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Valga vs Rakvere Tarvas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-106
26-20 20-32 16-30 27-24
Position#6
Record4-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#8
Record2-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game84.5
EstoniaKorvpalli Meistriliiga
Other2016-17
Meetings · Valga v Rakvere Tarvas
04 Apr 2017
VALG100
RAKV70
22 Nov 2016
VALG89
RAKV106
11 Mar 2016
VALG90
RAKV84
05 Dec 2015
VALG82
RAKV104
31 Mar 2015
VALG71
RAKV83
09 Jan 2015
VALG85
RAKV97
04 Feb 2014
VALG60
RAKV87
15 Oct 2013
VALG68
RAKV84
19 Feb 2013
VALG66
RAKV59
04 Dec 2012
VALG67
RAKV69
17 Feb 2012
VALG59
RAKV89
11 Oct 2011
VALG74
RAKV100
13 Apr 2011
VALG79
RAKV88
06 Apr 2011
VALG71
RAKV70
04 Mar 2011
VALG93
RAKV95
02 Nov 2010
VALG72
RAKV81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rakvere Tarvas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValgaEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#2
L
65-96
65
96
-31
H11/10
LBL
Audentese
#9
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A18/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
67-89
67
89
-22
H21/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jekabpils
#4
L
88-100
88
100
-12
H26/10
LBL
Jurmala
#7
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A29/10
LBL
Rapla
#3
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H05/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Ogre
#8
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H08/11
LBL
Barons Kvartals
#5
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A13/11
LBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H15/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#7
W
88-76
88
76
+12
A19/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
13-24
19-25
8-24
25-23
23-15
17-17
15-20
22-20
17-22
9-29
19-18
28-21
20-33
26-23
14-23
13-17
12-20
26-21
13-23
16-22
18-24
19-23
23-13
24-18
24-15
24-23
17-10
21-17
25-20
15-18
19-21
21-23
17-8
19-26
16-22
22-18
19-15
23-15
24-28
159.0Avg total
77.0Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.180.0158.1-1.957%
Season at home (4)73.281.0154.2-7.825%
Season away (3)84.778.7163.3+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.082.0159.0-5.040%
Last 5 (5)81.275.8157.0+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)77.988.1166.0-10.218%
vs Similar (3)84.777.3162.0+7.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)85.475.8161.2+9.6100%
This opponent (Rakvere Tarvas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rakvere TarvasEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera/ORDO
#2
L
52-85
52
85
-33
A11/10
Baltic League
Rapla
#3
L
67-90
67
90
-23
A15/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Ogre
#10
L
79-101
79
101
-22
H19/10
Baltic League
Tallinna Kalev
#7
W
65-61
65
61
+4
A22/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#13
L
62-74
62
74
-12
H26/10
Baltic League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#1
L
54-81
54
81
-27
A02/11
Baltic League
Tal Tech
#5
L
72-94
72
94
-22
A06/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jekabpils
#4
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H09/11
Baltic League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
77-107
77
107
-30
H11/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Borisfen
#18
W
87-52
87
52
+35
H19/11
Baltic League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
13-19
10-25
16-21
24-17
13-25
15-31
15-17
15-24
18-30
29-22
17-25
22-18
15-13
20-18
8-12
10-20
20-15
11-19
21-20
15-25
8-24
15-18
16-14
25-17
19-29
22-25
6-23
16-17
26-20
24-20
16-26
27-25
21-25
12-27
17-30
23-11
18-17
28-6
18-18
152.5Avg total
69.7Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.584.5159.0-10.033%
Season at home (2)81.096.5177.5-15.50%
Season away (4)71.278.5149.8-7.250%
Last 10 (10)69.782.8152.5-13.120%
Last 5 (5)74.483.4157.8-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)70.584.6155.2-14.118%
vs Similar (2)95.5101.0196.5-5.50%
vs Weaker (17)91.276.6167.8+14.665%
This opponent (Valga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -5.6-5.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -5.6-5.6
ValgaRakvere Tarvas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValgaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H11/10
LBL
Audentese
#9
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A18/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H21/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jekabpils
#4
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H26/10
LBL
Jurmala
#7
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A29/10
LBL
Rapla
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H05/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Ogre
#8
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H08/11
LBL
Barons Kvartals
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A13/11
LBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H15/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A19/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
80.3Avg total
40.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.281.1-1.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.840.181.9+1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)38.142.380.4-4.327%-
Last 10 (10)40.539.880.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.077.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)39.743.182.9-3.423%-
vs Similar (3)41.034.775.7+6.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.236.676.8+3.660%-
This opponent (Rakvere Tarvas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rakvere TarvasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera/ORDO
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A11/10
Baltic League
Rapla
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A15/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BK Ogre
#10
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H19/10
Baltic League
Tallinna Kalev
#7
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A22/10
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#13
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H26/10
Baltic League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#1
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A02/11
Baltic League
Tal Tech
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A06/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Jekabpils
#4
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H09/11
Baltic League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H11/11
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Borisfen
#18
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H19/11
Baltic League
77.2Avg total
36.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.882.3+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.441.385.7+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)39.140.379.4-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)36.141.177.2-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.081.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.441.377.6-4.936%-
vs Similar (2)41.543.084.5-1.50%-
vs Weaker (17)44.940.285.1+4.871%-
This opponent (Valga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valga wins
7
Rakvere Tarvas wins
Valgalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/16ATallinna Kalev88-76
15/11/16HBC Kalev/Cramo73-79
13/11/16ABarons Kvartals80-76
08/11/16HBK Ogre89-66
05/11/16HRapla76-82
29/10/16AJurmala64-81
26/10/16HJekabpils88-100
21/10/16HTartu Ulikool67-89
18/10/16AAudentese80-75
11/10/16HVentspils65-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/16HBorisfen87-52
11/11/16HBC Kalev/Cramo77-107
09/11/16HJekabpils82-83
06/11/16ATal Tech72-94
02/11/16APieno Zvaigzdes54-81
26/10/16HTal Tech62-74
22/10/16ATallinna Kalev65-61
19/10/16HBK Ogre79-101
15/10/16ARapla67-90
11/10/16AValmiera/ORDO52-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valga
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW57%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%25%100%
Points / game78.173.284.7
Allowed / game80.081.078.7
Point differential-1.9-7.8+6.0
Avg total158.1154.2163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rakvere Tarvas
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game74.581.071.2
Allowed / game84.596.578.5
Point differential-10.0-15.5-7.2
Avg total159.0177.5149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tartu Ulikool660100%84.366.3+18.0
2 Tal Tech75271%82.474.9+7.6
3 Rapla75271%80.377.9+2.4
4 BC Kalev/Cramo53260%84.474.2+10.2
5 Valga74357%78.180.0-1.9
6 Parnu73443%77.379.9-2.6
7 Rakvere Tarvas62433%74.584.5-10.0
8 Tallinna Kalev6060%72.377.5-5.2
9 Audentese5050%65.286.6-21.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valga2620162789
Rakvere Tarvas20323024106
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