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Valdivia vs Espanol de Talca Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 98-65
30-15 13-14 28-19 27-17
Position#6
Record6-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game84.3
Valdivia 🏆
Chile
vs
Espanol de Talca
Chile
Position#14
Record3-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game87.8
ChileLNB· Coliseo Municipal de Valdivia
Other2023-24
Meetings · Valdivia v Espanol de Talca
10 Apr 2025
VALD82
ESPA66
23 Mar 2024
VALD98
ESPA65
29 Apr 2023
VALD82
ESPA59
16 Jan 2022
VALD90
ESPA65
15 Dec 2018
VALD87
ESPA84
16 Dec 2017
VALD97
ESPA85
15 Dec 2016
VALD94
ESPA95
03 Oct 2015
VALD78
ESPA73
07 Dec 2014
VALD78
ESPA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valdivia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Espanol de Talca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValdiviaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValdivia
Date
Competition
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
W
73-70
73
70
+3
62avg 72
A27/01
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
W
100-81
100
81
+19
99avg 72
A04/02
LNB
Ancud
#3
L
82-89
82
89
-7
83avg 72
H09/02
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
79-88
79
88
-9
68avg 72
H10/02
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
L
92-94
92
94
-2
87avg 72
A02/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
89-99 OT
89
99
-10
no box
A03/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
80-93
80
93
-13
67avg 72
H09/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
88-75
88
75
+13
74avg 72
H10/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
77-91
77
91
-14
67avg 72
A16/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
70-87
70
87
-17
59avg 72
A17/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
19-12
25-16
16-18
25-22
21-16
27-14
27-29
24-18
24-25
20-21
14-25
19-23
12-22
23-26
25-17
25-26
22-14
25-28
20-26
22-28
21-21
20-11
18-21
17-19
19-24
24-27
20-23
23-22
20-17
21-20
24-16
18-18
24-20
21-20
14-33
15-19
16-20
26-23
13-25
169.7Avg total
83.0Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.884.3169.1+0.543%
Season at home (6)83.584.0167.5-0.533%
Season away (8)85.884.5170.2+1.250%
Last 10 (10)83.086.7169.7-3.730%
Last 5 (5)80.889.0169.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.279.0154.2-3.833%
vs Similar (9)81.683.7165.2-2.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.870.1154.9+14.789%
This opponent (Espanol de Talca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Espanol de TalcaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTalca
Date
Competition
Las Animas
#5
L
79-99
79
99
-20
67avg 55
A27/01
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
88-80
88
80
+8
83avg 55
H02/02
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
L
84-97
84
97
-13
78avg 55
H03/02
LNB
Catolica
#12
L
75-76
75
76
-1
69avg 55
A10/02
LNB
Valdivia
#6
W
94-92
94
92
+2
85avg 55
H02/03
LNB
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
L
74-77
74
77
-3
65avg 55
H03/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
L
75-95
75
95
-20
64avg 55
A08/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
74-87
74
87
-13
57avg 55
A09/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
88-82
88
82
+6
90avg 55
H16/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
62avg 55
H17/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
15-17
21-28
27-29
20-23
27-15
17-22
24-20
28-26
16-24
21-28
19-19
15-26
23-19
18-17
19-14
26-25
14-22
28-25
26-20
19-17
18-22
17-15
20-23
27-26
15-25
15-22
18-22
15-18
21-26
13-27
25-16
25-25
27-17
10-25
26-15
22-25
18-18
10-20
27-16
167.2Avg total
80.8Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.187.8167.8-7.725%
Season at home (7)83.484.0167.4-0.643%
Season away (5)75.493.0168.4-17.60%
Last 10 (10)80.886.4167.2-5.630%
Last 5 (5)77.684.0161.6-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)65.588.4153.9-22.87%
vs Similar (2)81.078.5159.5+2.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valdivia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +3.7+3.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +3.7+3.7
ValdiviaEspanol de Talca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValdiviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A27/01
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A04/02
LNB
Ancud
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H09/02
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H10/02
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A02/03
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A03/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H09/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/03
LNB
Las Animas
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A16/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A17/03
LNB
80.9Avg total
39.9Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.476.6+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.137.576.6+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)39.337.276.5+2.167%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.080.9-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.680.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.037.774.7-0.750%-
vs Similar (9)40.339.179.4+1.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.035.276.2+5.878%-
This opponent (Espanol de Talca) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Espanol de TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Las Animas
#5
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A27/01
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H02/02
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H03/02
LNB
Catolica
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A10/02
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H02/03
LNB
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H03/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A08/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A09/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H16/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H17/03
LNB
84.8Avg total
40.7Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.545.477.9-12.97%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.643.677.3-10.012%-
Last 30 away (13)30.947.778.6-16.80%-
Last 10 (10)40.744.184.8-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.885.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)31.845.977.7-14.14%-
vs Similar (2)42.038.580.5+3.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Valdivia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valdiviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valdivia: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.6
54.2%
50.4%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.6
30.0%
32.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.514.9
69.3%
70.3%14.9
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Espanol de Talcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Espanol de Talca: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.320.7
47.8%
50.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.6
32.6%
32.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws25.316.1
63.6%
70.3%16.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valdivia
LLWLLLLLWW
Espanol de Talca
LWLLLWLLWL
#6
League position
#14
+2.1
Net rating
-6.3
104.0
Offensive rating
103.3
101.8
Defensive rating
109.6
50.7%
Effective FG%
48.2%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
16.0%
Turnover %
18.9%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
30.0%
3-point %
32.6%
59.3%
Assist %
52.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 103.3Defence101.8 · 109.6Shooting50.7% · 48.2%3-point %30.0% · 32.6%Ball care16.0% · 18.9%Off. rebounds24.4% · 36.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Valdivia   ■ Espanol de Talca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valdivia wins
4
Espanol de Talca wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24Espanol de Talca v Valdivia94-92
29/04/23Valdivia v Espanol de Talca82-59
19/02/23Espanol de Talca v Valdivia81-69
21/03/22Espanol de Talca v Valdivia64-73
16/01/22Valdivia v Espanol de Talca90-65
02/02/19Espanol de Talca v Valdivia80-94
15/12/18Valdivia v Espanol de Talca87-84 OT
16/12/17Valdivia v Espanol de Talca97-85
22/10/17Espanol de Talca v Valdivia86-82
15/12/16Valdivia v Espanol de Talca94-95
Valdivialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24AEspanol Osorno70-87
16/03/24ALas Animas77-91
10/03/24HEspanol Osorno88-75
09/03/24HLas Animas80-93
03/03/24AU. De Concepcion89-99 OT
02/03/24AEspanol de Talca92-94
10/02/24HNaviera Ulloa79-88
09/02/24HAncud82-89
04/02/24APuente Alto100-81
27/01/24ALiceo Pablo Neruda73-70
Espanol de Talcalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24HPuente Alto77-79
16/03/24HSportiva Italiana88-82
09/03/24APuente Alto74-87
08/03/24ASportiva Italiana75-95
03/03/24HLiceo Pablo Neruda74-77
02/03/24HValdivia94-92
10/02/24ACatolica75-76
03/02/24HCD Puerto Varas84-97
02/02/24HPuerto Montt88-80
27/01/24ALas Animas79-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valdivia
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL43%
HomeWLLLW33%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game84.883.585.8
Allowed / game84.384.084.5
Point differential+0.5-0.5+1.2
Avg total169.1167.5170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %14%17%12%
Espanol de Talca
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeLWLWL43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %25%43%0%
Points / game80.183.475.4
Allowed / game87.884.093.0
Point differential-7.7-0.6-17.6
Avg total167.8167.4168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ancud1614288%83.276.6+6.6
2 Leones Quilpue1412286%83.667.4+16.1
3 U. De Concepcion1310377%85.978.5+7.4
4 Espanol Osorno1611569%78.869.1+9.7
5 Las Animas1610662%81.278.4+2.8
6 CD Puerto Varas168850%82.282.2+0.1
7 Valdivia146843%84.884.3+0.5
8 Puente Alto156940%76.778.4-1.7
9 Sportiva Italiana145936%76.681.4-4.9
10 Naviera Ulloa1551033%73.977.3-3.5
11 Catolica1551033%75.279.5-4.3
12 Puerto Montt1651131%68.980.4-11.5
13 Espanol de Talca123925%80.187.8-7.7
14 Liceo Pablo Neruda1431121%67.377.9-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valdivia3013282798
Espanol de Talca1514191765
← all games of the day
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