Valmiera/ORDO vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2015

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 95-62

22-17 29-18 18-11 26-16

Position#1

Record8-1

FormWLWWL

Points / game78.6

Allowed / game70.0

Valmiera/ORDO 🏆

BK Ogre

Position#10

Record3-5

FormWLLWL

Points / game71.6

Allowed / game87.8

LBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Valmiera/ORDO v BK Ogre

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Ogre winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jurmala

77-71

A17/10

LBL

Parnu

#17

89-65

+24

H21/10

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

#11

80-65

+15

H24/10

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

#10

72-65

H27/10

Baltic League

BK Ogre

#10

78-71 OT

A31/10

LBL

Jelgava

90-67

+23

H04/11

LBL

Ventspils

74-82

-8

A07/11

LBL

Nevezis

#12

70-64

A11/11

Baltic League

Jekabpils

76-60

+16

H14/11

LBL

Lietkabelis

65-73

-8

A18/11

Baltic League

24-13

23-14

11-19

19-25

20-20

25-10

26-19

18-16

27-11

10-23

25-21

18-10

18-11

22-19

7-17

25-18

16-15

23-15

16-18

10-17

25-19

19-11

25-20

21-17

25-19

14-17

15-31

20-15

15-14

21-18

20-15

14-17

17-12

17-17

22-14

20-17

17-17

13-27

24-20

11-9

145.4Avg total

77.1Scored

68.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	78.6	70.0	148.6	+8.6	89%
Season at home (4)	79.2	64.8	144.0	+14.5	100%
Season away (5)	78.0	74.2	152.2	+3.8	80%
Last 10 (10)	77.1	68.3	145.4	+8.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	69.2	144.2	+5.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	78.2	84.5	162.8	-6.2	25%
vs Similar (10)	76.7	77.0	153.7	-0.3	70%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	80.4	67.1	147.4	+13.3	88%

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Ogre

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#11

93-81

+12

H01/10

LBL

Ventspils

51-104

104

-53

A06/10

LBL

Jurmala

55-84

-29

H10/10

LBL

Barons Kvartals

86-85

A18/10

LBL

BK Liepaja

69-105

105

-36

A25/10

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

71-78 OT

-7

H31/10

LBL

Jekabpils

81-69

+12

H07/11

LBL

Barons Kvartals

67-96

-29

H11/11

LBL

27-23

26-20

21-22

19-16

12-22

18-25

11-36

10-21

12-17

11-26

16-21

16-20

29-23

23-25

12-23

22-14

13-28

19-31

17-17

20-29

15-16

15-23

18-16

17-10

18-18

20-20

21-13

22-18

12-22

21-22

20-31

14-21

159.4Avg total

71.6Scored

87.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	71.6	87.8	159.4	-16.1	38%
Season at home (5)	73.4	81.6	155.0	-8.2	40%
Season away (3)	68.7	98.0	166.7	-29.3	33%
Last 10 (8)	71.6	87.8	159.4	-16.1	38%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	86.6	161.4	-11.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	68.6	88.7	157.3	-20.1	29%
vs Similar (1)	93.0	81.0	174.0	+12.0	100%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Valmiera/ORDOBK Ogre

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.3	17.8	37.1	+1.4	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	17.0	36.9	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	18.7	37.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	15.1	35.5	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.2	36.0	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	16.2	34.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.1	20.1	38.2	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.3	16.9	37.2	+3.4	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	17.2	21.1	38.4	-3.9	25%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	16.8	19.2	36.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 away (3)	18.0	24.3	42.3	-6.3	33%	-
Last 10 (8)	17.2	21.1	38.4	-3.9	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.4	38.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	15.9	20.9	36.7	-5.0	14%	-
vs Similar (1)	27.0	23.0	50.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	16.9	36.1	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	17.1	35.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.0	34.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.2	23.8	40.0	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.9	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.0	16.4	36.4	+3.6	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	19.1	24.0	43.1	-4.9	12%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	18.6	22.2	40.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 away (3)	20.0	27.0	47.0	-7.0	0%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.1	24.0	43.1	-4.9	12%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	24.2	43.8	-4.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.1	24.6	42.7	-6.4	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	26.0	20.0	46.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Valmiera/ORDOLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jurmala

47-27

+20

A17/10

LBL

Parnu

#17

45-30

+15

H21/10

Baltic League

Latvijas Universitate

#11

37-34

H24/10

LBL

Tallinna Kalev

#10

40-30

+10

H27/10

Baltic League

BK Ogre

#10

39-30

A31/10

LBL

Jelgava

44-30

+14

H04/11

LBL

Ventspils

39-36

A07/11

LBL

Nevezis

#12

36-32

A11/11

Baltic League

Jekabpils

34-29

H14/11

LBL

Lietkabelis

30-44

-14

A18/11

Baltic League

71.3Avg total

39.1Scored

32.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.9	36.2	75.1	+2.7	66%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	33.9	73.0	+5.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	38.8	77.4	-0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	32.2	71.3	+6.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	34.2	70.8	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.0	40.0	74.0	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.6	39.7	78.2	-1.1	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	40.3	33.4	73.7	+6.9	81%	-

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Latvijas Universitate

#11

53-43

+10

H01/10

LBL

Ventspils

30-47

-17

A06/10

LBL

Jurmala

23-43

-20

H10/10

LBL

Barons Kvartals

52-48

A18/10

LBL

BK Liepaja

32-59

-27

A25/10

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

30-39

-9

H31/10

LBL

Jekabpils

38-38

H07/11

LBL

Barons Kvartals

33-44

-11

H11/11

LBL

81.5Avg total

36.4Scored

45.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	36.4	45.1	81.5	-8.8	25%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	35.4	41.4	76.8	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 away (3)	38.0	51.3	89.3	-13.3	33%	-
Last 10 (8)	36.4	45.1	81.5	-8.8	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	45.6	82.6	-8.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	34.0	45.4	79.4	-11.4	14%	-
vs Similar (1)	53.0	43.0	96.0	+10.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.7	18.2	38.8	+2.5	69%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	17.7	38.8	+3.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	18.6	38.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.4	38.5	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.0	22.8	44.8	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.7	17.6	38.2	+3.1	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.3	17.4	37.7	+2.9	69%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	17.0	22.4	39.4	-5.4	25%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (3)	13.3	25.3	38.7	-12.0	0%	-
Last 10 (8)	17.0	22.4	39.4	-5.4	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.0	37.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	16.4	22.4	38.9	-6.0	29%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.8	17.6	36.4	+1.2	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	15.5	34.5	+3.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	19.9	38.4	-1.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	16.1	33.7	+1.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	15.0	32.2	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.0	18.7	35.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	18.9	15.9	34.9	+3.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	17.5	18.6	36.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	17.6	17.0	34.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (3)	17.3	21.3	38.7	-4.0	33%	-
Last 10 (8)	17.5	18.6	36.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.3	19.0	36.3	-1.7	43%	-
vs Similar (1)	19.0	16.0	35.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.4	35.8	75.2	+3.7	62%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	33.2	73.3	+6.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.8	38.5	77.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	35.5	72.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	35.0	73.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	44.2	44.5	88.8	-0.2	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.7	36.2	73.9	+1.4	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	39.2	33.3	72.6	+5.9	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (8)	34.5	41.0	75.5	-6.5	38%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	36.8	37.6	74.4	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (3)	30.7	46.7	77.3	-16.0	0%	-
Last 10 (8)	34.5	41.0	75.5	-6.5	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	38.4	75.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	33.7	41.4	75.1	-7.7	29%	-
vs Similar (1)	40.0	38.0	78.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valmiera/ORDO wins

BK Ogre wins

Date	Game	Score
31/10/15	BK Ogre v Valmiera/ORDO	71-78 OT

Valmiera/ORDOlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/11/15	A	Lietkabelis	65-73
14/11/15	H	Jekabpils	76-60
11/11/15	A	Nevezis	70-64
07/11/15	A	Ventspils	74-82
04/11/15	H	Jelgava	90-67
31/10/15	A	BK Ogre	78-71 OT
27/10/15	H	Tallinna Kalev	72-65
24/10/15	H	Latvijas Universitate	80-65
21/10/15	H	Parnu	89-65
17/10/15	A	Jurmala	77-71

BK Ogrelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/15	H	Barons Kvartals	67-96
07/11/15	H	Jekabpils	81-69
31/10/15	H	Valmiera/ORDO	71-78 OT
25/10/15	A	BK Liepaja	69-105
18/10/15	A	Barons Kvartals	86-85
10/10/15	H	Jurmala	55-84
06/10/15	A	Ventspils	51-104
01/10/15	H	Latvijas Universitate	93-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valmiera/ORDO

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	89%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WWWWL	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	89%	100%	80%
Points / game	78.6	79.2	78.0
Allowed / game	70.0	64.8	74.2
Point differential	+8.6	+14.5	+3.8
Avg total	148.6	144.0	152.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	75%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	11%	0%	20%

BK Ogre

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Losses (last 8)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	38%
Home	WLLWL	40%
Away	LWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	5	3
Win %	38%	40%	33%
Points / game	71.6	73.4	68.7
Allowed / game	87.8	81.6	98.0
Point differential	-16.1	-8.2	-29.3
Avg total	159.4	155.0	166.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	40%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	12%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ventspils	10	9	1	90%	87.1	61.4	+25.7
2	Valmiera/ORDO	9	8	1	89%	78.6	70.0	+8.6
3	VEF Riga	5	4	1	80%	88.6	72.2	+16.4
4	BK Liepaja	10	8	2	80%	81.3	66.8	+14.5
5	Valga	4	2	2	50%	72.2	90.8	-18.5
6	Jelgava	8	3	5	38%	66.6	77.6	-11.0
7	BK Ogre	8	3	5	38%	71.6	87.8	-16.1
8	Jekabpils	9	3	6	33%	69.8	76.4	-6.7
9	Barons Kvartals	10	3	7	30%	76.2	81.0	-4.8
10	Jurmala	8	2	6	25%	69.4	70.9	-1.5
11	Latvijas Universitate	9	0	9	0%	70.0	86.7	-16.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valmiera/ORDO	22	29	18	26	95
BK Ogre	17	18	11	16	62

← all games of the day

Valmiera/ORDO vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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