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Valencia vs Oldenburg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 19:40
Final 77-62
23-20 17-15 26-14 11-13
Position#1
Record12-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#25
Record8-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game82.2
EuropeEurocupRound 6
European cup2015
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oldenburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#27
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H06/01
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A10/01
ACB
Oldenburg
#25
W
108-89
108
89
+19
A13/01
Eurocup
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#12
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H17/01
ACB
Limoges
#18
L
72-92
72
92
-20
H19/01
Eurocup
Barcelona
#2
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
A24/01
ACB
Limoges
#18
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A26/01
Eurocup
Bilbao
#9
W
85-49
85
49
+36
H31/01
ACB
PAOK
#27
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A03/02
Eurocup
Baskonia
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A07/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
13-11
24-18
20-15
23-20
21-24
18-18
24-16
26-26
28-20
31-21
23-22
21-21
28-24
20-16
12-13
15-21
29-23
14-21
14-27
23-21
12-22
22-13
25-26
23-18
9-21
18-23
17-20
26-10
17-8
23-18
19-13
19-19
14-20
22-19
17-17
17-21
18-13
11-23
27-22
158.7Avg total
81.6Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.472.6153.0+7.880%
Season at home (7)84.672.9157.4+11.786%
Season away (8)76.872.4149.1+4.475%
Last 10 (10)81.677.1158.7+4.560%
Last 5 (5)78.275.2153.4+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)84.082.7166.7+1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)82.671.4154.0+11.189%
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OldenburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#14
W
103-72
103
72
+31
H02/01
BBL
Limoges
#18
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A05/01
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
L
89-108
89
108
-19
H13/01
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#13
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A16/01
BBL
PAOK
#27
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A19/01
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A24/01
German Cup
PAOK
#27
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H26/01
Eurocup
Tubingen
#14
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A30/01
BBL
Limoges
#18
W
92-88
92
88
+4
H03/02
Eurocup
Mitteldeutscher
#16
W
103-81
103
81
+22
H06/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
21-26
35-22
21-10
20-20
18-30
27-12
22-16
26-26
20-28
21-31
22-23
19-17
18-27
21-29
15-12
16-15
27-13
22-17
16-23
19-23
24-21
13-23
12-13
24-24
24-15
26-10
9-22
12-20
28-20
22-14
19-21
17-16
24-25
26-21
25-26
22-21
24-11
32-26
25-23
166.6Avg total
86.0Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.782.2161.9-2.553%
Season at home (8)80.085.2165.2-5.250%
Season away (7)79.478.7158.1+0.757%
Last 10 (10)86.080.6166.6+5.470%
Last 5 (5)85.479.0164.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.989.0167.9-10.129%
vs Similar (9)79.676.3155.9+3.278%
vs Weaker (13)86.077.1163.1+8.977%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
ValenciaOldenburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#27
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H06/01
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/01
ACB
Oldenburg
#25
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A13/01
Eurocup
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#12
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H17/01
ACB
Limoges
#18
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H19/01
Eurocup
Barcelona
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A24/01
ACB
Limoges
#18
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A26/01
Eurocup
Bilbao
#9
W
43-18
43
18
+25
H31/01
ACB
PAOK
#27
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A03/02
Eurocup
Baskonia
#4
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A07/02
ACB
78.4Avg total
40.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.236.177.4+5.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.635.378.9+8.380%-
Last 30 away (15)38.937.075.9+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)40.338.178.4+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.634.670.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)38.038.076.0+0.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)41.635.977.5+5.770%-
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H02/01
BBL
Limoges
#18
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A05/01
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H13/01
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A16/01
BBL
PAOK
#27
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A19/01
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A24/01
German Cup
PAOK
#27
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H26/01
Eurocup
Tubingen
#14
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A30/01
BBL
Limoges
#18
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H03/02
Eurocup
Mitteldeutscher
#16
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H06/02
BBL
84.1Avg total
42.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.781.4+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.939.979.8+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)41.641.583.1+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.284.1+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.282.8+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.144.783.9-5.629%-
vs Similar (9)39.238.777.9+0.667%-
vs Weaker (13)42.539.682.2+2.962%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valencia wins
0
Oldenburg wins
DateGameScore
13/01/16Oldenburg v Valencia89-108
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/16ABaskonia73-79
03/02/16APAOK72-75
31/01/16HBilbao85-49
26/01/16ALimoges67-82
24/01/16ABarcelona94-91 OT
19/01/16HLimoges72-92
17/01/16HTecnyconta Zaragoza81-74
13/01/16AOldenburg108-89
10/01/16AMoraBanc Andorra86-78
06/01/16HPAOK78-62
Oldenburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/16HMitteldeutscher103-81
03/02/16HLimoges92-88
30/01/16ATubingen81-75
26/01/16HPAOK83-71
24/01/16AFrankfurt68-80
19/01/16APAOK81-68
16/01/16ABayreuth73-85
13/01/16HValencia89-108
05/01/16ALimoges87-78
02/01/16HTubingen103-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Eurocup 2015
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL80%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWWWLL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %80%86%75%
Points / game80.484.676.8
Allowed / game72.672.972.4
Point differential+7.8+11.7+4.4
Avg total153.0157.4149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%71%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oldenburg
Eurocup 2015
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW53%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayWLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%50%57%
Points / game79.780.079.4
Allowed / game82.285.278.7
Point differential-2.5-5.2+0.7
Avg total161.9165.2158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%12%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan1613381%80.973.3+7.6
2 Gran Canaria1512380%84.175.4+8.7
3 Valencia1512380%80.472.6+7.8
4 Zenit Petersburg1612475%81.276.0+5.2
5 Galatasaray1611569%85.075.2+9.8
6 Bilbao1611569%83.774.6+9.1
7 Trento1611569%84.180.9+3.2
8 Tecnyconta Zaragoza1611569%77.575.5+2.0
9 Olimpia Milano64267%79.073.7+5.3
10 Bayern64267%79.375.7+3.7
11 Strasbourg64267%77.376.0+1.3
12 Saratov1610662%92.486.2+6.2
13 Ludwigsburg1610662%80.575.0+5.5
14 Aris1610662%72.671.2+1.4
15 Banvit169756%78.675.8+2.8
16 Nizhny Novgorod169756%80.778.9+1.8
17 Oldenburg158753%79.782.2-2.5
18 Karsiyaka63350%83.071.0+12.0
19 Alba Berlin168850%76.376.4-0.1
20 Zielona Gora63350%76.377.2-0.8
21 Neptunas168850%77.478.3-0.9
22 Trabzonspor168850%75.276.5-1.2
23 AEK Athens105550%79.481.2-1.8
24 Reggiana168850%77.079.6-2.6
25 Sassari63350%77.280.0-2.8
26 PAOK157847%75.881.3-5.5
27 Buducnost104640%74.772.5+2.2
28 Limoges52340%83.081.2+1.8
29 Nanterre104640%77.280.1-2.9
30 Besiktas104640%81.084.2-3.2
31 Venezia1661038%73.977.1-3.2
32 Petrol Olimpija1661038%77.481.1-3.6
33 Hapoel M. Jerusalem1551033%80.182.3-2.2
34 Maccabi Tel Aviv62433%78.282.3-4.2
35 Ulm1651131%77.481.2-3.8
36 Szolnoki Olaj1651131%72.982.6-9.7
37 Spirou Charleroi103730%73.178.2-5.1
38 Le Mans103730%72.178.5-6.4
39 Rytas102820%85.688.4-2.8
40 Nancy102820%71.475.9-4.5
41 Bonn102820%83.889.9-6.1
42 BC Steaua Bucuresti102820%67.681.4-13.8
43 Brindisi101910%71.081.5-10.5
44 Volgograd101910%79.791.0-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2317261177
Oldenburg2015141362
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