Valmiera/ORDO vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Apr 2016

Tip-off: 15:30

Final 86-75

23-20 15-21 28-12 20-22

Position#1

Record25-6

FormLWWWL

Points / game83.7

Allowed / game73.0

Valmiera/ORDO 🏆

BK Ogre

Position#10

Record7-25

FormWWLWL

Points / game73.6

Allowed / game88.2

LBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Valmiera/ORDO v BK Ogre

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Ogre winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jekabpils

100-68

100

+32

H05/03

LBL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

#14

80-78

H09/03

Baltic League

Jelgava

95-56

+39

A13/03

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

64-68

-4

A15/03

Baltic League

Jekabpils

90-85

A19/03

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

68-75

-7

H23/03

Baltic League

Ventspils

80-76

A26/03

LBL

Lietkabelis

90-74

+16

H30/03

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

79-68

+11

H02/04

LBL

Lietkabelis

64-86

-22

A05/04

Baltic League

18-22

29-13

32-17

21-16

22-23

17-20

23-18

18-17

22-16

23-15

30-7

20-18

17-24

16-18

20-13

11-13

23-23

27-16

15-20

25-26

18-22

17-25

17-11

16-17

15-22

16-21

15-10

34-23

20-18

22-14

22-16

26-26

21-15

17-21

23-15

18-17

20-23

17-24

15-16

12-23

154.4Avg total

81.0Scored

73.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	83.7	73.0	156.7	+10.8	81%
Season at home (14)	83.5	71.9	155.4	+11.6	86%
Season away (17)	83.9	73.8	157.8	+10.1	76%
Last 10 (10)	81.0	73.4	154.4	+7.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	75.8	152.0	+0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	74.8	75.5	150.2	-0.8	50%
vs Similar (7)	81.6	79.4	161.0	+2.1	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	84.0	72.0	156.0	+12.0	79%

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Ogre

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jurmala

73-72

H17/02

LBL

BK Liepaja

81-99

-18

A20/02

LBL

Jelgava

97-98 OT

-1

A02/03

LBL

Ventspils

73-91

-18

H09/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

77-86

-9

H12/03

LBL

Barons Kvartals

55-53

H16/03

LBL

Jurmala

88-81

A19/03

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#11

68-78

-10

H23/03

LBL

Barons Kvartals

87-81 OT

A27/03

LBL

Valga

74-81 OT

-7

H30/03

LBL

9-11

27-20

15-18

22-23

16-27

28-26

24-26

13-20

20-25

22-14

20-29

22-16

17-25

19-11

12-30

25-25

18-36

20-22

23-16

16-12

16-7

15-17

6-11

18-18

30-26

16-17

20-19

22-19

15-18

10-14

19-21

24-25

19-13

19-25

15-15

22-22

15-15

19-13

13-25

21-15

159.3Avg total

77.3Scored

82.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	73.6	88.2	161.8	-14.7	22%
Season at home (17)	69.2	83.8	153.0	-14.5	24%
Season away (15)	78.5	93.3	171.7	-14.8	20%
Last 10 (10)	77.3	82.0	159.3	-4.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	74.8	149.2	-0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	73.8	89.2	162.9	-15.4	24%
vs Similar (5)	73.2	81.8	155.0	-8.6	0%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Valmiera/ORDOBK Ogre

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.2	38.1	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	18.1	37.3	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.3	18.4	38.6	+1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.0	21.2	37.2	-5.2	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.5	17.7	38.2	+2.8	63%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	21.6	39.2	-4.0	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	15.8	20.1	35.9	-4.2	12%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	23.4	42.9	-3.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	20.3	37.8	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	15.8	34.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	17.6	21.2	38.8	-3.6	28%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.4	23.8	41.2	-6.4	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.4	38.7	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	18.3	38.8	+2.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.0	18.5	38.5	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.7	38.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	22.5	40.8	-4.2	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.1	18.0	39.1	+3.1	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.3	17.7	38.1	+2.6	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.8	40.9	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.7	19.9	37.6	-2.2	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	23.9	44.7	-3.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.9	37.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	17.2	33.0	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	19.6	23.2	42.8	-3.6	16%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.8	14.6	31.4	+2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Valmiera/ORDOLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jekabpils

47-35

+12

H05/03

LBL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

#14

39-43

-4

H09/03

Baltic League

Jelgava

45-31

+14

A13/03

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

33-42

-9

A15/03

Baltic League

Jekabpils

50-39

+11

A19/03

LBL

Tartu Ulikool

35-47

-12

H23/03

Baltic League

Ventspils

31-43

-12

A26/03

LBL

Lietkabelis

42-32

+10

H30/03

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

38-36

H02/04

LBL

Lietkabelis

37-47

-10

A05/04

Baltic League

79.2Avg total

39.7Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	36.7	76.7	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.8	36.4	76.2	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.3	36.9	77.2	+3.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	39.5	79.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	41.0	77.6	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.2	43.8	78.0	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.3	36.0	77.3	+5.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	40.8	35.4	76.3	+5.4	84%	-

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jurmala

36-31

H17/02

LBL

BK Liepaja

44-53

-9

A20/02

LBL

Jelgava

42-39

A02/03

LBL

Ventspils

36-36

H09/03

LBL

BK Liepaja

38-58

-20

H12/03

LBL

Barons Kvartals

31-24

H16/03

LBL

Jurmala

46-43

A19/03

LBL

Latvijas Universitate

#11

25-32

-7

H23/03

LBL

Barons Kvartals

38-38

A27/03

LBL

Valga

34-28

H30/03

LBL

75.2Avg total

37.0Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	43.4	80.1	-6.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	33.5	39.9	73.4	-6.4	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	47.3	87.6	-6.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	38.2	75.2	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	33.0	67.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	37.2	44.4	81.6	-7.2	28%	-
vs Similar (5)	34.2	38.4	72.6	-4.2	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	17.9	39.0	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.5	17.9	39.5	+3.6	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.6	17.9	38.6	+2.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	14.3	35.5	+6.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	13.6	32.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.2	12.5	29.8	+4.8	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.6	18.6	39.1	+2.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	58%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	22.2	39.6	-4.9	20%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.1	22.1	38.1	-6.0	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	22.4	41.3	-3.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	21.0	37.7	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	18.2	32.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	17.2	22.4	39.7	-5.2	20%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.1	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.5	16.5	36.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.7	24.9	44.6	-5.1	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.2	17.7	38.9	+3.4	74%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	20.3	38.5	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.4	20.3	37.8	-2.9	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	18.1	20.5	38.6	-2.4	32%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	37.2	78.8	+4.5	77%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.6	37.6	79.2	+4.0	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.6	36.8	78.5	+4.8	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	33.9	75.2	+7.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	34.8	74.4	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.8	29.0	65.8	+7.8	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.3	43.4	83.7	-3.1	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	43.2	36.6	79.7	+6.6	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	42.6	78.1	-7.0	17%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	33.5	42.4	75.9	-8.9	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	42.8	80.6	-4.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	40.5	77.7	-3.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	38.0	74.0	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	35.4	43.0	78.3	-7.6	16%	-
vs Similar (5)	36.4	40.6	77.0	-4.2	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valmiera/ORDO wins

BK Ogre wins

Date	Game	Score
06/02/16	BK Ogre v Valmiera/ORDO	69-93
21/11/15	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Ogre	95-62
31/10/15	BK Ogre v Valmiera/ORDO	71-78 OT

Valmiera/ORDOlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/04/16	A	Lietkabelis	64-86
02/04/16	H	Barons Kvartals	79-68
30/03/16	H	Lietkabelis	90-74
26/03/16	A	Ventspils	80-76
23/03/16	H	Tartu Ulikool	68-75
19/03/16	A	Jekabpils	90-85
15/03/16	A	Tartu Ulikool	64-68
13/03/16	A	Jelgava	95-56
09/03/16	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	80-78
05/03/16	H	Jekabpils	100-68

BK Ogrelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/03/16	H	Valga	74-81 OT
27/03/16	A	Barons Kvartals	87-81 OT
23/03/16	H	Latvijas Universitate	68-78
19/03/16	A	Jurmala	88-81
16/03/16	H	Barons Kvartals	55-53
12/03/16	H	BK Liepaja	77-86
09/03/16	H	Ventspils	73-91
02/03/16	A	Jelgava	97-98 OT
20/02/16	A	BK Liepaja	81-99
17/02/16	H	Jurmala	73-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valmiera/ORDO

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	81%
Home	WLWWW	86%
Away	WWWWW	76%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	14	17
Win %	81%	86%	76%
Points / game	83.7	83.5	83.9
Allowed / game	73.0	71.9	73.8
Point differential	+10.8	+11.6	+10.1
Avg total	156.7	155.4	157.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	52%	57%	47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (8)	75% (4)	75% (4)
Overtime %	10%	14%	6%

BK Ogre

LBL 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	22%
Home	LLWLL	24%
Away	LLLWW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	17	15
Win %	22%	24%	20%
Points / game	73.6	69.2	78.5
Allowed / game	88.2	83.8	93.3
Point differential	-14.7	-14.5	-14.8
Avg total	161.8	153.0	171.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	12%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	16%	12%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valmiera/ORDO	31	25	6	81%	83.7	73.0	+10.8
2	VEF Riga	18	14	4	78%	89.3	72.7	+16.7
3	Ventspils	31	24	7	77%	87.2	68.4	+18.8
4	BK Liepaja	31	21	10	68%	82.5	74.5	+8.0
5	Jurmala	35	20	15	57%	81.7	78.4	+3.3
6	Valga	20	11	9	55%	79.0	84.8	-5.8
7	Jekabpils	32	16	16	50%	77.7	80.3	-2.7
8	Barons Kvartals	32	11	21	34%	78.6	82.2	-3.6
9	Jelgava	33	9	24	27%	70.5	81.0	-10.5
10	BK Ogre	32	7	25	22%	73.6	88.2	-14.7
11	Latvijas Universitate	31	5	26	16%	70.7	85.2	-14.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valmiera/ORDO	23	15	28	20	86
BK Ogre	20	21	12	22	75

← all games of the day

Valmiera/ORDO vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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