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Valecnici Decin vs Polabi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-68
21-15 14-15 22-16 26-22
Position#6
Record5-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Position#11
Record3-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game78.0
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 9· ARMEX Sportcentrum
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valecnici Decin v Polabi
18 Sep 2026
VALE84
POLA75
16 Nov 2025
VALE83
POLA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valecnici Decin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Polabi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valecnici DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecin
Date
Competition
Chomutov
#22
L
68-71
68
71
-3
62avg 66
H21/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
W
77-65
77
65
+12
58avg 66
A26/09
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
L
67-70
67
70
-3
58avg 66
H05/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
80-66
80
66
+14
70avg 66
A10/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
W
79-61
79
61
+18
62avg 66
H19/10
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
55avg 66
A24/10
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
W
100-67
100
67
+33
86avg 66
H02/11
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
W
89-69
89
69
+20
77avg 66
A13/11
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
16-14
17-29
15-12
16-14
21-24
16-12
24-15
15-14
22-23
15-26
15-7
22-15
8-21
22-18
28-12
15-18
17-16
31-15
16-12
13-25
25-18
18-22
18-21
31-13
15-10
22-18
32-26
22-24
17-26
27-9
23-10
148.6Avg total
79.2Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.269.4148.6+9.962%
Season at home (4)78.567.2145.8+11.250%
Season away (4)80.071.5151.5+8.575%
Last 10 (8)79.269.4148.6+9.962%
Last 5 (5)84.469.8154.2+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.076.5163.5+10.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)76.767.0143.7+9.767%
This opponent (Polabi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolabiCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolabi
Date
Competition
Hradec Kralove
#1
L
56-112
56
112
-56
40avg 74
A28/03
1. Liga
Hradec Kralove
#1
L
84-108
84
108
-24
77avg 74
H30/03
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
L
56-70
56
70
-14
41avg 74
A21/09
1. Liga
Chomutov
#22
W
82-73
82
73
+9
74avg 74
H28/09
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
62-93
62
93
-31
44avg 74
A03/10
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 74
H12/10
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
L
56-75
56
75
-19
46avg 74
A19/10
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
W
107-85
107
85
+22
108avg 74
H26/10
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
L
74-78
74
78
-4
53avg 74
A31/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
87-61
87
61
+26
87avg 74
H09/11
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-34
13-20
10-26
11-32
26-28
22-26
21-26
15-28
18-14
7-22
13-17
18-17
21-24
20-11
21-15
20-23
15-30
9-24
15-21
23-18
27-22
15-21
18-18
21-28
20-15
11-23
22-12
3-25
25-25
19-30
30-21
33-9
14-19
21-16
11-24
28-19
31-19
15-21
21-14
20-7
158.9Avg total
74.5Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.678.0153.6-2.438%
Season at home (4)89.277.0166.2+12.275%
Season away (4)62.079.0141.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)74.584.4158.9-9.930%
Last 5 (5)81.077.6158.6+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)67.3104.3171.7-37.00%
vs Similar (13)81.480.3161.7+1.138%
vs Weaker (14)86.975.9162.7+11.071%
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +7.0+7.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +7.0+7.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
Valecnici DecinPolabi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valecnici DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chomutov
#22
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H21/09
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A26/09
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H05/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A10/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H19/10
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A24/10
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H02/11
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A13/11
1. Liga
73.2Avg total
36.9Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)36.936.473.2+0.525%-
Last 30 at home (4)37.831.068.8+6.850%-
Last 30 away (4)36.041.877.8-5.80%-
Last 10 (8)36.936.473.2+0.525%-
Last 5 (5)37.037.274.2-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)42.033.075.0+9.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)35.237.572.7-2.317%-
This opponent (Polabi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolabiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hradec Kralove
#1
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A28/03
1. Liga
Hradec Kralove
#1
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H30/03
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#17
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A21/09
1. Liga
Chomutov
#22
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H28/09
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
24-54
24
54
-30
A03/10
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#19
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H12/10
1. Liga
Radotin
#10
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A19/10
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#12
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H26/10
1. Liga
Liberecko
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A31/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H09/11
1. Liga
81.5Avg total
37.1Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.683.2-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.241.987.1+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)37.941.379.3-3.427%-
Last 10 (10)37.144.481.5-7.320%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.281.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.754.089.7-18.30%-
vs Similar (13)39.943.183.0-3.238%-
vs Weaker (14)44.437.682.0+6.764%-
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valecnici Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valecnici Decin: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.4
55.0%
51.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.08.6
26.1%
29.5%25.9
🏀 Free throws24.614.1
57.4%
65.8%14.1
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polabitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polabi: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.1
49.4%
51.4%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.57.6
25.8%
29.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.016.7
69.6%
65.8%16.7
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valecnici Decin
WWLWWLWL
Polabi
WLWLLLWLLL
#6
League position
#11
+13.3
Net rating
-12.2
106.1
Offensive rating
90.1
92.8
Defensive rating
102.3
47.3%
Effective FG%
44.5%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
19.1%
Turnover %
22.1%
41.6%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.37
26.1%
3-point %
25.8%
47.8%
Assist %
54.3%
62%
Form (last 8/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 90.1Defence92.8 · 102.3Shooting47.3% · 44.5%3-point %26.1% · 25.8%Ball care19.1% · 22.1%Off. rebounds41.6% · 26.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.37Form (last 8/10)62% · 30%
■ Valecnici Decin   ■ Polabi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valecnici Decin wins
0
Polabi wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25ALiberecko89-69
02/11/25HRadotin100-67
24/10/25APlzen74-86
19/10/25HUSK Prague B79-61
10/10/25ALitomerice80-66
05/10/25HCZ.ACADEMY67-70
26/09/25ASokol Prazsky77-65
21/09/25HChomutov68-71
Polabilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HLitomerice87-61
31/10/25ALiberecko74-78
26/10/25HCZ.ACADEMY107-85
19/10/25ARadotin56-75
12/10/25HSokol Prazsky81-89
03/10/25APlzen62-93
28/09/25HChomutov82-73
21/09/25AUSK Prague B56-70
30/03/25HHradec Kralove84-108
28/03/25AHradec Kralove56-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valecnici Decin
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game79.278.580.0
Allowed / game69.467.271.5
Point differential+9.9+11.2+8.5
Avg total148.6145.8151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%50%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Polabi
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW38%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game75.689.262.0
Allowed / game78.077.079.0
Point differential-2.4+12.2-17.0
Avg total153.6166.2141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Novy Jicin990100%94.473.0+21.4
2 Plzen86275%82.570.9+11.6
3 Pardubice 296367%77.975.1+2.8
4 Valecnici Decin85362%79.269.4+9.9
5 Svitavy85362%88.883.0+5.8
6 Zlin74357%80.073.3+6.7
7 Brno U2374357%79.480.9-1.4
8 Radotin95456%83.981.2+2.7
9 Opava 284450%84.682.1+2.5
10 Chomutov84450%78.578.2+0.2
11 USK Prague B84450%72.476.1-3.8
12 Sokol Prazsky94544%81.781.7+0.0
13 Litomerice73443%78.484.4-6.0
14 CZ.ACADEMY73443%78.985.7-6.9
15 Polabi83538%75.678.0-2.4
16 Liberecko83538%74.682.0-7.4
17 Vysoka83538%73.480.8-7.4
18 MS Academy93633%79.994.6-14.7
19 Jindrichuv Hradec82625%81.885.1-3.4
20 Basketbal Olomouc91811%70.481.9-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valecnici Decin2114222683
Polabi1515162268
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