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Valencia W vs CBK Mersin W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 66-68
20-17 12-21 14-12 20-18
Position#6
Record9-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game72.1
Valencia W
vs
CBK Mersin W 🏆
Position#2
Record13-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game66.7
EuropeEuroleague WomenEuroleague Women - Semi-finals· Pabellon Principe Felipe
Women2024-25Neutral venue
Meetings · Valencia W v CBK Mersin W
11 Apr 2025
VALE66
CBK 68
19 Feb 2025
VALE89
CBK 57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CBK Mersin W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valencia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
102-49
102
49
+53
114avg 73
H22/02
Liga Femenina W
CBK Mersin W
#2
L
77-92
77
92
-15
71avg 73
A26/02
Euroleague Women
Ferrol W
#8
W
74-54
74
54
+20
73avg 73
A01/03
Liga Femenina W
Ardoi W
#16
W
93-43
93
43
+50
104avg 73
H05/03
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
L
73-76
73
76
-3
64avg 73
A09/03
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#14
L
63-67
63
67
-4
55avg 73
A12/03
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#6
L
77-81
77
81
-4
74avg 73
H15/03
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#1
L
53-70
53
70
-17
35avg 73
H20/03
Spanish Cup Women
Joventut Badalona W
#7
W
76-65
76
65
+11
74avg 73
A30/03
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#10
W
93-50
93
50
+43
94avg 73
H04/04
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
22-17
27-13
31-4
15-21
19-20
26-25
17-26
22-9
19-16
13-11
20-18
25-16
26-9
23-8
19-10
17-16
22-13
15-26
19-21
16-12
19-13
16-18
12-24
19-29
20-21
24-10
14-21
10-24
13-18
16-13
14-15
18-17
15-19
26-12
17-17
22-10
31-4
15-19
25-17
142.8Avg total
78.1Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.872.1147.8+3.769%
Season at home (6)81.270.0151.2+11.283%
Season away (7)71.173.9145.0-2.757%
Last 10 (10)78.164.7142.8+13.450%
Last 5 (5)72.466.6139.0+5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)73.282.2155.5-9.025%
vs Similar (4)81.572.2153.8+9.2100%
vs Weaker (21)78.764.5143.2+14.271%
This opponent (CBK Mersin W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CBK Mersin WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bodrum W
#12
W
103-43
103
43
+60
120avg 79
H07/03
KBSL W
Tarsus W
#7
W
98-71
98
71
+27
104avg 79
A18/03
Turkish Cup Women
Fenerbahce W
#3
W
78-57
78
57
+21
82avg 79
A21/03
Turkish Cup Women
Emlak Konut W
#2
W
85-64
85
64
+21
86avg 79
H23/03
Turkish Cup Women
Nesibe Aydin W
#6
L
86-95 OT
86
95
-9
74avg 79
H27/03
KBSL W
Nesibe Aydin W
#6
W
91-72
91
72
+19
92avg 79
A29/03
KBSL W
Nesibe Aydin W
#6
W
91-60
91
60
+31
95avg 79
H31/03
KBSL W
Galatasaray W
#2
W
83-78
83
78
+5
91avg 79
H02/04
KBSL W
Galatasaray W
#2
W
74-61
74
61
+13
73avg 79
A04/04
KBSL W
Bourges W
#7
W
66-59
66
59
+7
61avg 79
H09/04
Euroleague Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-7
24-7
30-15
28-14
21-18
21-21
33-4
23-28
20-13
23-18
21-8
14-18
27-13
23-18
24-15
11-18
17-9
24-19
25-23
16-31
26-13
20-21
24-25
21-13
22-15
16-20
29-14
24-11
20-17
22-17
19-19
22-25
17-18
17-11
27-20
13-12
16-21
16-10
18-18
16-10
151.5Avg total
85.5Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.766.7143.4+9.987%
Season at home (8)81.565.6147.1+15.9100%
Season away (7)71.168.0139.1+3.171%
Last 10 (10)85.566.0151.5+19.590%
Last 5 (5)81.066.0147.0+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.066.0138.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (4)70.863.8134.5+7.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)80.568.1148.6+12.483%
This opponent (Valencia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +8.9+8.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +8.9+8.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
Valencia WCBK Mersin W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valencia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H22/02
Liga Femenina W
CBK Mersin W
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A26/02
Euroleague Women
Ferrol W
#8
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A01/03
Liga Femenina W
Ardoi W
#16
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H05/03
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A09/03
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#14
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A12/03
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H15/03
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#1
L
23-42
23
42
-19
H20/03
Spanish Cup Women
Joventut Badalona W
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A30/03
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#10
W
53-14
53
14
+39
H04/04
Liga Femenina W
71.1Avg total
39.2Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.334.673.9+4.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.534.775.2+5.967%-
Last 30 away (15)38.034.572.5+3.547%-
Last 10 (10)39.231.971.1+7.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.633.470.0+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)32.244.877.0-12.525%-
vs Similar (4)38.235.073.2+3.250%-
vs Weaker (21)41.632.273.8+9.367%-
This opponent (CBK Mersin W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CBK Mersin WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bodrum W
#12
W
45-14
45
14
+31
H07/03
KBSL W
Tarsus W
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A18/03
Turkish Cup Women
Fenerbahce W
#3
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A21/03
Turkish Cup Women
Emlak Konut W
#2
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H23/03
Turkish Cup Women
Nesibe Aydin W
#6
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H27/03
KBSL W
Nesibe Aydin W
#6
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A29/03
KBSL W
Nesibe Aydin W
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H31/03
KBSL W
Galatasaray W
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H02/04
KBSL W
Galatasaray W
#2
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A04/04
KBSL W
Bourges W
#7
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H09/04
Euroleague Women
71.9Avg total
41.3Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.333.574.7+7.880%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.831.874.6+10.988%-
Last 30 away (14)39.635.474.9+4.271%-
Last 10 (10)41.330.671.9+10.7100%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.671.0+5.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.032.073.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar (4)36.030.566.5+5.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.133.875.9+8.375%-
This opponent (Valencia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valencia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia W: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
55%
29%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.819.6
46.9%
47.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.2
32.5%
32.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws14.611.4
78.1%
76.0%11.4
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CBK Mersin Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CBK Mersin W: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.1 points a game
55%
29%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.6
48.9%
47.3%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.910.0
38.6%
32.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws12.010.0
83.3%
76.0%10.0
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia W
WWLLLLWWLW
CBK Mersin W
WWWWWLWWWW
#6
League position
#2
+2.4
Net rating
+12.5
98.5
Offensive rating
105.8
96.2
Defensive rating
93.2
47.6%
Effective FG%
52.7%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
43.5%
19.3%
Turnover %
17.0%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.19
32.5%
3-point %
38.6%
70.9%
Assist %
78.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 105.8Defence96.2 · 93.2Shooting47.6% · 52.7%3-point %32.5% · 38.6%Ball care19.3% · 17.0%Off. rebounds31.6% · 27.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Valencia W   ■ CBK Mersin W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valencia W wins
1
CBK Mersin W wins
DateGameScore
26/02/25CBK Mersin W v Valencia W92-77
19/02/25Valencia W v CBK Mersin W89-57
Valencia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/25HCadi La Seu W93-50
30/03/25AJoventut Badalona W76-65
20/03/25HJairis W53-70
15/03/25HEstudiantes W77-81
12/03/25AIDK Gipuzkoa W63-67
09/03/25APerfumerias Avenida W73-76
05/03/25HArdoi W93-43
01/03/25AFerrol W74-54
26/02/25ACBK Mersin W77-92
22/02/25HGernika Bizkaia W102-49
CBK Mersin Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/25HBourges W66-59
04/04/25AGalatasaray W74-61
02/04/25HGalatasaray W83-78
31/03/25HNesibe Aydin W91-60
29/03/25ANesibe Aydin W91-72
27/03/25HNesibe Aydin W86-95 OT
23/03/25HEmlak Konut W85-64
21/03/25AFenerbahce W78-57
18/03/25ATarsus W98-71
07/03/25HBodrum W103-43

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia W
Euroleague Women 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL69%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%83%57%
Points / game75.881.271.1
Allowed / game72.170.073.9
Point differential+3.7+11.2-2.7
Avg total147.8151.2145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%67%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
CBK Mersin W
Euroleague Women 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %87%100%71%
Points / game76.781.571.1
Allowed / game66.765.668.0
Point differential+9.9+15.9+3.1
Avg total143.4147.1139.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%62%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce W1514193%81.668.6+13.0
2 CBK Mersin W1513287%76.766.7+9.9
3 Valencia W139469%75.872.1+3.7
4 USK Prague W1510567%75.567.9+7.7
5 Zaragoza W1610662%67.866.5+1.3
6 Schio W159660%72.369.4+2.9
7 Bourges W158753%74.067.1+6.9
8 Landes W168850%64.666.6-2.0
9 Perfumerias Avenida W125742%65.268.2-2.9
10 Zabiny Brno W145936%68.572.9-4.4
11 Venezia W103730%69.273.6-4.4
12 DVTK W61517%59.365.0-5.7
13 ESB Villeneuve W61517%67.081.0-14.0
14 Polkowice W81712%69.979.9-10.0
15 Szekszard W2020%69.573.5-4.0
16 UNI Gyor W6060%67.380.8-13.5
17 Besiktas W2020%64.082.0-18.0
18 Phoenix Constanta W2020%54.573.0-18.5
19 Olympiacos W6060%60.884.5-23.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia W2012142066
CBK Mersin W1721121868
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