Valmiera Glass Via host BK Liepaja on 14 November 2026 in the Latvia-Estonian League, with the Pythia model designating Valmiera as the clear favourite at 88% thanks to their 7-2 record, 89.9 points per game and 76.9 allowed, placing third in the league, versus BK Liepaja's 4-5 record, 83.6 points per game and 76.0 allowed from 10th place. Valmiera's home slate shows a 3-1 record, 90.8 points per game and 72.0 allowed, while BK Liepaja's road performance is 1-3, 74.0 points per game and 78.0 allowed, with both teams winning three of their last five games. Recent results highlight Valmiera's 85-77 home win over Bashkimi, 93-86 away win over Tartu Ulikool and 80-74 home win over Manchester Basketball, while BK Liepaja's victories include 99-69 over Rigas Juniori, 92-65 over Keila Coolbet and 112-54 over Viimsi. Historically, Valmiera leads the head-to-head 6-4 and last met on 6 February 2026 with a 95-81 win. Pythia projects a 90-76 score, 166.1 total points, an 88% chance for Valmiera to win and a 12% chance for BK Liepaja, with a -9.0 spread favouring Valmiera and a 66% probability they will cover, while the 165.0 total carries a 52% over probability and a 3% chance of overtime. The next game will see Valmiera's recent form and defensive edge tested by BK Liepaja's recent high-scoring wins.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 89.9 | 76.9 | 166.8 | +13.0 | 78% |
| Season at home (4) | 90.8 | 72.0 | 162.8 | +18.8 | 75% |
| Season away (5) | 89.2 | 80.8 | 170.0 | +8.4 | 80% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.7 | 82.6 | 166.3 | +1.1 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.4 | 80.0 | 163.4 | +3.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 82.0 | 97.7 | 179.7 | -15.7 | 0% |
| vs Similar (6) | 89.0 | 82.8 | 171.8 | +6.2 | 67% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 92.7 | 78.8 | 171.4 | +13.9 | 86% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 83.6 | 76.0 | 159.6 | +7.6 | 44% |
| Season at home (5) | 91.2 | 74.4 | 165.6 | +16.8 | 60% |
| Season away (4) | 74.0 | 78.0 | 152.0 | -4.0 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.2 | 78.8 | 162.0 | +4.4 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 91.6 | 76.2 | 167.8 | +15.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 75.3 | 90.6 | 165.9 | -15.3 | 0% |
| vs Similar (2) | 82.0 | 80.5 | 162.5 | +1.5 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 87.5 | 79.3 | 166.8 | +8.2 | 54% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 45.0 | 41.4 | 86.4 | +3.6 | 63% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 44.2 | 38.7 | 82.9 | +5.5 | 77% | 38% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 45.6 | 43.5 | 89.1 | +2.1 | 53% | 65% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.3 | 39.9 | 80.2 | +0.4 | 60% | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.6 | 38.0 | 80.6 | +4.6 | 80% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 42.7 | 50.0 | 92.7 | -7.3 | 0% | 67% |
| vs Similar (6) | 39.5 | 41.5 | 81.0 | -2.0 | 33% | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (21) | 46.9 | 40.1 | 87.0 | +6.8 | 81% | 52% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.0 | 42.6 | 84.6 | -0.6 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 43.4 | 42.1 | 85.5 | +1.2 | 50% | 62% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 40.5 | 43.1 | 83.6 | -2.6 | 29% | 57% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.5 | 38.7 | 81.2 | +3.8 | 60% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.2 | 35.8 | 82.0 | +10.4 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 36.4 | 44.8 | 81.2 | -8.4 | 7% | 43% |
| vs Similar (2) | 42.5 | 45.0 | 87.5 | -2.5 | 50% | 100% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 46.9 | 40.8 | 87.7 | +6.2 | 69% | 69% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valmiera Glass Via -5 | 78.5% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +14.3pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via -6.5 | 73.3% | 1.50 | 1.53 | 1.52 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.43 | +12.9pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via -3.5 | 81.7% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +12.3pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via -4.5 | 79.1% | 1.36 | 1.41 | 1.37 | 1.29 | - | - | +12.2pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via -6 | 75.5% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +12.1pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via -2.5 | 83.8% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +12.1pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via -5.5 | 76.3% | 1.41 | 1.45 | 1.44 | 1.35 | - | - | +12.1pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via -7 | 72.4% | 1.53 | 1.55 | 1.53 | 1.51 | - | - | +11.2pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via (regulation) | 86.2% | 1.19 | 1.22 | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | +11.0pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via over 80.5 | 82.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +10.4pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via -7.5 | 70.2% | 1.57 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.57 | 1.55 | 1.51 | +10.4pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via over 77.5 | 89.0% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +10.1pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via over 82.5 | 76.7% | 1.36 | 1.40 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +10.0pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via over 84.5 | 70.1% | 1.48 | 1.54 | 1.47 | 1.44 | - | - | +9.6pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via over 76.5 | 90.7% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via over 78.5 | 87.0% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +9.2pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via over 81.5 | 79.6% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via over 83.5 | 73.5% | 1.39 | 1.40 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +8.8pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via win | 87.8% | 1.17 | 1.20 | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.17 | +8.5pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via over 74.5 | 93.6% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via over 72.5 | 95.7% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +7.7pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via +9.5 | 96.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via over 70.5 | 97.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via +4.5 | 93.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja under 87.5 | 86.2% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja under 83.5 | 76.2% | 1.32 | 1.35 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja under 82.5 | 73.2% | 1.36 | 1.39 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja under 85.5 | 81.7% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via over 68.5 | 98.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja under 88.5 | 88.2% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via +14.5 | 98.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja under 91.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja under 89.5 | 89.9% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja under 95.5 | 96.4% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja under 93.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 97.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Over 140.5 | 94.2% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Over 150.5 | 82.9% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Under 190.5 | 93.1% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Over 145.5 | 89.7% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Under 185.5 | 88.2% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Over 155.5 | 73.9% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Under 180.5 | 81.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via under 98.5 | 81.2% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
| Under 175.5 | 72.1% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +0.2pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via under 97.5 | 78.4% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -0.5pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja over 67.5 | 80.7% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | -0.7pp | Won |
| Valmiera Glass Via under 96.5 | 75.3% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -0.9pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja over 68.5 | 77.9% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -1.6pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja over 69.5 | 74.8% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -3.0pp | Won |
| BK Liepaja +20.5 | 73.8% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -3.9pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.8 | 19.5 | 52.5% | 39.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.3 | 10.6 | 31.4% | 31.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.1 | 14.9 | 68.3% | 14.9 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.0 | 18.7 | 52.5% | 37.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.9 | 7.9 | 31.4% | 23.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 25.6 | 18.1 | 68.3% | 18.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 | Valmiera Glass Via v BK Liepaja | 95-81 |
| 29/10/25 | BK Liepaja v Valmiera Glass Via | 78-83 |
| 11/04/25 | Valmiera Glass Via v BK Liepaja | 87-84 |
| 08/04/25 | BK Liepaja v Valmiera Glass Via | 86-92 OT |
| 05/04/25 | Valmiera Glass Via v BK Liepaja | 84-73 |
| 28/12/24 | BK Liepaja v Valmiera Glass Via | 76-63 |
| 20/09/24 | Valmiera Glass Via v BK Liepaja | 80-63 |
| 13/03/24 | BK Liepaja v Valmiera Glass Via | 83-74 |
| 24/11/23 | Valmiera Glass Via v BK Liepaja | 65-88 |
| 08/03/23 | BK Liepaja v Valmiera Glass Via | 83-69 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Bashkimi | 85-77 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Tartu Ulikool | 93-86 |
| 04/11/26 | H | Manchester Basketball | 80-74 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Parnu | 74-76 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Korfez Basket | 85-87 |
| 24/10/26 | H | VEF Riga | 89-97 |
| 20/10/26 | A | Chalon/Saone | 77-109 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Latvijas Universitate | 81-59 |
| 14/10/26 | H | BC Kalev/Cramo | 82-74 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Viimsi | 91-87 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Rigas Juniori | 99-69 |
| 04/11/26 | H | Keila Coolbet | 92-65 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Viimsi | 112-54 |
| 27/10/26 | H | Bristol Flyers | 72-85 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Kapfenberg Bulls | 83-108 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Rigas Zelli | 69-85 |
| 14/10/26 | H | Tal Tech | 71-78 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Rigas Juniori | 98-88 |
| 06/10/26 | H | Lausanne Basket | 81-74 |
| 03/10/26 | A | VEF Riga | 55-82 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLLW | 78% |
| Home | WWWL | 75% |
| Away | WWWLW | 80% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 4 | 5 |
| Win % | 78% | 75% | 80% |
| Points / game | 89.9 | 90.8 | 89.2 |
| Allowed / game | 76.9 | 72.0 | 80.8 |
| Point differential | +13.0 | +18.8 | +8.4 |
| Avg total | 166.8 | 162.8 | 170.0 |
| Over 166 | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Win by 10+ | 44% | 75% | 20% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | - | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWW | 44% |
| Home | LWLWW | 60% |
| Away | LLLW | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| Win % | 44% | 60% | 25% |
| Points / game | 83.6 | 91.2 | 74.0 |
| Allowed / game | 76.0 | 74.4 | 78.0 |
| Point differential | +7.6 | +16.8 | -4.0 |
| Avg total | 159.6 | 165.6 | 152.0 |
| Over 166 | 33% | 40% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 44% | 60% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 100% | 93.7 | 74.1 | +19.6 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 80% | 90.2 | 76.0 | +14.2 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 89.9 | 76.9 | +13.0 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 82.8 | 76.4 | +6.4 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 86.1 | 83.4 | +2.7 | |
| 6 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 73.7 | 73.8 | -0.1 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 78.9 | 78.1 | +0.7 | |
| 8 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 85.1 | 81.9 | +3.2 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 50% | 74.3 | 81.6 | -7.3 | |
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 83.6 | 76.0 | +7.6 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 86.7 | 86.7 | +0.0 | |
| 12 | Rigas Juniori | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 80.0 | 88.5 | -8.5 |
| 13 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 18% | 74.3 | 86.8 | -12.5 | |
| 14 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 10% | 76.8 | 91.6 | -14.8 | |
| 15 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 0% | 70.3 | 91.1 | -20.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 21 | 28 | 17 | 89 | |
| 18 | 18 | 15 | 21 | 72 |
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