35.041.776.7-6.722%-
vs Similar (6)36.736.773.3+0.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)47.052.099.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Espanol de Talca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Espanol de TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H15/03
LNB
Las Animas
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H16/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H20/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#5
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A22/03
LNB
Catolica
#10
L
24-41
24
41
-17
H27/03
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A29/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H30/03
LNB
Valdivia
#11
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H03/04
LNB
Ancud
#6
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H05/04
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H07/04
LNB
86.8Avg total
38.6Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.243.477.6-9.320%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.343.677.9-9.219%-
Last 30 away (14)34.043.377.3-9.321%-
Last 10 (10)38.648.286.8-9.620%-
Last 5 (5)41.449.090.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)34.243.477.6-9.320%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valdivia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valdiviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valdivia: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.8
47.2%
50.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.16.0
24.9%
32.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws21.514.6
67.9%
71.2%14.6
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Espanol de Talcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Espanol de Talca: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.4
50.3%
50.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.0
34.0%
32.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.311.6
67.1%
71.2%11.6
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valdivia
LLLLLLLWWL
Espanol de Talca
LLWLLLLWLL
#11
League position
#12
-18.7
Net rating
-19.3
90.3
Offensive rating
97.0
109.0
Defensive rating
116.2
43.5%
Effective FG%
50.6%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
21.2%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
24.9%
3-point %
34.0%
56.0%
Assist %
58.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 97.0Defence109.0 · 116.2Shooting43.5% · 50.6%3-point %24.9% · 34.0%Ball care17.3% · 21.2%Off. rebounds20.3% · 24.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Valdivia   ■ Espanol de Talca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Valdivia wins
3
Espanol de Talca wins
Valdivialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/25APuente Alto75-101
05/04/25AColo Colo42-85
03/04/25AEspanol de Talca84-95
30/03/25HCD Puerto Varas65-82
28/03/25ALas Animas61-74
26/03/25HEspanol Osorno66-94
23/03/25AAncud70-87
21/03/25HU. De Concepcion88-79
16/03/25HSportiva Italiana94-88
15/03/25HLeones Quilpue63-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/25HCD Puerto Varas72-77
05/04/25HAncud64-99
03/04/25HValdivia95-84
30/03/25HColo Colo87-103
29/03/25ALeones Quilpue62-92
27/03/25HCatolica58-69
22/03/25ASportiva Italiana72-99
20/03/25HPuente Alto83-78
16/03/25HLas Animas78-84
15/03/25HU. De Concepcion65-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valdivia
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLWWLL38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %17%38%0%
Points / game70.471.269.8
Allowed / game80.974.885.9
Point differential-10.5-3.7-16.1
Avg total151.3146.0155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)25% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Espanol de Talca
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL10%
HomeLLWLL19%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %10%19%0%
Points / game68.169.866.0
Allowed / game85.584.187.2
Point differential-17.4-14.2-21.2
Avg total153.6153.9153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leones Quilpue2926390%81.669.4+12.1
2 U. De Concepcion2925486%90.373.7+16.6
3 Espanol Osorno29191066%78.070.6+7.4
4 CD Puerto Varas29191066%79.976.5+3.4
5 Sportiva Italiana30171357%85.982.1+3.8
6 Colo Colo29141548%78.379.0-0.6
7 Puente Alto29131645%80.880.0+0.8
8 Las Animas30131743%78.984.1-5.2
9 Ancud29121741%79.580.3-0.8
10 Catolica2992031%64.774.2-9.5
11 Valdivia2952417%70.480.9-10.5
12 Espanol de Talca2932610%68.185.5-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valdivia2026162082
Espanol de Talca1225151466
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