Valmiera/ORDO vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 94-78

26-15 27-12 22-25 19-26

Position#3

Record6-7

FormWLWWW

Points / game73.5

Allowed / game75.6

Valmiera/ORDO 🏆

BK Ogre

Position#8

Record4-7

FormLWLWL

Points / game73.7

Allowed / game82.6

LBL

Other2016-17

Meetings · Valmiera/ORDO v BK Ogre

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

BK Ogre winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valmiera/ORDO Latvia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

58-59

-1

H08/11

Baltic League

Jekabpils

71-67

A12/11

LBL

Borisfen

#18

60-46

+14

H15/11

Baltic League

Jurmala

62-76

-14

A19/11

LBL

VEF Riga

60-68

-8

A23/11

LBL

Tal Tech

#13

82-75

H30/11

Baltic League

Ventspils

75-81

-6

A03/12

LBL

BK Ogre

#10

71-65

A07/12

Baltic League

Jekabpils

78-61

+17

H10/12

LBL

Rakvere Tarvas

#14

105-74

105

+31

A14/12

Baltic League

13-20

23-13

15-16

7-10

13-12

28-11

19-17

11-27

13-18

16-2

17-9

14-17

22-28

12-15

19-13

9-20

14-16

20-19

12-22

14-11

14-24

17-18

18-20

33-13

12-22

20-14

14-19

29-26

14-19

19-16

16-20

22-10

27-18

9-17

23-14

19-12

27-16

30-21

31-13

17-24

139.4Avg total

72.2Scored

67.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	73.5	75.6	149.1	-2.2	46%
Season at home (5)	82.2	76.8	159.0	+5.4	80%
Season away (8)	68.0	74.9	142.9	-6.9	25%
Last 10 (10)	72.2	67.2	139.4	+5.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	71.2	153.4	+11.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	68.0	75.5	143.5	-7.5	0%
vs Similar (13)	73.5	73.3	146.8	+0.2	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	77.4	67.8	145.2	+9.5	77%

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK Ogre

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tal Tech

#13

83-71

+12

A01/11

Baltic League

Ventspils

86-116

116

-30

A05/11

LBL

Valga

66-89

-23

A08/11

LBL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

89-84

H15/11

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

82-79

H19/11

LBL

Rakvere Tarvas

#14

0-20

-20

H29/11

Baltic League

BK Liepaja

71-53

+18

H03/12

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

65-71

-6

H07/12

Baltic League

Borisfen

#18

75-45

+30

H10/12

Baltic League

Jekabpils

71-76

-5

A14/12

Baltic League

23-20

23-14

13-18

24-19

21-30

21-35

23-26

21-25

18-24

15-24

23-24

10-17

22-24

19-21

30-12

18-27

27-14

13-23

28-17

14-25

–

15-13

20-12

22-18

14-10

19-14

16-19

20-16

10-22

17-14

21-8

18-11

19-12

23-19

14-16

18-19

16-22

139.2Avg total

68.8Scored

70.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	73.7	82.6	156.4	-8.9	36%
Season at home (5)	70.4	73.0	143.4	-2.6	60%
Season away (6)	76.5	90.7	167.2	-14.2	17%
Last 10 (10)	68.8	70.4	139.2	-1.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	56.4	53.0	109.4	+3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	75.4	82.4	157.8	-7.1	38%
vs Similar (7)	73.3	70.7	144.0	+2.6	57%
vs Weaker (7)	67.7	62.9	130.6	+4.9	57%

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Valmiera/ORDOBK Ogre

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.2	36.6	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	17.6	35.9	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	19.3	36.2	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.5	21.0	35.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.3	16.6	34.9	+1.7	69%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.8	54%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	18.1	38.1	+1.9	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	16.3	34.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	57%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.6	19.1	39.7	+1.4	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	14.8	35.0	+5.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	21.1	18.9	40.0	+2.1	62%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.0	17.1	35.1	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.7	17.0	36.7	+2.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.6	36.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	16.7	35.5	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	18.5	37.5	+0.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	14.6	34.0	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.2	36.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	75%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.5	17.7	37.2	+1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	18.2	17.2	35.4	+1.1	54%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.2	18.2	36.4	-0.1	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	16.3	34.2	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	20.3	38.8	-1.8	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.0	19.1	37.1	-1.1	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	15.6	32.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.9	21.1	39.0	-3.1	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.1	15.4	31.6	+0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.2	14.0	35.2	+7.2	83%	-

Valmiera/ORDOLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

36-33

H08/11

Baltic League

Jekabpils

41-23

+18

A12/11

LBL

Borisfen

#18

29-20

H15/11

Baltic League

Jurmala

34-43

-9

A19/11

LBL

VEF Riga

34-35

-1

A23/11

LBL

Tal Tech

#13

31-42

-11

H30/11

Baltic League

Ventspils

32-36

-4

A03/12

LBL

BK Ogre

#10

33-35

-2

A07/12

Baltic League

Jekabpils

36-35

H10/12

LBL

Rakvere Tarvas

#14

57-37

+20

A14/12

Baltic League

70.2Avg total

36.3Scored

33.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	35.8	73.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.3	35.5	72.9	+1.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	36.1	73.4	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	33.9	70.2	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	37.0	74.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	33.5	39.8	73.2	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	37.8	34.3	72.2	+3.5	77%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	38.0	36.1	74.1	+1.9	54%	-

This opponent (BK Ogre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tal Tech

#13

46-34

+12

A01/11

Baltic League

Ventspils

42-65

-23

A05/11

LBL

Valga

33-48

-15

A08/11

LBL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

41-45

-4

H15/11

Baltic League

Barons Kvartals

40-37

H19/11

LBL

BK Liepaja

35-25

+10

H03/12

LBL

Valmiera/ORDO

35-33

H07/12

Baltic League

Borisfen

#18

38-22

+16

H10/12

Baltic League

Jekabpils

37-35

A14/12

Baltic League

76.8Avg total

38.6Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.2	36.3	74.6	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.3	32.7	68.9	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.3	40.3	80.6	+0.0	57%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.6	38.2	76.8	+0.3	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	30.4	67.4	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	39.0	40.0	79.0	-1.0	56%	-
vs Similar (7)	34.1	32.6	66.7	+1.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.8	31.0	71.8	+9.8	83%	-

This opponent (Valmiera/ORDO) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.4	36.8	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	17.9	38.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	16.9	35.3	+1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	16.3	34.7	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.2	37.6	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.2	20.5	37.8	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.4	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.1	15.2	36.2	+5.9	77%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.1	19.6	37.7	-1.4	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	17.4	35.7	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	21.9	39.8	-3.9	21%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.7	17.9	39.6	+3.8	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.2	37.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.0	19.6	37.6	-1.6	38%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (6)	16.8	20.0	36.8	-3.2	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	18.0	35.8	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	17.1	35.3	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	18.9	36.3	-1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	17.0	34.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	17.0	41.0	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.2	15.2	32.5	+2.0	75%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.4	20.3	37.7	-2.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	18.3	16.6	34.9	+1.7	46%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.5	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	19.0	35.7	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	20.6	40.4	-0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.2	19.9	36.1	-3.7	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	18.2	32.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.8	20.9	37.8	-4.1	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.5	17.3	37.8	+3.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	35.4	72.6	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	35.0	73.5	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	35.9	71.6	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	33.3	69.2	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	34.2	78.6	+10.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.5	35.8	70.2	-1.2	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	35.7	39.0	74.7	-3.3	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	39.4	31.8	71.2	+7.6	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.4	39.3	75.7	-2.9	24%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.1	36.4	71.5	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.8	42.4	80.2	-4.6	14%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.9	37.8	75.7	+0.1	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	34.4	70.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	34.8	40.6	75.4	-5.8	19%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.1	38.1	77.3	+1.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (6)	37.3	37.3	74.7	+0.0	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valmiera/ORDO wins

BK Ogre wins

Date	Game	Score
07/12/16	BK Ogre v Valmiera/ORDO	65-71
28/09/16	BK Ogre v Valmiera/ORDO	70-61
09/04/16	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Ogre	86-75
06/02/16	BK Ogre v Valmiera/ORDO	69-93
21/11/15	Valmiera/ORDO v BK Ogre	95-62
31/10/15	BK Ogre v Valmiera/ORDO	71-78 OT

Valmiera/ORDOlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/16	A	Rakvere Tarvas	105-74
10/12/16	H	Jekabpils	78-61
07/12/16	A	BK Ogre	71-65
03/12/16	A	Ventspils	75-81
30/11/16	H	Tal Tech	82-75
23/11/16	A	VEF Riga	60-68
19/11/16	A	Jurmala	62-76
15/11/16	H	Borisfen	60-46
12/11/16	A	Jekabpils	71-67
08/11/16	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	58-59

BK Ogrelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/16	A	Jekabpils	71-76
10/12/16	H	Borisfen	75-45
07/12/16	H	Valmiera/ORDO	65-71
03/12/16	H	BK Liepaja	71-53
29/11/16	H	Rakvere Tarvas	0-20
19/11/16	H	Barons Kvartals	82-79
15/11/16	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	89-84
08/11/16	A	Valga	66-89
05/11/16	A	Ventspils	86-116
01/11/16	A	Tal Tech	83-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valmiera/ORDO

LBL 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	46%
Home	WWLWW	80%
Away	WWLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	5	8
Win %	46%	80%	25%
Points / game	73.5	82.2	68.0
Allowed / game	75.6	76.8	74.9
Point differential	-2.2	+5.4	-6.9
Avg total	149.1	159.0	142.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	40%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

BK Ogre

LBL 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	36%
Home	WLLWW	60%
Away	LLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	36%	60%	17%
Points / game	73.7	70.4	76.5
Allowed / game	82.6	73.0	90.7
Point differential	-8.9	-2.6	-14.2
Avg total	156.4	143.4	167.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	20%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	9%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	VEF Riga	8	8	0	100%	82.0	66.4	+15.6
2	Ventspils	13	12	1	92%	92.2	71.7	+20.5
3	Jurmala	15	8	7	53%	77.5	76.5	+1.0
4	Barons Kvartals	12	6	6	50%	83.2	77.7	+5.5
5	Jekabpils	12	6	6	50%	77.5	76.0	+1.5
6	Valmiera/ORDO	13	6	7	46%	73.5	75.6	-2.2
7	Valga	8	3	5	38%	77.8	84.5	-6.8
8	BK Ogre	11	4	7	36%	73.7	82.6	-8.9
9	BK Liepaja	12	4	8	33%	74.2	81.5	-7.3
10	Latvijas Universitate	14	2	12	14%	68.6	84.5	-15.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valmiera/ORDO	26	27	22	19	94
BK Ogre	15	12	25	26	78

← all games of the day

Valmiera/ORDO vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature