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Valdivia vs U. De Concepcion Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 88-79
32-17 12-26 27-13 17-23
Position#11
Record4-17
FormLLWLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game78.6
Valdivia 🏆
Chile
vs
U. De Concepcion
Chile
Position#1
Record18-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game73.4
ChileLNB· Coliseo Municipal de Valdivia
Other2024-25
Meetings · Valdivia v U. De Concepcion
09 Oct 2026
VALD101
U. D85
25 Sep 2025
VALD85
U. D70
21 Mar 2025
VALD88
U. D79
24 Jan 2025
VALD72
U. D84
09 Nov 2024
VALD78
U. D81
02 Jun 2024
VALD83
U. D93
24 Mar 2024
VALD82
U. D105
21 Jan 2023
VALD64
U. D74
15 Jan 2022
VALD74
U. D76
11 Sep 2021
VALD68
U. D71
10 Sep 2021
VALD61
U. D52
21 Dec 2019
VALD61
U. D75
13 Jan 2019
VALD82
U. D62
15 Dec 2017
VALD89
U. D73
14 Dec 2016
VALD103
U. D93
28 Feb 2016
VALD83
U. D79
14 Feb 2016
VALD91
U. D81
13 Feb 2016
VALD88
U. D86
29 Nov 2015
VALD88
U. D75
06 Dec 2014
VALD62
U. D96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valdivia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
U. De Concepcion winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValdiviaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValdivia
Date
Competition
Ancud
#6
L
52-62
52
62
-10
38avg 68
H08/02
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
74avg 68
A26/02
LNB
Las Animas
#8
L
65-70
65
70
-5
57avg 68
H28/02
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
68avg 68
A02/03
LNB
Catolica
#10
L
70-75
70
75
-5
56avg 68
A06/03
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
64-92
64
92
-28
54avg 68
A08/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#5
L
97-99
97
99
-2
94avg 68
A09/03
LNB
Catolica
#10
W
79-66
79
66
+13
76avg 68
H13/03
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
63-70
63
70
-7
52avg 68
H15/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#5
W
94-88
94
88
+6
87avg 68
H16/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
18-13
8-15
11-18
25-30
19-13
17-25
20-18
11-21
16-13
18-13
20-23
17-24
18-23
21-18
18-18
26-22
17-15
15-20
12-18
12-24
14-23
22-25
16-20
20-24
26-22
25-32
26-21
21-18
19-16
14-16
25-16
28-14
12-29
12-16
11-11
18-22
26-19
20-25
30-22
153.0Avg total
73.9Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)71.078.6149.6-7.619%
Season at home (10)70.671.8142.4-1.240%
Season away (11)71.484.7156.1-13.40%
Last 10 (10)73.979.1153.0-5.220%
Last 5 (5)79.483.0162.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)72.082.6154.6-10.59%
vs Similar (7)71.472.3143.7-0.929%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
U. De ConcepcionChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormConcepcion
Date
Competition
CD Puerto Varas
#3
W
80-71
80
71
+9
73avg 83
H08/02
LNB
Las Animas
#8
W
110-101
110
101
+9
113avg 83
H26/02
LNB
Ancud
#6
W
94-90
94
90
+4
87avg 83
A01/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
61-81
61
81
-20
49avg 83
A02/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
W
104-81
104
81
+23
102avg 83
H06/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
106-51
106
51
+55
112avg 83
H08/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
103-57
103
57
+46
104avg 83
H09/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
W
114-82
114
82
+32
114avg 83
A13/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
104-65
104
65
+39
102avg 83
A15/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
82-79
82
79
+3
72avg 83
A16/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
16-19
19-21
21-18
24-19
25-26
29-21
32-35
23-30
17-28
27-19
27-13
14-27
18-19
17-17
12-18
20-21
30-22
33-12
21-26
30-18
22-13
34-11
20-9
19-10
27-24
34-11
23-12
35-30
25-17
27-22
27-13
27-14
27-19
29-15
21-17
27-20
20-20
17-25
18-14
171.6Avg total
95.8Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)90.773.4164.1+17.286%
Season at home (11)96.576.3172.7+20.291%
Season away (10)84.370.3154.6+14.080%
Last 10 (10)95.875.8171.6+20.090%
Last 5 (5)101.866.8168.6+35.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.059.0117.0-1.00%
vs Similar (6)80.280.3160.5-0.283%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)90.573.6164.1+16.987%
This opponent (Valdivia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +9.2+9.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +4.7+4.7
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +9.2+9.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +4.7+4.7
ValdiviaU. De Concepcion
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValdiviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ancud
#6
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H08/02
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A26/02
LNB
Las Animas
#8
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H28/02
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A02/03
LNB
Catolica
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A06/03
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A08/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#5
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A09/03
LNB
Catolica
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H13/03
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H15/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H16/03
LNB
77.9Avg total
37.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.740.076.6-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.736.171.9-0.460%-
Last 30 away (15)37.643.881.4-6.220%-
Last 10 (10)37.840.177.9-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.242.281.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)36.741.678.3-4.830%-
vs Similar (7)36.434.771.1+1.771%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Puerto Varas
#3
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H08/02
LNB
Las Animas
#8
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H26/02
LNB
Ancud
#6
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A01/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A02/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H06/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H08/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H09/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A13/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A15/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A16/03
LNB
87.9Avg total
47.0Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.939.984.9+5.066%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.838.483.1+6.471%-
Last 30 away (12)45.242.287.3+3.058%-
Last 10 (10)47.040.987.9+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)51.837.088.8+14.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.037.069.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (6)42.242.885.0-0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.339.385.5+7.077%-
This opponent (Valdivia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valdiviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valdivia: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.4
52.9%
50.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.46.8
26.8%
32.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.513.9
71.3%
71.2%13.9
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 95.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.825.0
55.8%
50.4%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.7
36.6%
32.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws24.619.3
78.5%
71.2%19.3
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valdivia
WLWLLLLLLL
U. De Concepcion
WWWWWWLWWW
#11
League position
#1
-6.8
Net rating
+25.7
96.0
Offensive rating
120.0
102.8
Defensive rating
94.3
47.7%
Effective FG%
55.5%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
19.4%
Turnover %
12.5%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
26.8%
3-point %
36.6%
60.3%
Assist %
63.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 120.0Defence102.8 · 94.3Shooting47.7% · 55.5%3-point %26.8% · 36.6%Ball care19.4% · 12.5%Off. rebounds25.7% · 26.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ Valdivia   ■ U. De Concepcion
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valdivia wins
10
U. De Concepcion wins
DateGameScore
06/02/25U. De Concepcion v Valdivia99-78
24/01/25Valdivia v U. De Concepcion72-84
09/01/25U. De Concepcion v Valdivia103-77
10/11/24Valdivia v U. De Concepcion78-81
18/10/24U. De Concepcion v Valdivia97-87
03/06/24Valdivia v U. De Concepcion83-93
27/05/24U. De Concepcion v Valdivia101-90
25/05/24U. De Concepcion v Valdivia85-70
24/03/24Valdivia v U. De Concepcion82-105
03/03/24U. De Concepcion v Valdivia99-89 OT
Valdivialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25HSportiva Italiana94-88
15/03/25HLeones Quilpue63-70
13/03/25HCatolica79-66
09/03/25ASportiva Italiana97-99
08/03/25ALeones Quilpue64-92
06/03/25ACatolica70-75
02/03/25ACD Puerto Varas74-83
28/02/25HLas Animas65-70
26/02/25AEspanol Osorno81-86
08/02/25HAncud52-62
U. De Concepcionlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25AColo Colo82-79
15/03/25AEspanol de Talca104-65
13/03/25APuente Alto114-82
09/03/25HColo Colo103-57
08/03/25HEspanol de Talca106-51
06/03/25HPuente Alto104-81
02/03/25AEspanol Osorno61-81
01/03/25AAncud94-90
26/02/25HLas Animas110-101
08/02/25HCD Puerto Varas80-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valdivia
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW19%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %19%40%0%
Points / game71.070.671.4
Allowed / game78.671.884.7
Point differential-7.6-1.2-13.4
Avg total149.6142.4156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)25% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
U. De Concepcion
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %86%91%80%
Points / game90.796.584.3
Allowed / game73.476.370.3
Point differential+17.2+20.2+14.0
Avg total164.1172.7154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%55%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leones Quilpue2119290%81.769.1+12.6
2 U. De Concepcion2118386%90.773.4+17.2
3 Espanol Osorno2216673%79.470.9+8.5
4 CD Puerto Varas2214864%79.176.0+3.0
5 Sportiva Italiana2213959%87.883.4+4.4
6 Puente Alto22101245%81.179.5+1.6
7 Colo Colo2191243%77.179.4-2.3
8 Ancud2291341%75.578.6-3.1
9 Las Animas2281436%76.883.3-6.5
10 Catolica2281436%64.673.8-9.1
11 Valdivia2141719%71.078.6-7.6
12 Espanol de Talca222209%66.684.4-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valdivia3212271788
U. De Concepcion1726132379
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