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Valencia vs Cedevita Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 109-80
21-18 36-32 31-10 21-20
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game82.4
EuropeEurocupRound 8· Font de Sant Lluis
European cup2024
Meetings · Valencia v Cedevita Olimpija
12 Nov 2024
VAL109
COL80
21 Dec 2021
VAL85
COL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
L
73-77
73
77
-4
60avg 76
A28/09
ACB
Hamburg
#17
W
105-78
105
78
+27
106avg 76
H02/10
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
84-60
84
60
+24
67avg 76
H05/10
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
105-96
105
96
+9
103avg 76
A09/10
Eurocup
Breogan
#13
W
87-75
87
75
+12
77avg 76
A13/10
ACB
Venezia
#11
W
105-83
105
83
+22
99avg 76
H17/10
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
89-88
89
88
+1
80avg 76
H20/10
ACB
Turk Telekom
#8
W
101-87
101
87
+14
102avg 76
A23/10
Eurocup
Bilbao
#15
W
103-98
103
98
+5
94avg 76
A27/10
ACB
Aris
#19
W
63-59
63
59
+4
54avg 76
A06/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
18-27
17-12
22-16
30-29
22-15
30-21
23-13
15-13
19-11
28-19
22-17
19-24
25-28
26-23
35-21
23-16
13-25
37-15
14-19
24-22
28-16
25-16
28-29
25-20
23-14
14-32
27-22
27-17
31-15
23-20
20-35
26-27
23-27
28-21
26-23
19-19
16-14
17-11
11-15
171.6Avg total
91.5Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)93.277.8171.0+15.3100%
Season at home (2)105.080.5185.5+24.5100%
Season away (4)87.276.5163.8+10.8100%
Last 10 (10)91.580.1171.6+11.490%
Last 5 (5)92.283.0175.2+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)86.296.2182.5-10.025%
vs Similar (12)81.885.8167.5-4.042%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.679.6169.1+10.086%
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#8
L
70-78
70
78
-8
60avg 82
A08/10
Eurocup
Split
#14
W
76-74
76
74
+2
74avg 82
H12/10
ABA League
Lietkabelis
#18
W
76-72
76
72
+4
68avg 82
H15/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#7
L
78-91
78
91
-13
70avg 82
A18/10
ABA League
Aris
#19
W
82-75
82
75
+7
85avg 82
A23/10
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
L
71-91
71
91
-20
60avg 82
H27/10
ABA League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
83-94
83
94
-11
77avg 82
H30/10
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
86-92
86
92
-6
77avg 82
A04/11
ABA League
JL Bourg
#12
L
83-90
83
90
-7
59avg 82
H06/11
Eurocup
Zadar
#10
L
73-81
73
81
-8
62avg 82
A09/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
15-17
15-14
18-21
13-17
18-17
22-18
23-22
18-10
25-13
17-27
16-22
21-28
23-22
12-24
22-17
23-24
14-24
17-13
28-14
26-19
15-27
13-24
17-21
19-19
17-26
19-32
28-17
20-22
25-29
19-26
22-15
17-17
22-21
29-31
15-21
7-17
25-24
17-19
24-21
161.6Avg total
77.8Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.082.4164.4-0.457%
Season at home (4)82.284.5166.8-2.250%
Season away (3)81.779.7161.3+2.067%
Last 10 (10)77.883.8161.6-6.030%
Last 5 (5)79.289.6168.8-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)78.089.2167.2-11.20%
vs Similar (10)80.289.2169.4-9.020%
vs Weaker (15)89.077.5166.5+11.587%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
ValenciaCedevita Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A28/09
ACB
Hamburg
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H02/10
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H05/10
ACB
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A09/10
Eurocup
Breogan
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A13/10
ACB
Venezia
#11
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H17/10
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H20/10
ACB
Turk Telekom
#8
W
58-32
58
32
+26
A23/10
Eurocup
Bilbao
#15
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A27/10
ACB
Aris
#19
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A06/11
Eurocup
84.3Avg total
44.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.883.3+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.338.583.8+6.877%-
Last 30 away (17)40.342.682.9-2.335%-
Last 10 (10)44.240.184.3+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)48.438.286.6+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.048.087.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (12)42.840.283.0+2.758%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.139.482.5+3.864%-
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#8
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A08/10
Eurocup
Split
#14
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H12/10
ABA League
Lietkabelis
#18
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H15/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#7
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A18/10
ABA League
Aris
#19
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A23/10
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H27/10
ABA League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H30/10
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A04/11
ABA League
JL Bourg
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H06/11
Eurocup
Zadar
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A09/11
ABA League
80.4Avg total
38.5Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.241.785.9+2.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.439.382.6+4.150%-
Last 30 away (16)45.043.888.8+1.244%-
Last 10 (10)38.541.980.4-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.282.8-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.845.885.5-6.00%-
vs Similar (10)40.346.686.9-6.320%-
vs Weaker (15)47.337.985.2+9.573%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.6
54.3%
53.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.8
35.8%
34.3%35.4
🏀 Free throws19.815.4
77.8%
76.0%15.4
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevita Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Olimpija: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
49%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.3
53.7%
53.5%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.3
30.0%
34.3%18.9
🏀 Free throws20.815.5
74.5%
76.0%15.5
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWWWWWWL
Cedevita Olimpija
LLLLLWLWWL
#1
League position
#7
+14.1
Net rating
-9.5
121.2
Offensive rating
104.4
107.1
Defensive rating
113.9
54.0%
Effective FG%
50.7%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.2%
40.4%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.8%
3-point %
30.0%
64.3%
Assist %
57.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence121.2 · 104.4Defence107.1 · 113.9Shooting54.0% · 50.7%3-point %35.8% · 30.0%Ball care16.1% · 17.2%Off. rebounds40.4% · 28.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Valencia   ■ Cedevita Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valencia wins
2
Cedevita Olimpija wins
DateGameScore
30/03/22Cedevita Olimpija v Valencia82-76
21/12/21Valencia v Cedevita Olimpija85-97
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/24AAris63-59
27/10/24ABilbao103-98
23/10/24ATurk Telekom101-87
20/10/24HMoraBanc Andorra89-88
17/10/24HVenezia105-83
13/10/24ABreogan87-75
09/10/24ACluj-Napoca105-96
05/10/24HJoventut Badalona84-60
02/10/24HHamburg105-78
28/09/24AManresa73-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24AZadar73-81
06/11/24HJL Bourg83-90
04/11/24ACrvena zvezda86-92
30/10/24HHapoel Jerusalem83-94
27/10/24HBuducnost71-91
23/10/24AAris82-75
18/10/24AIgokea78-91
15/10/24HLietkabelis76-72
12/10/24HSplit76-74
08/10/24ATurk Telekom70-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.2105.087.2
Allowed / game77.880.576.5
Point differential+15.3+24.5+10.8
Avg total171.0185.5163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cedevita Olimpija
Eurocup 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL57%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game82.082.281.7
Allowed / game82.484.579.7
Point differential-0.4-2.2+2.0
Avg total164.4166.8161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia660100%93.277.8+15.3
2 Bahcesehir Kol.76186%85.970.7+15.1
3 Hapoel Jerusalem75271%83.775.1+8.6
4 JL Bourg75271%85.377.1+8.1
5 Gran Canaria75271%82.075.9+6.1
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv85362%85.577.5+8.0
7 BC Wolves85362%82.980.6+2.2
8 Besiktas74357%87.783.7+4.0
9 Turk Telekom74357%77.776.6+1.1
10 Cedevita Olimpija74357%82.082.4-0.4
11 Ulm74357%87.695.9-8.3
12 Cluj-Napoca73443%86.485.6+0.9
13 Buducnost73443%84.487.7-3.3
14 Trento83538%78.885.9-7.1
15 Lietkabelis62433%76.880.3-3.5
16 Joventut Badalona72529%77.081.1-4.1
17 Venezia72529%78.686.1-7.6
18 Aris82625%74.080.1-6.1
19 Hamburg82625%77.189.2-12.1
20 Trefl Sopot8080%78.690.1-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia21363121109
Cedevita Olimpija1832102080
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